Arizona Diamondbacks vs Miami Marlins Betting Pick & Prediction 8/20/24

LoanDepot Park in Miami will host Tuesday’s Diamondbacks vs. Marlins matchup. First pitch is set for 6:40 PM ET, and the Diamondbacks are the betting favorite, with their money line odds sitting at -159 compared to the Marlins at +133. The over/under line is currently 7.5 runs.

Arizona is 70-56 this season, while the Marlins are 46-79. Eduardo Rodriguez will start for the Diamondbacks, and he will be facing off against Edward Cabrera. In the NL West, the Diamondbacks are currently 3rd, while the Marlins are 5th in the NL East.

MIAMI MARLINS VS ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Miami Marlins Moneyline +133

This game will be played at loanDepot Park at 6:40 ET on Tuesday, August 20th.

HOW TO BET THE DIAMONDBACKS VS MARLINS:

• We have the Marlins winning by a score of 6 to 5
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Marlins to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

Arizona picked up a 9-6 win over the Marlins in the most recent game of this series. The Diamondbacks had a huge 3rd inning, scoring four of their nine runs. As for the Marlins, they scored their six runs in the 5th and 9th innings.

Brandon Pfaadt got the win for the Diamondbacks, going just 5 1/3 innings and giving up four earned runs. He finished the game with just four strikeouts and issued two walks. Adam Oller had a rough outing for the Marlins, taking the loss after going just 4 2/3 innings and giving up five earned runs.

Adrian Del Castillo and Jake McCarthy each homered for the Diamondbacks, while Joc Pederson scored three times and drove in two runs while going 1/3. Geraldo Perdomo also had a two-hit game at the plate.

Diamondbacks Records & Stats

Arizona is 70-56 overall this season, and they are 4th in the NL West, four games behind the Dodgers for the division lead. The Diamondbacks are 22-14 in divisional games this year. They have won seven of their last ten games overall.

At home, the Diamondbacks are 37-26 this season, and they have gone 33-30 on the road. Arizona has been good as the favorite this year, going 39-24, and they are 31-32 as the underdog. In their series vs. the Marlins, the Diamondbacks lead 1-0, and their overall series record is 22-14-4.

When the Arizona Diamondbacks are on the road, they have been a solid bet against the run line, going 35-28. Their average run margin in all games is +0.6, and that number jumps to +0.7 when they are at home. They have been a better run line bet as the underdog, going 39-24, compared to 25-38 when favored.

The Diamondbacks are on the road against the Marlins today, and the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs. The combined run average for Arizona’s games this season is 10.0 runs per game, and their over/under record is 69-50. When the line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 9-4. Overall, 84.1% of their games this season have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs. The over has hit in each of their last two games.

Eduardo Rodriguez and the Diamondbacks are on the road to take on the Marlins. Rodriguez has made two starts this season, picking up a win in his first outing and taking a no-decision in his last start. In that outing, he went 5 innings and gave up 3 runs on 6 hits.

Arizona’s offense has been the best in the league this season, averaging 5.3 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.5 runs per game. The Diamondbacks are also one of the league’s top home run hitting teams and have a collective batting average of .260, which is the 4th best mark in the MLB.

Christian Walker is 2nd on the team with 71 RBIs and has gone deep 23 times this season, which is 14th best in the league. Ketel Marte has been the team’s top power threat, as his 30 homers are 7th best in the MLB. He also leads the team with 81 RBIs and is batting .298.

Marlins Records & Stats

Miami is 46-79 overall, putting them 5th in the NL East, and they trail the Phillies by 27.5 games in the division. So far, they have gone just 13-26 against other teams in the NL East. The Marlins dropped the first game of this series vs. the Diamondbacks and are just 3-7 across their last 10 games.

At home, the Marlins are 24-40 this year, and they are 22-39 on the road. As the underdog, Miami is 42-66 this year, compared to 4-13 as the favorite. The Marlins’ overall series record is 10-24-6, and they have dropped two straight series at home.

When the Marlins win, they do so by an average of 2.7 runs per game, but when they lose, they lose by an average of 3.7 runs per game. Miami is 58-67 against the run line this season, including 28-36 at home and 30-31 on the road. The Marlins are 2-15 against the run line as the favorite and 56-52 against the run line as the underdog.

With an average combined run average of 8.8 runs per game, the Miami Marlins and their opponents have been involved in high-scoring contests this season. The over/under record for Marlins games is 69-53, and when the line is set at 7.5 runs, the over has hit at a 19-6 clip. Overall, 73.6% of Miami’s games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs, with the average line for their games this season being set at 8 runs.

Miami is starting right-hander Edward Cabrera today vs. the Diamondbacks. He has made 13 starts this season and has a record of 2-4 with a 5.76 ERA. Cabrera’s WHIP for the season is 1.50, and opponents are batting .227 this season. In his 13 starts, he has turned in two quality starts and is averaging 10.62 strikeouts per nine innings. Cabrera’s most recent outing was a rough one, as he gave up six earned runs in four innings of work vs. the Phillies. Before that, he had not allowed a run in two straight starts.

Marlins 3B Jake Burger has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his 24 homers are 13th best in the league and leads the Marlins. Burger has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 10/32 in his last eight games, with four homers and five RBIs. In terms of batting average, he is hitting .248 for the season.

As a team, the Marlins are 29th in the league in runs per game at just 3.7. They have been a little better at home, averaging 4.1 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting just .238 and are near the bottom of the league in on-base percentage, slugging, and OPS.