Milwaukee Brewers vs Washington Nationals Betting Pick & Prediction 8/3/24

The Nationals will look to snap a five-game losing streak when they host the Brewers today at Nationals Park in Washington, DC. However, they come into the game as the slight underdog on the money line (+113), while the Brewers are favored (-133). The over/under line is currently at 9 runs.

First pitch for this NL matchup is set for 4:05 PM ET, and the forecast from Washington, DC calls for clear skies and temperatures in the upper 80s. Aaron Civale will start for the Brewers, while the Nationals are sending DJ Herz to the mound. Milwaukee is currently 62-47 and is in 1st place in the NL Central, while the Nationals are 4th in the NL East with a record of 49-61. BSWI will be televising Saturday’s game.

WASHINGTON NATIONALS VS MILWAUKEE BREWERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Washington Nationals Moneyline +113

This game will be played at Nationals Park at 4:05 ET on Saturday, August 3rd.

HOW TO BET THE BREWERS VS NATIONALS:

• We have the Nationals winning by a score of 6 to 5
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Nationals to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

It was all Milwaukee in the last game of this series, as the Brewers took down the Nationals by a score of 8-3. The Brewers offense only had two more hits than the Nationals and struck out nine times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were at -111 on the money line.

This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Frankie Montas for the Brewers and Jake Irvin for the Nationals. Montas only went five innings but gave up just three hits and three earned runs. On the other side, Irvin was tagged for four homers and four runs in 5 2/3 innings of work.

Milwaukee’s top four hitters did the most damage, as they combined to go 7/16 with four homers and seven RBIs. William Contreras, Blake Perkins, Sal Frelick, and Willy Adames each had multi-hit games and went deep.

Brewers Records & Stats

Milwaukee leads the NL Central by 6.5 games over the Cardinals, and they have an overall record of 62-47. The Brewers have gone 23-13 against other teams in the NL Central. So far, they are 31-21 at home and have gone 31-26 on the road.

As the road favorite, the Brewers have a record of 11-11 this year, and they are 36-25 when favored overall. Milwaukee has been good in series, coming in with a mark of 19-13-3. They are currently winning their series vs. the Nationals.

When the Brewers are on the road, they are a good bet to cover the run line, as they are 32-25 on the run line. Their average run differential on the road is +0.8, and they have covered the run line in three straight road games. As the underdog, they are 32-16 on the run line, while they are just 25-36 on the run line as the favorite.

The Milwaukee Brewers are on the road tonight against the Washington Nationals. The over/under line for the game is set at 9 runs, which is slightly higher than their combined run average of 8.7 runs per game. The Brewers have a 59-45 over/under record this season, and their games have averaged 8 runs per game. When the over/under line has been set at 9 runs this season, their record is 5-5-2. So far this season, only 9.2% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs or higher, with 79.8% of their games having lower lines.

Aaron Civale gets the start for the Brewers today as he faces the Nationals on the road. So far this season, he has made 21 starts and has a record of 2-7 with an ERA of 4.92. Looking at his overall numbers, Civale has a WHIP of 1.39 and has issued 3 walks per nine innings compared to 8.75 strikeouts. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up 2 earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work. Civale has made four quality starts this year. Opponents are batting .263 off the right-hander this season.

William Contreras and Willy Adames have been the Brewers’ top power threats this season, as Contreras has 12 homers and Adames has gone deep 17 times. Adames’ 71 RBIs are the best mark on the team and the 10th best in the league. Rhys Hoskins has also been a solid power threat, with 18 homers, but he is batting just .220 this season.

As a team, the Brewers are averaging 4.7 runs per game and are the 4th best hitting team in the league with a batting average of .255. They are also one of the best teams in terms of on-base percentage and have the 3rd most walks in the league. Milwaukee’s offense has been good at avoiding strikeouts this season and has the 2nd best BABIP in the league.

Nationals Records & Stats

Washington is hosting the Brewers today, and they are looking to snap a five-game losing streak, which includes losing the first game of this series. The Nationals are 49-61 overall, and they trail the Phillies by 16.5 games in the NL East. So far, they are 16-15 in divisional matchups.

At home, the Nationals are 23-28 this season compared to 26-33 on the road. As the underdog, Washington is 39-52 this year and 10-9 when favored. Their overall series record is 14-19-2, and they are just 2-8 over their last 10 games.

Washington’s run line record this season is 62-48, including a 27-24 mark at home. The Nationals have a run differential of -0.5 runs per game overall, and they have covered the run line in 35 of 59 road games. As the underdog, they are 53-38 against the run line, while they are just 9-10 as the favorite. Washington’s average run differential in wins is +3.4, while it’s -3.7 in losses.

Washington’s games have averaged 9.0 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 55-51. When their over/under line has been set at 9 runs, they have gone 10-9-2. The over has hit in four straight games for the Nationals.

Washington is sending DJ Herz to the mound today vs. the Brewers, and he is coming off a start in which he didn’t give up a homer. Against the Cardinals on July 28th, Herz went 5 innings, giving up 2 earned runs, and finished with a no-decision. Looking back at his last three starts, Herz has given up a homer in each outing. His record for the season is 1-4, and his ERA is 4.79. Opponents are batting .253 off Herz this season. So far, he has made one quality start and is averaging 11.54 strikeouts per nine innings.

Washington’s offense is averaging 4.2 runs per game this season, which is 19th in the MLB. They have been a little better on the road, averaging 4.3 runs per contest. The Nationals have the league’s worst home run total and are near the bottom of the league in terms of slugging percentage and OPS.

CJ Abrams has been the Nationals’ top power threat this season, as he has 16 homers and 54 RBIs, both of which are the best marks on the team. However, he is just 6/36 in his last nine games. Luis Garcia Jr. has the team’s 2nd most homers and is batting .282 for the season.