San Diego Padres vs St. Louis Cardinals Betting Pick & Prediction 8/29/24

Michael King is starting for the Padres on Thursday, and he is facing off against Sonny Gray and the Cardinals. The game is being played at 2:15 PM ET from Busch Stadium in St. Louis, and the Cardinals are the slight favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -107. The money line odds for a Padres win are currently at -112.

The over/under line is currently at 8 runs, and the game will be televised on BSMW. Both teams are 3rd in their respective divisions, with the Padres being 76-59, and the Cardinals are 66-67.

SAN DIEGO PADRES VS ST. LOUIS CARDINALS BETTING PICK

The Pick: San Diego Padres Moneyline -112

This game will be played at Busch Stadium at 2:15 ET on Thursday, August 29th.

HOW TO BET THE PADRES VS CARDINALS:

• We have the Padres winning by a score of 5 to 4
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Cardinals to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

St. Louis picked up a 4-3 win over the Padres in the most recent game of this series. The Cardinals had a three-run 4th inning and scored the game’s go-ahead run in the 9th. As for the Padres, they scored two runs in the 1st and didn’t score another run until putting up one in the 8th.

Andre Pallante got the win for the Cardinals in this one, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up two earned runs. He finished the game with just three strikeouts and allowed two home runs. Joe Musgrove had a good outing for the Padres, going six innings and giving up three earned runs.

Kyle Higashioka hit the game’s only home run while going 1/4 with three RBIs, but it came in a losing effort. Paul Goldschmidt did a bit of everything for the Cardinals, going 3/4 with a run scored while stealing a base.

Padres Records & Stats

San Diego is 76-59 overall this season, and they are 4th in the NL West, four games behind the Dodgers for the division lead. So far, they have gone just 20-20 in divisional games. The Padres have taken two of the first three games of their series vs. the Cardinals.

At home, the Padres are 37-32 this year, and they have gone 39-27 on the road. As the favorite, San Diego is 48-37 this year and 28-22 as the underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Padres are 26-14-4 this year.

The Padres have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 70-65 overall. They have been especially good on the run line on the road, going 43-23. Their average run differential on the season is +0.5 runs per game, but that number jumps to +1.2 runs per game on the road. They have been a much better bet on the run line as an underdog, going 35-15, compared to 35-50 as the favorite.

Today’s over/under line of 8 runs for the San Diego Padres’ game against the St. Louis Cardinals is right in line with their season average of 8 runs per game. The Padres have played 22 games with an over/under line of 8 runs this season, going 11-11-1 in those games. Overall, 58 of their games have had over/under lines set above 8 runs, accounting for 43.0% of their games, while 54 games have had lines set below 8 runs, making up 40.0% of their games.

Right-hander Michael King gets the start for the Padres today as he faces the Cardinals on the road. He has made 25 starts this season and has a record of 11-7 with an ERA of 3.14. King’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.18. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up five earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had picked up the win in two straight starts. King has been much better at home this year, coming in with a record of 8-2, compared to 3-5 on the road. His ERA on the road is 3.31.

Heading into today’s game, the Padres are the top hitting team in the league, batting a collective .266. As a team, they are also the league’s top home run hitting team, and they are averaging 4.8 runs per game. Not only are the Padres the league’s top home run hitting team, but they also have the best slugging percentage in the league.

Over the past eight games, both Luis Arraez and Manny Machado have two homers, with Arraez hitting .400 in that stretch and Machado batting .345. Machado comes into the game on a four-game hitting streak. Jurickson Profar and Manny Machado are the Padres’ top two home run hitters for the season, with 21 and 22 homers, respectively.

Cardinals Records & Stats

The Cardinals are 66-67 overall and trail the Brewers by 10.5 games in the NL Central. So far, they are 19-23 against other teams in the division. St. Louis will be at home today, where they are 35-32 this season. On the road, the Cardinals have gone 31-35.

St. Louis has won two straight series, and their overall series record is 21-18-4. This year, the Cardinals have been good as home underdogs, going 13-8. As for their overall record, the Cardinals are 32-34 as the favorite and 34-33 as the underdog.

When betting the run line, the Cardinals have been a better play as the underdog, going 44-23. They are just 21-45 when favored. Their overall run line record is 65-68, and they have been slightly better at home, going 33-34. They have a negative run differential both at home and on the road, but they have been outscored by an average of 0.5 runs per game this season.

The St. Louis Cardinals are back home today to face the San Diego Padres in a game with an over/under line of 8 runs. The combined run average in Cardinals games this season is 8.6, and their over/under record is 63-67. The average over/under line in their games is also 8 runs. When the line is set at 8 runs, their over/under record is 9-13-1. Overall, 58.6% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs.

St. Louis is sending right-hander Sonny Gray to the mound today vs. the Padres. Gray has made 24 starts this year and has a record of 11-9 with a 4.07 ERA. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up five earned runs in six innings of work vs. the Twins. Before that, he had lost two straight starts. Gray’s ERA at home is 2.93 compared to 5.97 on the road. He has given up a total of 20 home runs this season. Opponents are batting .222 off Gray this season.

For the season, the Cardinals are averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is 24th in the majors. They have been slightly better at home, averaging 4.3 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .247, which is 8th in the league, and have the 19th ranked slugging percentage in the league. Currently, the Cardinals have three hitters with at least 20 homers, led by Alec Burleson, who has gone deep 21 times this season.

Paul Goldschmidt comes into the game on a four-game hitting streak, and he has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 9/23 in his last six games. Over his last eight games, Masyn Winn has gone 15/34, but he has not homered during that stretch. Brendan Donovan and Luken Baker have both struggled of late, with Donovan hitting just .167 in his last eight games and Baker at .154 in his last seven.