Miami Marlins vs Colorado Rockies Betting Pick & Prediction 8/29/24

Both the Marlins and Rockies are sending a pitcher to the mound on Thursday that is making their MLB debut. Valente Bellozo is starting for the Marlins, while Bradley Blalock is on the mound for the Rockies. The Rockies are favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -125, while the Marlins are at +106. First pitch from Coors Field is set for 3:10 PM ET.

There are currently five games on the MLB schedule for Thursday, and the Rockies-Marlins matchup has the highest over/under line at 11.5 runs. Miami comes in with a record of 48-85, which has them in 5th place in the NL East, while the Rockies are 5th in the NL West with a record of 50-84.

COLORADO ROCKIES VS MIAMI MARLINS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Colorado Rockies Moneyline -125

This game will be played at Coors Field at 3:10 ET on Thursday, August 29th.

HOW TO BET THE MARLINS VS ROCKIES:

• We have the Rockies winning by a score of 5 to 4
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Marlins to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the under

Colorado cruised to an easy 8-2 win over the Marlins in the most recent game of this series. The Rockies had a huge 6th inning, scoring three of their eight runs. As for the Marlins, they scored their only two runs in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Rockies were favored at -137 on the money line.

Kyle Freeland started for the Rockies and picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just two earned runs. He finished the game with five strikeouts but issued a season-high five walks. On the other side, Max Meyer got the start for the Marlins and took the loss, giving up four earned runs in five innings of work.

At the plate, the Rockies were led by Aaron Schunk and Nolan Jones, who each had two hits and two RBIs. Ezequiel Tovar also had a two-hit game and drove in two runs. For the Marlins, Derek Hill hit the game’s only home run and went 1/4.

Marlins Records & Stats

Miami is 48-85 overall, putting them 5th in the NL East, 30 games behind the Phillies for the division lead. So far, they have gone just 13-26 against other teams in the NL East. The Marlins are on a three-game losing streak in series and have an overall series record of 10-26-6.

At home, the Marlins are 25-44 this year and 23-41 on the road. As the underdog, Miami is 44-72 this season compared to 4-13 as the favorite. They have dropped two straight games and are just 3-7 over their last 10.

When the Marlins win, they tend to win big, with an average run margin of 2.8 runs per game. However, when they lose, they tend to lose by a wide margin, with an average run differential of -3.8 runs per game. Miami has gone 61-72 against the run line this season, including a 32-32 mark on the road. They have been an underdog in most of their games, going 59-57 against the run line as the underdog, compared to just 2-15 as the favorite.

The Miami Marlins are on the road today against the Colorado Rockies, and the over/under line for the game is set at 11.5 runs. The Marlins’ games have averaged 8.9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 73-56. Their average over/under line for the season is 8 runs per game, and they have played just one game this season with an over/under line of 11.5 runs. So far, their games have gone over the line in that one instance.

Miami is sending right-hander Valente Bellozo to the mound today vs. the Rockies. He has made seven starts this year and has a record of 2-2 with a 3.35 ERA. Bellozo’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.25. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up five earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of work vs. the Cubs. Before that, he had picked up the win in two straight starts. Bellozo has made four road starts and has a record of 1-0 with a 1.74 ERA on the road compared to 1-2 with a 6.21 ERA at home.

For the season, the Marlins are averaging just 3.7 runs per game, which is 29th in the league. They have been even worse on the road, averaging only 3.3 runs per contest. Miami’s offense has been led by Jake Burger, who is hitting .248 for the season and has a team-high 25 home runs and 59 RBIs. Jesús Sánchez is also a significant power threat in the lineup, as he is 2nd on the team with 17 homers.

As a team, the Marlins have been near the bottom of the league in several key offensive categories, including on-base percentage, slugging, and OPS. However, they do come into the game with a few hitters on solid streaks, including Connor Norby, who has gone 7/20 in his last five games and is currently on a nine-game hitting streak.

Rockies Records & Stats

Colorado has an overall record of 50-84, and they are 29.5 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. So far, they have really struggled against other NL West teams, going 15-28 this year. The Rockies are currently in 5th place in the division and trail the Giants by 17 games for 4th place in the division.

At home, the Rockies are 31-34 this year, but they have really struggled on the road, going 19-50. Colorado has dropped two straight series and has an overall series record of 10-29-3 this year. As the underdog, the Rockies are 48-83, and they are 2-1 as the favorite this year.

When the Rockies win, they win big, with an average run margin of +2.9 runs per game. But when they lose, they lose by an average of -4.1 runs per game. That’s why they are just 67-67 against the run line this season. They are 35-30 against the run line at home, where their average run margin is -0.7 runs per game. On the road, their run line record is 32-37, with an average run margin of -2.3 runs per game. As an underdog, they are 66-65 against the run line this season, but as a favorite, they are just 1-2.

The Rockies are hosting the Marlins today, and the over/under line is set at 11.5 runs. The combined run average for Rockies games this season is 10.0 runs, and their over/under record is 67-64. The average over/under line for Rockies games this season is 9 runs, and their over/under record when the line is set at 11.5 runs is 4-5. Only 4.5% of their games this season have had over/under lines set at 11.5 runs, with just 6 games having higher lines.

Bradley Blalock has been solid in his first two starts of the season, going 5 2/3 innings in each. He picked up a win in his last outing against the Yankees, and in his first start, he went 5 2/3 innings and gave up just 1 run. He has 11 strikeouts in 11 innings of work so far.

Colorado’s offense has been one of the better home teams in the league this season, averaging 5 runs per game at Coors Field. Overall, they are 18th in the league at 4.3 runs per contest. The Rockies have been good at putting the ball in play this season, as they have the 3rd best BABIP in the league and are 10th in batting average.

Over his last four games, Ezequiel Tovar has gone 7/19 with two homers and six RBIs. Tovar is currently 1st on the team with 21 homers and is 2nd on the team with 61 RBIs. Brenton Doyle and Michael Toglia are also tied for the team lead in homers, with 21 apiece. Doyle comes into the game on a three-game hitting streak, and Tovar has a five-game streak going.