Washington Nationals vs Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Pick & Prediction 7/30/24

MLB Network will be televising Tuesday night’s Nationals vs. Diamondbacks matchup, with the first pitch being set for 9:40 PM ET. This one is being played at Chase Field in Phoenix, and the Nationals are +156 on the money line compared to the Diamondbacks at -184. The over/under line is at 9.5 runs.

Washington comes in with a record of 49-58 and has lost two straight. They are 4th in the NL East, while the Diamondbacks are 3rd in the NL West. Patrick Corbin is starting for the Nationals, and he is facing off against Ryne Nelson.

WASHINGTON NATIONALS VS ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS BETTING PICK

The Pick: UNDER 9.5 Runs

This game will be played at Chase Field at 9:40 ET on Tuesday, July 30th.

HOW TO BET THE NATIONALS VS DIAMONDBACKS:

• We have the Diamondbacks winning by a score of 5 to 4
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Nationals to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the under

Arizona picked up a 9-8 win over the Nationals in the most recent game of this series. The Diamondbacks had a huge 5th inning, scoring five of their nine runs. As for the Nationals, they scored two runs in the 6th and added three more in the 9th, but fell just short.

Joe Mantiply got the win for the Diamondbacks out of the bullpen, while Kyle Finnegan took the loss for Washington. Jordan Montgomery only went four innings for Arizona, giving up six runs on nine hits. Mitchell Parker pitched well for the Nationals in this one, going five innings and giving up just two earned runs.

Ketel Marte and Corbin Carroll each homered for the Diamondbacks, while Alex Call went deep for the Nationals. Marte, Carroll, Geraldo Perdomo, and Lourdes Gurriel Jr. each had two hits and two RBIs for Arizona’s offense.

Nationals Records & Stats

Washington is 49-58 overall this season, and they are 16.5 games behind the Phillies in the NL East. The Nationals lost the first game of this series vs. the Diamondbacks, and they trail the Mets by 7.5 games for 3rd place in the division. So far, they are 16-15 in divisional games.

At home, the Nationals are 23-27 this season, and they have gone 26-31 on the road. As the underdog, the Nationals are 39-49 this season, and they are 10-9 when favored. Washington has an overall series record of 14-18-2 and has won two straight series on the road.

Washington has been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 61-46 overall. The Nationals have been particularly profitable on the road, where they are 34-23 against the run line. Their average run differential on the road is -0.2, and they have covered the run line in four straight games away from home.

Washington is on the road in Arizona today, and the over/under line is set at 9.5 runs. The Nationals have played to an average of 8.9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 52-51. When the over/under line has been set at 9.5 runs, they are 6-7. Overall, only 5.6% of their games have had higher over/under lines than today’s, and 82.2% have had lower lines.

Left-hander Patrick Corbin gets the start for the Nationals today as he faces the Diamondbacks on the road. Corbin has made 21 starts this year and has a record of 2-10 with a 5.26 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Corbin has a WHIP of 1.46 and opponents are batting .280 this year. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up three earned runs in seven innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Corbin has given up at least one homer in four of his last five outings.

Washington’s offense is averaging 4.3 runs per game this season, which is 16th in the league. They have been a better offensive team on the road, averaging 4.4 runs per game. The Nationals are 23rd in the league in home runs and have the worst team slugging percentage in the league. However, they have been a tough team to strike out, as they are 6th in the league in fewest strikeouts.

CJ Abrams and Luis Garcia Jr. have been the Nationals’ top power threats this season, with 15 and 11 homers, respectively. Abrams also leads the team with 51 RBIs, while Garcia Jr. is 2nd on the team with 50 RBIs. Harold Ramirez has been hot of late, going 9/17 in his last five games with a home run and eight RBIs.

Diamondbacks Records & Stats

Arizona is 3rd in the NL West, trailing the Dodgers by seven games. Overall, they are 56-51 after taking the first game of their series vs. the Nationals. So far, they have gone 19-14 in divisional games.

As the favorite, the Diamondbacks have gone 29-20 this year, and they are 24-14 as the favorite at home. On the road, they are 27-26 this year. Arizona has an overall series record of 17-13-4 this year, and they have won four straight series on the road.

Arizona has been a solid run line bet this season, going 55-52, but the Diamondbacks have been even better on the road, where they are 31-22 against the run line. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 35-23 against the run line, compared to 20-29 as the favorite. Their average run margin is +0.3 runs per game, and they have been outscored by 0.0 runs per game at home.

Arizona’s games have been high-scoring this season, with a combined run average of 9.8 runs per game. However, the over/under record for the Diamondbacks is 57-47, and their games have gone over the line in just 5.6% of their games this season. When the over/under line is set at 9.5, their record is 3-7, and the average line for their games this season is 9 runs per game.

Ryne Nelson is looking to build off his last outing, where he finished with a no-decision. Against the Royals, he gave up four earned runs in six innings of work. Looking back further, Nelson has made 17 starts and six of them have been quality starts. His ERA for the season is 4.85, along with a record of 7-6. Nelson’s WHIP for the season is 1.41. So far, he has allowed a total of 10 home runs. The right-hander has a BB/9 figure of 2.2 compared to 6.41 strikeouts per nine innings.

Arizona comes into the game as one of the league’s top-scoring offenses, averaging 5 runs per game. This has been the case both at home and on the road. The team has also been one of the league’s top home run-hitting teams, as they are 12th in the league in homers and have the 6th best team batting average in the league.

Christian Walker and Ketel Marte have been a strong 1-2 punch in the Diamondbacks lineup, with both players having 23 homers this season. Marte has been especially hot of late, batting .393 over his last eight games with five home runs. He also has 71 RBIs, which is 8th best in the MLB.