Kansas City Royals vs Cleveland Guardians Betting Pick & Prediction 8/27/24
Cleveland is currently favored, with money line odds of -146 compared to the Royals at +124. The over/under line is currently at 9 runs, and the game is being played at 6:40 PM ET from Progressive Field in Cleveland. The Guardians are 75-57, while the Royals are 74-58. Gavin Williams is starting for Cleveland, and the Royals are going with Michael Lorenzen. Kansas City is 2nd in the AL Central, and the Guardians are on a two-game losing streak and are 1st in the division.
This AL Central matchup can be seen on BSGL, and the forecast for Tuesday’s game calls for temperatures in the upper 80s with a few clouds in Cleveland. Kansas City comes in on a two-game winning streak, while the Guardians are 1-2 over their last three games.
CLEVELAND GUARDIANS VS KANSAS CITY ROYALS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Cleveland Guardians Moneyline -146
This game will be played at Progressive Field at 6:40 ET on Tuesday, August 27th.
HOW TO BET THE ROYALS VS GUARDIANS:
- We have the Guardians winning by a score of 6 to 5
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Royals to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Thanks to a four-run 6th inning for the Royals’ offense, they cruised to a 9-4 win over the Guardians in the most recent game of this series. Heading into the game, the Royals were at +117 on the money line.
Kansas City got to Guardians starter Logan Allen, who gave up five earned runs in just five innings of work and took the loss. As for the Royals, they got a good outing from Alec Marsh, who gave up just two earned runs across 4 2/3 innings of work.
Salvador Perez and Paul DeJong each homered for the Royals, while Daniel Schneemann hit a home run for Cleveland. Perez finished the game with six RBIs.
Royals Records & Stats
Kansas City is 74-58 overall this season, and they are 2nd in the AL Central, trailing the Guardians by just one game. The Royals have gone 28-13 against other teams in the division. They have won two straight games and are 7-3 over their last 10.
At home, the Royals have gone 41-28 this year. On the road, they are above .500 at 33-30. Kansas City has been good as the favorite this season, putting up a mark of 43-25. As the underdog, the Royals are 31-33 this year. One impressive part of their road resume is that they have won six straight as the road underdog.
When the Royals win, they win big, with an average run margin of 4.0 runs. But when they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -3.4 runs. Their overall run line record is 74-58, and they are 39-30 against the run line at home. As the underdog, they are 39-25 against the run line, and as the favorite, they are 35-33.
The Kansas City Royals are on the road today to face the Cleveland Guardians. The over/under line for today’s game is set at 9 runs, which matches the combined run average of these two teams. The Royals’ over/under record for the season is 61-67, and their average over/under line is also 9 runs. When the line has been set at 9 runs, their record is 14-12-1. So far this season, 84 of their games have had over/under lines set lower than 9 runs, which accounts for 63.6% of their games.
Michael Lorenzen has made 22 starts for the Royals this season and has a record of 7-6. His ERA is 3.48, along with a WHIP of 1.25. This year, opponents are batting .218 off the right-hander. Lorenzen’s most recent outing was on August 21st, where he picked up the win, going seven innings and not giving up a run. In that outing, he gave up four hits, issued two walks, and didn’t allow a homer. Before that, he had given up a homer in three straight outings. Lorenzen has a total of 17 homers this season.
For the season, the Royals are averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 8th in the league. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.2 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .258 (5th) and have the 7th best slugging percentage in the league. The Royals have been one of the hardest teams to strike out this season, but they don’t draw a lot of walks.
Bobby Witt Jr. has been one of the best hitters in the league this season, batting .347 with 27 home runs and 94 RBIs. Salvador Perez is also having a big season, hitting .282 with 25 homers and 94 RBIs. Perez has gone deep three times in his last 10 games, while MJ Melendez and Dairon Blanco also have three homers in this stretch. Melendez is 10/27 in his last 10 games, while Blanco is 9/19 in his last seven games.
Guardians Records & Stats
Cleveland is hosting the Royals today, and they are looking to avoid dropping the series, as they are currently down 0-2. The Guardians hold a one-game lead over the Royals in the AL Central, and their overall record is 75-57. The Guardians lost the first two games of this series after going 3-1 in their previous series vs. the Tigers.
So far, the Guardians have gone 21-19 in AL Central games. Overall, they have gone just 3-7 across their last ten games. At home, Cleveland is 40-23 this year and 35-34 on the road. As the favorite, the Guardians are 52-28 and 23-29 as the underdog.
When playing at home, the Guardians have a run line record of 30-33, with an average run margin of 0.8 runs per game. Their overall run line record is 65-67, with an average run margin of 0.5 runs per game. As the underdog, they are 30-22 against the run line.
The Cleveland Guardians will be playing at home against the Kansas City Royals today. The over/under line for the game is set at 9 runs, which is slightly higher than their combined run average of 8.6. The Guardians have had a record of 63-60 on the over/under line this season, and their average line is set at 8 runs. When the line has been set at 9 runs, their record is 8-10-2. This season, only 4.5% of their games have had lines set at 9 runs or higher.
Cleveland is sending Gavin Williams to the mound today vs. the Royals, and he will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Yankees. In that start, he went 4 1/3 innings, giving up three earned runs, and taking the loss. Williams has given up at least two homers in three of his last four starts. Overall, he has an ERA of 5.13 and a record of 2-6. Williams has made 10 starts, and opponents are batting .259 this season. Looking back, he has made two quality starts this year. Per nine innings, Williams is averaging 9.89 strikeouts and 3.61 walks.
Jose Ramirez and Josh Naylor have been the Guardians’ top power hitters this season, as Ramirez’s 33 homers is 5th in the league and Naylor’s 28 is 8th. Ramirez also has the 2nd most RBIs in the league at 104, while Naylor is 6th with 92. Naylor comes into the game with a four-game hitting streak, and Jhonkensy Noel has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 8/26 with three homers in his last seven games.
Overall, the Guardians are averaging 4.5 runs per game and have been a better offensive team at home than on the road. As a team, they are batting just .237, which is 17th in the league, and their collective on-base percentage of .308 is also below the league average. Cleveland’s offense has been good at avoiding strikeouts this season, and they have the league’s worst BABIP.