Minnesota Twins vs Texas Rangers Betting Pick & Prediction 8/18/24

The Twins and Rangers are facing off in an AL matchup at 2:35 PM ET. This one is being played at Globe Life Field in Arlington, and the Twins are currently on a three-game winning streak. They are 70-53 overall and 2nd in the AL Central. The Rangers are 3rd in the AL West with an overall record of 56-68.

Minnesota is the money line favorite today, and the odds have them at -121 compared to the Rangers at +102. Sunday’s over/under line is at 8 runs, and BSSW is carrying this one on TV. Tyler Mahle is starting for the Rangers, while the Twins are going with Pablo Lopez.

TEXAS RANGERS VS MINNESOTA TWINS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Texas Rangers Moneyline +102

This game will be played at Globe Life Field at 2:35 ET on Sunday, August 18th.

HOW TO BET THE TWINS VS RANGERS:

• We have the Rangers winning by a score of 6 to 5
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Rangers to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Twins vs Rangers series. Minnesota went into the matchup as +123 underdogs and squeaked out a 5-2 win. Both teams scored one run in the first inning, and the Rangers could only muster one more run in the 4th inning. As for the Twins, they scored the game’s go-ahead run in the 5th, and both teams went scoreless until the Twins tacked on three insurance runs in the 8th.

Trevor Larnach and Willi Castro each had two RBIs for the Twins’ offense. Larnach, Josh Donaldson, and Miguel Sano each homered for Minnesota. On the other side, Carson Kelly hit the game’s only other home run for the Rangers’ offense.

David Festa only went five innings for the Twins but gave up just two hits and two earned runs. Ronny Henriquez got the win out of the bullpen, and Cole Sands got the save. Nathan Eovaldi had a rough outing for the Rangers, taking the loss after going seven innings.

Twins Records & Stats

Minnesota is 70-53 overall this season and trails the Guardians by two games for the AL Central lead. The Twins have gone 28-17 against other teams in the division. They have won three straight games, and they have gone 7-3 across their last 10 games overall.

At home, the Twins are 36-24 this season, and they are just above .500 at 34-29 on the road. As the favorite, the Twins have put together a record of 55-31 and 15-22 as the underdog. Minnesota has an overall series record of 23-13-3 this year.

Minnesota is 34-29 vs. the run line on the road this season, with an average run margin of +0.2 runs per game. The Twins have covered in two straight run line games on the road and have a +0.6 run margin overall this season.

The Minnesota Twins are on the road today to face the Texas Rangers. The combined run average in Twins games this season is 9.2, and their over/under record is 62-57. The over/under line for today’s game is set at 8 runs. When the line is set at 8 runs, the Twins have gone 8-16-4. So far this season, 40.7% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8 runs. The Twins have gone under in their last four games.

Pablo López has made 24 starts this season and has a record of 11-8. His ERA is 4.67, and he is coming off a solid outing in which he picked up the win. Against the Royals on August 12th, López went 6 innings, giving up 3 runs, and 2 of them were earned. Looking back further, he has turned in a quality start in three straight outings. López’s WHIP for the season is 1.15, and opponents are batting .240 off the right-hander this year. For the season, he has allowed 22 home runs.

Carlos Santana and Ryan Jeffers have been the Twins’ top power threats this season, with Santana leading the team with 17 homers and Jeffers right behind him at 18. Jeffers is also the team’s leader in RBIs, coming into the game with 54. Willi Castro is batting .259 for the season and has two homers in his last eight games.

Collectively, the Twins are 7th in scoring at 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.1 runs per game. As a team, they are 7th in batting average and have the league’s 5th best OPS at .751.

Rangers Records & Stats

Texas is looking to pick up a win today, as they are 56-68, putting them 3rd in the AL West. Currently, they trail the Astros by 11 games. So far, they have gone 14-18 in AL West matchups. The Rangers have lost three straight games, and this comes after dropping the final game of their series vs. the Mariners.

At home, the Rangers are 31-30 this season compared to 25-38 on the road. As the favorite, Texas has gone 36-30 and 20-38 as the underdog. One issue for the Rangers has been their play at home, as they have dropped five straight at home. So far, they have an overall series record of 15-23-1, and they have dropped six straight series.

When betting the run line with the Texas Rangers, it’s been profitable to take them as the underdog, as they are 31-27 in that role. They are 22-44 when favored. The Rangers have a negative run differential overall (-0.3 runs per game), but they have a positive run differential at home (+0.4 runs per game).

At home against the Minnesota Twins, the Texas Rangers have an over/under line of 8 runs. The combined run average for Rangers games this season is 8.8 runs per game. Their over/under record is 55-64, and their average over/under line is 9 runs per game. When the line is set at 8 runs, their record is 8-13-2. This season, 83 of their games have had over/under lines set above 8 runs, which is 66.9% of their games. Their current under streak is at 3 games.

Tyler Mahle will be making his second start of the season for the Rangers, and it will be his first home start. In his first outing, he took a loss against the Astros, going 5 innings and giving up 1 earned run. He followed that up with a no-decision in his last start, going 4 2/3 innings and giving up 2 earned runs.

Currently, the Rangers are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 18th in the league and slightly below the league average. As a team, they are batting .239, and their team on-base percentage of .307 is also below the league average. However, they do have the 15th ranked home run offense in the league. Adolis Garcia has been hot of late, going 10/29 in his last seven games with two homers.

Corey Seager is leading the Rangers in batting average at .271 and also has a team-high 63 RBIs and 26 homers. Marcus Semien and Garcia are also near the top of the team’s home run leaderboard, with 18 and 20 homers, respectively. Semien comes into the game on a six-game hitting streak.