Milwaukee Brewers vs Atlanta Braves Betting Pick & Prediction 8/8/24

Thursday’s Braves vs. Brewers matchup features Charlie Morton for Atlanta and Frankie Montas for the Brewers. First pitch from Truist Park in Atlanta is set for 12:20 PM ET. BSSO is carrying the game on TV.

The over/under line is at 9.5 runs, and the Braves are favored on the money line at -144. The Brewers are +122 and will be looking to extend their two-game win streak. Milwaukee is currently 1st in the NL Central, while the Braves are 2nd in the NL East.

ATLANTA BRAVES VS MILWAUKEE BREWERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Atlanta Braves Moneyline -144

This game will be played at Truist Park at 12:20 ET on Thursday, August 8th.

HOW TO BET THE BREWERS VS BRAVES:

• We have the Braves winning by a score of 6 to 5
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Brewers to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

Atlanta wasted a good outing from Chris Sale, as he went just 4 2/3 innings but gave up just two hits and two earned runs as the Braves starter vs. the Brewers. Milwaukee went on to win that game 8-5, picking up a road win as +134 underdogs.

Freddy Peralta started for the Brewers, getting the win despite going just five innings and giving up four earned runs. He finished the game with six strikeouts but issued two walks.

At the plate, Blake Perkins, Joey Ortiz, and Jackson Chourio each had three hits and two RBIs for the Brewers. Rhys Hoskins and Gary Sanchez each drove in two for Milwaukee’s offense.

Brewers Records & Stats

Milwaukee is on the road today to take on the Braves, and they lead the NL Central by six games over the Cardinals. The Brewers are 64-49 overall and have gone 23-13 against other teams in the NL Central. Milwaukee has won two straight games, and they are 5-5 over their last 10.

As the road underdog, the Brewers have gone 22-15 this year and are 36-27 as the favorite. Milwaukee has been good at home, going 31-21, and they are just over .500 at 33-28 on the road. The Brewers have an overall series record of 19-14-3 but have dropped three straight series.

As a road team, the Brewers have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 34-27. Their average run margin on the road is +0.9, and they have covered the run line in two straight games. They have been especially good against the run line as an underdog, going 34-16. In games they have won, their average run margin is +3.6.

Despite the Milwaukee Brewers’ combined run average of 8.8, they have played to the over in just 62 of their 108 games this season. Their over/under record is 62-46, and they have played to the over in four of the seven games with an over/under line of 9.5 runs. The Brewers are currently on a two-game over streak.

Right-hander Frankie Montas gets the start for the Brewers today as he faces the Braves on the road. He has made 20 starts this season and has a record of 5-8 with a 5.03 ERA. Montas’ WHIP for the season is 1.45, and he has allowed a total of 15 home runs. Looking back at his last outing, Montas picked up the win vs. the Nationals, going five innings and giving up three earned runs. Before that, he had lost three straight starts. Montas has given up at least two homers in three of his last four outings.

Over the last 10 games, Rhys Hoskins has been swinging a hot bat for the Brewers, going 13/39 with three homers and eight RBIs. He is also on a 12-game hitting streak. Jackson Chourio has also been hot of late, hitting .366 over his last nine games with two homers. Chourio also has a six-game hitting streak.

Willy Adames and Rhys Hoskins are both tied for the team lead in homers, with 19 apiece. Adames comes into the game with a batting average of .250, while Hoskins is batting just .229 this season. So far, the Brewers are 4.8 runs per game, which is 9th in the league. Their team batting average of .257 is 4th in the MLB.

Braves Records & Stats

With an overall record of 60-53, the Braves are 7.5 games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. The Braves have dropped four straight games, and this losing streak has come after taking the first two games of their series vs. the Cardinals. So far this season, they are 18-16 in divisional matchups.

At home, the Braves are 32-25 this season, and they are an even 28-28 on the road. As the favorite, the Braves have gone 53-42 and 7-11 as the underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Braves are 19-13-5 this year.

So far, the Braves have dropped the first two games of their series vs. the Brewers, and they are 5-5 in their last 10 games overall.

When the Braves win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.6 runs per game. However, when they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -3.3 runs per game. Their run line record is 51-62, and they have been favored in 95 of their games, going 42-53 in those contests.

Despite the Braves’ overall over/under record of 41-67, their games have trended towards the under, with a combined run average of 8.0 runs per game. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, and their games have only had an over/under line of 9.5 runs in 4.4% of their games. Their games have had an over/under line of 9.5 runs in only 8.5% of their games, and their games have gone under the total in 100% of those games.

Charlie Morton will be looking to build off his last outing, where he gave up just one earned run in six innings of work. In that August 1st start vs. the Marlins, he picked up the win. Looking back over his last four outings, Morton has finished with a no-decision in three of them. He has a record of 6-6 this season and an ERA of 3.94. Out of his 20 starts, Morton has turned in nine quality starts and is averaging 8.76 strikeouts per nine innings. For the year, he has allowed 14 homers and is averaging 3.38 walks per nine innings.

Marcell Ozuna has been the Braves’ top hitter this season, as he is batting .297 with 32 home runs and 86 RBIs, which is 3rd in the league. Matt Olson is 2nd on the team with 18 homers but is batting just .229 this season. However, he has gone deep three times in his last nine games.

Currently, the Braves are 7th in home runs and are averaging 4.2 runs per game. They have been a good road team this season, averaging 4.3 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting just .239 and are 25th in the league in strikeouts.