Cincinnati Reds vs Miami Marlins Betting Pick & Prediction 8/7/24

From loanDepot Park in Miami, we have an NL matchup between the Reds and Marlins. First pitch for this one is set for 6:40 PM ET. BSOH is carrying this game on TV.

The Reds are the slight money line favorite (-148) and are looking to extend their two-game winning streak. The Marlins have lost two straight and are +125 on the money line. Valente Bellozo is slated to start for the Marlins, and he will be facing off against an Andrew Abbott and the Reds. Cincinnati is 4th in the NL Central, while the Marlins are 5th in the NL East.

MIAMI MARLINS VS CINCINNATI REDS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Miami Marlins Moneyline +125

This game will be played at loanDepot Park at 6:40 ET on Wednesday, August 7th.

HOW TO BET THE REDS VS MARLINS:

• We have the Marlins winning by a score of 6 to 5
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Marlins to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

The Reds cruised to an easy 8-2 win over the Marlins in the most recent game of this series. Cincinnati had a huge 4th inning, scoring four of their eight runs. As for the Marlins, they scored their only two runs in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Reds were favored at -133 on the money line.

This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Nick Lodolo for the Reds and Max Meyer for the Marlins. Lodolo went six innings and gave up just two hits and two earned runs. On the other side, Meyer was tagged for two homers and six runs in four innings of work.

Cincinnati’s offense was led by a big game from Elly De La Cruz, who went 4/5 with two RBIs. Both Tyler Stephenson and Ty France each homered for the Reds. For Miami, Xavier Edwards went 2/4 with an RBI.

Reds Records & Stats

Cincinnati is 55-58 overall and trails the Brewers by 8.5 games in the NL Central. The Reds have gone 14-15 in divisional games this year. The Reds have won two straight games, and they are 2-0 in this series vs. the Marlins.

At home, the Reds are 28-31 this season, and they are an even 27-27 on the road. As the road favorite, the Reds have gone 10-4 this year, and they are 29-25 as the favorite overall. Cincinnati’s series record is 13-20-3 this year.

When the Reds are on the road, they have been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 34-20. They have covered in two straight games and have been the underdog in 59 contests, going 36-23 against the run line. Their average run margin in winning games is 3.8, while it drops to -2.9 in losses.

The Cincinnati Reds are on the road against the Miami Marlins today. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs, which is exactly the combined run average for both teams this season. The Reds have a 51-58 over/under record on the year, and when the line has been set at 8.5 runs, they have gone over 11 times and under 9 times. Overall, 50.4% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8.5 runs. The Reds have hit the over in each of their last four games.

Cincinnati is sending left-hander Andrew Abbott to the mound today vs. the Marlins. He has made 22 starts this year and has a record of 9-8 with a 3.41 ERA. Abbott’s WHIP for the season is 1.29, and he is coming off a rough outing vs. the Giants, where he took the loss and gave up two earned runs in 4 1/3 innings of work. In that outing, he gave up one homer. Before that, he had given up a homer in three straight outings. Opponents are batting .229 off Abbott this season. Per nine innings, he is averaging 7.2 strikeouts and 3.4 walks.

Elly De La Cruz has been swinging a hot bat for the Reds of late, going 13/34 (.382) over his last eight games, with two homers and five RBIs. For the season, he is batting .268 with a team-high 20 homers. Spencer Steer and Jeimer Candelario are also near the top of the league in home runs, but both are batting under .230 for the season.

As a team, the Reds are averaging 4.5 runs per game, which is 14th in the league. They are also 10th in home runs and have the 6th best Isolated Power in the league. Currently, they are 20th in batting average and have the 18th best on-base percentage in the MLB.

Marlins Records & Stats

Miami is 5th in the NL East, 25.5 games behind the Phillies for the division lead. Overall, the Marlins are 42-72, and they have dropped two straight games. These two losses have come after they won two straight, so they are 4-6 over their last 10 games.

The Marlins have really struggled against other NL East teams, going 11-23 in the division this year. At home, the Marlins are 22-36 compared to a 20-36 mark on the road. As the underdog, the Marlins are 38-59 this year, and they are just 4-13 when favored.

When betting the run line, the Miami Marlins have been a better bet as the underdog this season, going 51-46, compared to just 2-15 as the favorite. Their overall run line record is 53-61, and they have gone 25-33 against the run line at home. Their average run margin is -1.3 runs per game, with a -1.1 run differential on the road and a -1.6 run differential at home. Their average run differential in winning games is +2.8 runs, while it drops to -3.8 runs in losing games. They have failed to cover the run line in two straight games, and they have been favored in both games.

The Miami Marlins are playing at home today against the Cincinnati Reds. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs, which is slightly higher than their combined run average of 8.6 runs per game this season. The Marlins have played to the over in 62 of their 111 games this season, and their average over/under line is set at 8 runs. In games with an over/under line of 8.5 runs, they have a record of 19-17. The over has hit in their last two games.

Valente Bellozo will be making his third start of the season for the Marlins, and it will be his first home start. In his first outing, he took the loss at home vs. the Red Sox, and then went 5 innings and gave up 2 runs in his last start vs. the Braves.

For the season, the Marlins are averaging just 3.6 runs per game, which is 29th in the league. They have been a little better at home, averaging 4 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .237, which is 16th in the league, and are 23rd in home runs. Miami’s team on-base percentage is just .292, which is 22nd in the league.

Jake Burger has been the Marlins’ top power threat this season, as his 17 home runs are 14th in the league. He also comes into the game on a good stretch of games, going 9/33 (.273) with four homers in his last eight games. Xavier Edwards has been hot of late, batting .406 over his last eight games. He is also on a nine-game hitting streak.