New York Mets vs San Diego Padres Betting Pick & Prediction 8/23/24
At 9:40 PM ET, the Mets and Padres square off in an NL matchup. This one is being played at PETCO Park in San Diego, and the Padres are favored on the money line (-140). The money line odds for a Mets win are sitting at +119, and the payout odds for a Padres win are at +155.
New York has a record of 67-61 and they are 3rd in the NL East, while the Padres are 3rd in the NL West with an overall record of 72-57. Joe Musgrove will start for the Padres, while the Mets are going with Paul Blackburn. SNY is currently on a two-game winning streak. The over/under line is sitting at 7.5 runs, and the forecast for Friday’s game in San Diego calls for clear skies and temperatures in the mid-70s.
SAN DIEGO PADRES VS NEW YORK METS BETTING PICK
The Pick: San Diego Padres Moneyline -140
This game will be played at PETCO Park at 9:40 ET on Friday, August 23rd.
HOW TO BET THE METS VS PADRES:
- We have the Padres winning by a score of 6 to 5
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Mets to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
New York picked up an 8-3 road win over the Padres in the most recent game of this series. The Mets offense got off to a fast start, scoring one run in the first and adding two more in the 2nd. On the other side, the Padres got on the board with one run in the 5th and added their final two runs in the 9th.
Luis Severino only went five innings for the Mets but gave up just one run and picked up the win. Dylan Cease struggled on the mound for the Padres, giving up two earned runs in 6 1/3 innings of work.
Pete Alonso, Jeff McNeil, Mark Vientos, and Jesse Winker each had two hits and drove in at least one run for the Mets. Francisco Lindor and Jose Iglesias also had two hits and an RBI.
Mets Records & Stats
The Mets are 67-61 overall, and they are 7.5 games behind the Phillies in the NL East. New York is 22-17 against other teams in the NL East. The Mets have won two straight games, and they are 6-4 across their last 10 games.
At home, the Mets are 35-33 this year, and they are 32-28 on the road. As the favorite, the Mets are 43-35 this year and 24-26 as the underdog. New York’s overall series record is 21-16-7, and they have won two straight series.
When the Mets win, they win big, with an average run margin of +3.6. That’s a big reason why they are 60-68 against the run line this season. They are 32-28 against the run line on the road, where they have a scoring margin of +0.3 runs per game.
When the Mets are on the road, the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, and their games have averaged 9.3 runs per game this season. Overall, the over/under record for the Mets is 65-59, and when the line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 13-13. The average over/under line for Mets games this season is 8 runs, with 71.1% of their games having higher lines than today’s 7.5-run line.
New York is sending Paul Blackburn to the mound today vs. the Padres, and he comes in with a record of 5-3 and an ERA of 4.19. So far this year, he has made 13 starts, and opponents are batting .232 off the right-hander. Blackburn has made seven quality starts this year and is averaging 7.15 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, going six innings and giving up one earned run on four hits. Before that, he had given up at least two homers in three straight starts.
Francisco Lindor has been swinging a hot bat of late for the Mets, going 10/28 in his last seven games, including two home runs. He is also on a three-game hitting streak. For the season, he is hitting .268 with a team-high 73 RBIs and 25 homers, which is 2nd on the team and 12th in the league. Pete Alonso is also near the top of the league in homers, as his 27 long balls are the 10th best mark in the MLB. He is batting .247 for the season.
As a team, the Mets are 5th in home runs and are averaging 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Overall, they are 10th in batting average and have the league’s 5th best OPS.
Padres Records & Stats
San Diego is hosting the Mets today with an overall record of 72-57, and they are 3rd in the NL West, trailing the Dodgers by 4.5 games. So far, they are 20-20 in divisional matchups. The Padres have dropped two straight games, and this came after winning six of seven.
At home, the Padres are 35-31 this year, and they are 37-26 on the road. As the favorite, the Padres have gone 45-35 and 27-22 as the underdog. San Diego’s overall series record is 26-14-3, and they are losing the series vs. the Mets 0-1.
When the Padres win, they win big. They have an average run margin of 3.7 runs in their victories, which has helped them to a 67-62 run line record. However, they have lost two straight games against the run line at home and are 26-40 on the run line at Petco Park this season.
The San Diego Padres have been playing in high-scoring games this season, with an average of 9.0 runs per game. Their over/under record is 70-58, and the over has hit in four straight games. The over/under line for today’s game against the New York Mets is set at 7.5 runs, which is lower than their average line of 8 runs per game. So far this season, 59.7% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs.
Joe Musgrove gets the start for the Padres today and will be looking to build off his last outing, where he finished with a no-decision. In that outing vs. the Rockies, he went 4 1/3 innings and gave up one earned run on three hits. Looking back further, Musgrove has made 12 starts and has a record of 3-4 with an ERA of 4.97. Opposing batters are hitting .281 off Musgrove this season. The right-hander has made four quality starts this year and is averaging 7.91 strikeouts per nine innings. Musgrove’s ERA at home is 5.32 compared to 6.61 on the road.
The Padres come into today’s game as the league’s top hitting team, with a batting average of .265. They also have the fewest strikeouts in the league and are 1st in on-base percentage. San Diego is 10th in scoring at 4.8 runs per game and have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest.
Jurickson Profar and Manny Machado are tied for the team lead in home runs, with 20 apiece. Profar’s 77 RBIs are the best on the team and 15th in the MLB. Machado is 2nd on the team in RBIs and is batting .266 for the season. Over his last nine games, Machado has gone 7/30 with two homers. David Peralta has also gone deep twice in his last nine games while batting .355.