Cleveland Guardians vs Milwaukee Brewers Betting Pick & Prediction 8/16/24

The Guardians and Brewers will face off in an interleague matchup at 8:10 PM ET on Friday. This one is being played at American Family Field in Milwaukee, and the Guardians are the AL Central leaders with a record of 72-49, while the Brewers are leading the NL Central at 69-52.

Cleveland comes into the game on a five-game winning streak, and they are the slight money line favorites tonight at -117. The Brewers have won two straight, and their money line odds are sitting at -102. Aaron Civale is starting for the Guardians, and he is facing off against Gavin Williams for the Brewers. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs.

MILWAUKEE BREWERS VS CLEVELAND GUARDIANS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Milwaukee Brewers Moneyline -102

This game will be played at American Family Field at 8:10 ET on Friday, August 16th.

HOW TO BET THE GUARDIANS VS BREWERS:

• We have the Brewers winning by a score of 5 to 4
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Brewers to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

Guardians Records & Stats

Heading into their last game vs. the Cubs, the Guardians closed out the series with a 6-1 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at -131 on the money line. It was a big 4th inning that really turned things in their favor, and the Cubs could only score one run, which came in the 4th.

Alex Cobb put together a good start for the Guardians, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win. Cleveland’s offense was carried by Andrés Giménez, who went 3/4 with a double, three RBIs, and a run scored. The Guardians also had three other players with two hits.

Cleveland is on a five-game winning streak, and they lead the AL Central by four games over the Twins. So far, they are 21-17 against other teams in the AL Central. The Guardians’ overall record is 72-49, and they are looking to pick up a win on the road today vs. the Brewers.

At home, the Guardians have gone 38-20 this season, and they are 34-29 on the road. As the favorite, Cleveland is 50-25 this year and 22-24 as the underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Guardians are 23-11-5 this year, and they swept the Cubs in their most recent series.

The Guardians have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 60-61, and they’ve been particularly good on the road, where they’re 33-30. They have covered the run line in two straight road games and have an average run margin of +0.7 runs per game overall. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 27-19 against the run line, compared to 33-42 as the favorite.

The Cleveland Guardians are on the road today, facing the Milwaukee Brewers. The over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs, which is slightly lower than their combined run average of 8.6. The Guardians have played to an over/under record of 58-55 this season, and when the line has been set at 8 runs, they have gone 11-10-4. In total, 57 of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, accounting for 47.1% of their contests.

Cleveland is sending Gavin Williams to the mound today vs. the Brewers, and he will be looking to build off his last outing, where he gave up just one earned run in six innings of work. In that outing vs. the Twins, he only gave up three hits and didn’t issue a walk. Williams has made eight starts this year and has a record of 2-4 with a 4.38 ERA. Opponents are batting .253 vs. Williams this year, and he has a WHIP of 1.36. Out of his eight starts, Williams has turned in two quality starts and is averaging 9.69 strikeouts per nine innings.

So far this season, the Guardians are averaging 4.6 runs per game, which is 12th in the league. At home, they have been even better, averaging 4.9 runs per contest, which is 7th in the MLB. As a team, they are batting .241, which is 13th in the league, and they are one of the best teams in terms of avoiding strikeouts. Cleveland’s offense has been led by José Ramírez and Josh Naylor, who have 31 and 26 homers, respectively.

Jhonkensy Noel has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 6/19 in his last six games with three homers and five RBIs. Will Brennan is also on a six-game hitting streak for the Guardians.

Brewers Records & Stats

The Brewers’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Dodgers, closing out their series with a 6-4 win. After allowing two runs to the Dodgers in the top of the first, the Brewers responded with three runs of their own. Milwaukee went on to add another three runs in the 3rd inning.

Starting for the Brewers was Tobias Myers, who picked up the win. He went 5 2/3 innings, giving up just two runs on eight hits. Myers only had one strikeout in the outing and got the win.

Milwaukee is hosting the Guardians today with an overall record of 69-52, and they lead the NL Central by nine games over the Cardinals. The Brewers have an overall record of 25-14 in divisional games this year. Milwaukee has won two straight games, and they closed out their series vs. the Dodgers with two consecutive wins.

As the underdog, the Brewers are 31-24 this year, and they have won two straight as the underdog overall. At home, the Brewers are 35-24 and 34-28 on the road. Milwaukee’s series record is 21-14-4 this year.

The Brewers are a team that is slightly above .500 against the run line this season at 63-58. They have been a better bet on the road at 35-27 compared to 28-31 at home. They have been a good bet as the underdog at 37-18 compared to 26-40 as the favorite. They are currently on a two-game run line win streak as the underdog.

When the Milwaukee Brewers host the Cleveland Guardians today, the over/under line is set at 8 runs. The combined run average in Brewers games this season is 8.8 runs, and their over/under record is 66-49. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 8-9-2. The over has hit in 59.5% of their games this season, and the over has hit in their last two games.

Right-hander Aaron Civale gets the start for the Brewers today and comes into the game with a record of 3-8 and an ERA of 5.02. So far this year, he has made 23 starts, and opponents are batting .265 off him. Civale’s last outing came on August 9th, where he picked up the win, going 6 1/3 innings and giving up two earned runs. Before that, he had allowed at least three earned runs in three straight outings. This year, he has given up a total of 23 homers. Per nine innings, Civale is averaging 2.97 walks compared to 8.59 strikeouts.

William Contreras has been hot of late for the Brewers, going 10/30 in his last eight games with four homers and seven RBIs. For the season, he is batting .285 with 16 homers. Willy Adames has been the team’s top power threat this season, as his 21 homers are 15th in the league, and he is 11th in the MLB with 81 RBIs. Adames is also on a four-game hitting streak.

As a team, the Brewers are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 8th in the league. They have been a good home and road offensive team this season. Overall, they are batting .255 (6th) and have the MLB’s 3rd best on-base percentage. Their team batting average of .255 is 6th in the league.