Minnesota Twins vs New York Mets Betting Pick & Prediction 7/30/24

At 7:10 PM ET, the Twins and Mets square off in an interleague matchup. This one is being played at Citi Field in New York, and the Mets are favored on the money line (-134). The money line odds for the Twins are sitting at +114, and the over/under line is at 8.5 runs.

David Festa is starting for the Twins, and he is facing off against Sean Manaea. The Twins are 2nd in the AL Central and have a record of 58-47, while the Mets are 3rd in the NL East and have gone 56-50. SNY will be televising this one.

NEW YORK METS VS MINNESOTA TWINS BETTING PICK

The Pick: New York Mets Moneyline -134

This game will be played at Citi Field at 7:10 ET on Tuesday, July 30th.

HOW TO BET THE TWINS VS METS:

• We have the Mets winning by a score of 6 to 5
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Twins to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

New York cruised to a 15-2 win over the Twins in the most recent game of this series. The Mets had a huge 4th inning, scoring six of their fifteen runs. As for the Twins, they scored their only two runs in the 9th. Heading into the game, the Mets were favored at -113 on the money line.

Jose Quintana pitched well for the Mets in this one, going six innings and giving up just one run. He picked up a win in the game, while Simeon Woods Richardson took the loss for Minnesota. Woods Richardson went just 3 1/3 innings and gave up six runs.

Pete Alonso and Luis Torrens each homered for the Mets, while Ryan Jeffers hit a home run for the Twins. Alonso, Torrens, Jeff McNeil, Francisco Lindor, and Tyrone Taylor each had three RBIs for New York’s offense.

Twins Records & Stats

With an overall record of 58-47, the Twins are 2nd in the AL Central, trailing the Guardians by 5.5 games. This season, they have gone 21-14 in divisional games. The Twins are looking to bounce back today, having lost two straight games and are just 4-6 over their last 10.

Minnesota has been strong both at home and on the road this season, as they are 29-21 at home and 29-26 on the road. As the favorite, the Twins have gone 46-27 and 12-20 as the underdog. The Twins’ overall series record is 21-11-2, and they have won two straight series.

Minnesota has been a solid run line bet this season, going 50-55 overall. They’ve been slightly better on the road, going 30-25 against the run line away from home. Their average run margin for the season is +0.4 runs per game, and they’ve been slightly better at home, with a +0.5 run differential per game compared to +0.3 on the road. They’ve been a better run line bet as the underdog, going 17-15, compared to 33-40 as the favorite.

The Minnesota Twins are on the road against the New York Mets today, with the over/under line set at 8.5 runs. The Twins have a combined run average of 9.3 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 54-49. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 14-14, and 11.4% of their games have had higher over/under lines this season.

David Festa will be making his 4th start of the season, and his 2nd on the road, as the Twins take on the Mets. Festa is coming off a loss in his last outing, where he went 5 innings, giving up 6 earned runs. He did pick up a win in his first start of the season, going 5 innings and giving up just 2 earned runs.

So far this season, the Twins are one of the league’s top offenses, averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 8th in the MLB. Not only are they 8th in home runs, but they are also one of the league’s top-hitting teams, with a team batting average of .253. As a team, they are also 4th in slugging percentage and 5th in OPS.

Carlos Santana and Ryan Jeffers are the Twins’ top power threats this season, with 14 and 15 homers, respectively. Jeffers comes into the game as the team’s current leader in RBIs, with 49. Over his last eight games, Byron Buxton has three homers and is hitting .250. Max Kepler has gone 11/33 in his last eight games but has yet to go deep during that stretch.

Mets Records & Stats

With an overall record of 56-50, the Mets are 3rd in the NL East, trailing the Phillies by nine games. New York will host the Twins today, and they lead the series 1-0. The Mets took the series opener 3-2. So far, they are 20-16 against other teams in the NL East.

At home, the Mets are 29-28 this year and 27-22 on the road. Looking at how they have fared as the favorite, the Mets are 34-28 and 22-22 as the underdog. For the season, the Mets’ series record is 16-13-7, and they are 7-3 in their last ten games overall.

When betting the run line on Mets games this season, bettors have found more success backing New York on the road, where the team is 27-22 against the run line. The Mets have been a slight underdog in more games than they’ve been favored, and they’ve been a better bet as the underdog, going 27-17 against the run line. New York’s average run margin in winning games is +3.6, while its average run margin in losing games is -3.4.

The Mets have gone over the total in 57 of their 103 games this season. Their games have averaged 9.6 runs per game, and they have gone over the total in 19 of 30 games when the line has been set at 8.5 runs. The over has hit in two straight games for the Mets.

Sean Manaea will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing against the Marlins, where he took the loss and gave up five earned runs in five innings of work. In his 20 starts, Manaea has a record of 6-4 and an ERA of 3.74. Looking at his overall numbers, Manaea has a WHIP of 1.25 and has allowed a total of 12 home runs. Per nine innings, he is averaging 3.82 walks compared to 8.58 strikeouts. The left-hander has made six quality starts this year. One positive note is that Manaea has a lower ERA on the road at 3.24 compared to 5.0 at home.

Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso have been two of the Mets’ top power threats this season, as they are both tied for the team lead with 22 homers. Lindor is batting .256 for the season and has gone deep five times in his last eight games, while Alonso is hitting just .246 this season. Brandon Nimmo is also near the top of the league in RBIs, as his 65 runs batted in is 12th best in the majors.

Over their last eight games, Jeff McNeil and Francisco Lindor have been swinging the bat well, with McNeil hitting .367 and Lindor batting .294. McNeil has two homers and nine RBIs in that stretch, while Lindor has gone deep five times.