Minnesota Twins vs New York Mets Betting Pick & Prediction 7/31/24

Wednesday’s interleague matchup between the Twins and Mets is set to get started at 1:10 PM ET from Citi Field in New York, NY. The Mets are currently on a two-game winning streak and are 57-50 overall, while the Twins have lost two in a row and are 3rd in the AL Central with a record of 58-48.

SNY will be televising this game, and the money line odds have the Mets as the slight favorite, with their odds sitting at -105 compared to the Twins at -114. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs, and Wednesday’s starting pitching matchup is Pablo Lopez for the Twins and Luis Severino for the Mets.

NEW YORK METS VS MINNESOTA TWINS BETTING PICK

The Pick: New York Mets Moneyline -105

This game will be played at Citi Field at 1:10 ET on Wednesday, July 31st.

HOW TO BET THE TWINS VS METS:

• We have the Mets winning by a score of 6 to 5
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Mets to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

New York picked up a 2-0 win over the Twins in the most recent game of this series. The Mets had just five hits in the game but got to Twins starter David Festa, who gave up two earned runs in five innings of work. As for the Twins, they were held to just two hits and were shut out.

Sean Manaea started for the Mets and picked up the win, going seven innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with 11 strikeouts but issued one walk. Edwin Diaz closed things out.

Offensively, the Mets were led by Mark Vientos and J.D. Martinez, as they were the only two Mets hitters to have more than one hit. Vientos hit the game’s only home run.

Twins Records & Stats

With an overall record of 58-48, the Twins are 3rd in the AL Central and trail the Guardians by 6.5 games. The Twins have dropped two straight games, and this comes after winning four in a row. So far, they have gone 21-14 in divisional games.

Minnesota has been good both at home and on the road this season, as they are 29-21 at home and 29-27 on the road. As the favorite, the Twins have gone 46-27 and 12-21 as the underdog. Minnesota’s overall series record is 21-11-2, and they have won two straight series.

When betting the run line for the Minnesota Twins, it is important to note that they have a run line record of 50-56 on the season. They have been slightly better on the road, going 30-26, compared to 20-30 at home. Their average run margin for the season is +0.3 runs per game, and they have a scoring margin of +0.2 runs per game on the road and +0.5 runs per game at home. They have a run line record of 33-40 as the favorite and 17-16 as the underdog.

Minnesota Twins games have averaged 9.2 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 54-50. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, their record is 14-15. So far this season, 61.3% of their games have had lower over/under lines than 8.5 runs, with just 11.3% of their games having higher lines.

Pablo López gets the start for the Twins today as he faces the Mets on the road. He has made 21 starts this season and has a record of 9-7 with an ERA of 4.73. Looking at his overall numbers, opponents are batting .241 this season. In his last outing, López picked up the win, going seven innings and giving up two earned runs on six hits. Before that, he had turned in three straight outings with no more than one earned run allowed. López has a WHIP of 1.14 this season.

Heading into today’s game, the Twins are one of the top-scoring offenses in the league, averaging 4.8 runs per contest. This has been the case both at home and on the road. As a team, they are batting .252, which is 8th in the league, and are also among the league leaders in on-base percentage and slugging. Currently, they are 8th in home runs and have the league’s 5th best isolated power figure.

Over his last three games, Matt Wallner has gone 4/9 with two homers and three RBIs. This has helped him move into the team’s home run lead. Ryan Jeffers and Carlos Santana are 1st and 2nd on the team in RBIs, with 49 and 47, respectively. Jeffers has 15 homers, while Santana has gone deep 14 times this season.

Mets Records & Stats

The Mets are 57-50 overall and trail the Phillies by eight games for the NL East lead. Currently, they are 3rd in the division and have gone 20-16 in divisional matchups. New York has won two straight games, and they have gone 7-3 over their last 10 games overall.

So far, the Mets have been good both at home and on the road, with records of 30-28 at home and 27-22 on the road. As the underdog, the Mets have been good, winning three straight as the underdog. Their overall record as the underdog is 22-22, and as the favorite, they are 35-28 this season. New York’s overall series record is 16-13-7, and they are currently winning their series vs. the Twins 2-0.

When betting the run line on the Mets at home, you may want to consider taking the underdog. They are 27-17 against the run line as underdogs this season. The Mets’ overall run line record is 52-55, and their average run differential is +0.3 runs per game.

The Mets are playing at home against the Twins today, and the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for Mets games this season is 9.5 runs, and their over/under record is 57-47. The average over/under line for Mets games is 8 runs, but when the line is set at 8.5 runs, the over/under record is 19-12. Overall, 24 of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, which represents 22.4% of their games this season.

Luis Severino gets the start for the Mets today and comes in with a record of 7-3 and an ERA of 3.58. So far, he has made 20 starts and nine of them have been quality starts. Severino’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.20, and opponents are batting .221 off the right-hander this year. In his last outing, Severino finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. The right-hander has been much better at home, coming in with a record of 4-1 and an ERA of 3.0 compared to 3-2 with a 4.49 ERA on the road.

With a team batting average of .250, the Mets have the 10th best average in the league this season. They are also near the top of the league in home runs and have been one of the better run-scoring teams in the league, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .250, which is 10th in the MLB.

Both Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso come into the game with 22 home runs, which is the best mark on the team and 9th best in the league. Lindor has gone 11/43 in his last 10 games, with five homers and 11 RBIs. Brandon Nimmo has also been a good run producer for the Mets, as his 65 RBIs are 12th best in the MLB.