Chicago Cubs vs Miami Marlins Betting Pick & Prediction 8/24/24

The Cubs are the heavy favorite on the money line today, as they are at -166 compared to the Marlins at +141. Today’s over/under line is sitting at 8 runs, and the game will be televised on MARQ.

First pitch from loanDepot Park in Miami is set for 4:10 PM ET. Chicago is currently 3rd in the NL Central, while the Marlins are 5th in the NL East. Valente Bellozo is starting for the Marlins, and the Cubs are starting Shota Imanaga.

CHICAGO CUBS VS MIAMI MARLINS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Chicago Cubs Moneyline -166

This game will be played at loanDepot Park at 4:10 ET on Saturday, August 24th.

HOW TO BET THE CUBS VS MARLINS:

• We have the Cubs winning by a score of 5 to 4
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Marlins to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

Chicago picked up a 6-3 win over the Marlins in the most recent game of this series. The Cubs had a big 3rd inning, scoring three of their six runs. As for the Marlins, they scored their three runs in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Cubs were favored at -125 on the money line.

Kyle Hendricks got the start for the Cubs, going just 4 2/3 innings while giving up three runs and striking out two. Porter Hodge got the win out of the bullpen, and Jorge Lopez got the save. Max Meyer went six innings for the Marlins, giving up three earned runs on six hits.

Miguel Amaya and Ian Happ each homered for the Cubs, while Pete Crow-Armstrong scored twice and drove in a run while going 2/3. Seiya Suzuki also had a two-hit game at the plate.

Cubs Records & Stats

After winning the series opener vs. the Marlins, the Cubs are 64-65 overall, putting them 3rd in the NL Central. They are 10.5 games behind the Brewers for the division lead and trail the Cardinals by a half-game for the 2nd Wild Card spot. Chicago’s record includes an 17-26 mark in divisional games.

Chicago has won two straight games, and they are 36-29 at home compared to 28-36 on the road. The Cubs have an overall series record of 17-21-3, and they have won two straight series. As the favorite, the Cubs are 32-31 this year.

When the Cubs are favored, they are just 18-45 against the run line. However, when they are the underdog, they are 44-22. They have a run line record of 37-27 on the road this season and have covered in two straight games.

The Cubs have been involved in a lot of high-scoring games this season, with their combined run average sitting at 8.3 runs per game. They have hit the over in 57 of their 125 games, and their over/under record is 6-16-1 when the line is set at 8 runs. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, and they are currently on a three-game over streak.

Shota Imanaga gets the start for the Cubs today as he faces the Marlins on the road. He has made 23 starts this season and has a record of 9-3 with an ERA of 3.10. Looking at his overall numbers, Imanaga has a WHIP of 1.07 and has issued just 1.35 walks per nine innings. In his last outing, Imanaga took the loss, giving up one earned run in five innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Imanaga has allowed at least one homer in three straight outings.

Chicago comes into the game averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 18th in the league. They have been slightly better on the road, averaging 4.3 runs per game. As a team, the Cubs are batting .235, which is 17th in the league, and are also 16th in home runs. Currently, they are 7th in the league in walks.

Ian Happ has been the Cubs’ top power threat this season, as his 23 home runs is the best mark on the team and 14th in the league. He has also been swinging the bat well of late, going 10/37 in his last 10 games with four homers. Overall, Happ is batting just .232. Nico Hoerner has been a solid contact hitter for the Cubs, batting .252 with five homers.

Marlins Records & Stats

Miami is 46-82 overall, and they are 28.0 games behind the Phillies in the NL East. The Marlins have dropped four straight games, and they are 13-26 against other teams in the NL East. The Marlins lost the series opener vs. the Cubs and have an overall series record of 10-25-6 this season.

At home, the Marlins are 24-43 compared to a 22-39 mark on the road. As the underdog, the Marlins are 42-69 this season, and they are just 4-13 when favored. Their overall record as the underdog is much better than their record as the favorite.

When the Marlins win, they do so by an average of 2.7 runs per game, which has led to a run line record of 58-70. They have been a better bet on the run line as an underdog, going 56-55 compared to 2-15 as the favorite. They have covered the run line in 30 of 61 road games, but have failed to cover in four straight games at home.

When the Miami Marlins have played at home this season, the over has hit at a 71-54 clip, and the average combined run total in those games is 8.8. The over/under line for today’s game against the Chicago Cubs is set at 8 runs, and the Marlins have gone 16-10-2 in games with an O/U line of 8. Miami has seen 66 of their games this season with an O/U line set higher than 8 runs, which accounts for 51.6% of their games. The over has hit in their last two games.

Miami starter Valente Bellozo has made six starts this season and has a record of 2-1 with an ERA of 2.46. He has made one quality start this year and is coming off an outing in which he gave up two earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work. In that outing, he gave up one homer. Bellozo has been pitching well lately, as he hasn’t taken a loss in his last three outings. Opponents are batting .218 off the right-hander this season. Per nine innings, Bellozo has 7.36 strikeouts and just 2.18 walks.

For the season, the Marlins are averaging just 3.7 runs per game, which is 29th in the league. Their home and road splits are pretty similar, with the team averaging 4.1 runs per game at home and 3.2 on the road. As a team, the Marlins are batting just .239, and they are also near the bottom of the league in on-base percentage and OPS.

Jake Burger has been the Marlins’ top power threat this season, as his 25 homers are 13th in the league. However, he is hitting just .248 for the season and has gone 7/32 in his last eight games. Burger also has two homers during that stretch. Josh Bell, Otto Lopez, and Jesús Sánchez are all on decent hitting streaks right now.