Los Angeles Dodgers vs Houston Astros Betting Pick & Prediction 7/26/24

Friday’s interleague matchup between the Dodgers and Astros is set to get started at 8:10 PM ET from Minute Maid Park in Houston, TX. The Astros are favored on the money line (-125), while the Dodgers have odds of +106. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs.

Los Angeles will be sending Gavin Stone to the mound, and they are currently 1st in the NL West with a record of 62-42. The Astros, who are 1st in the AL West, have a record of 53-49 and will start Framber Valdez.

HOUSTON ASTROS VS LOS ANGELES DODGERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Houston Astros Moneyline -125

This game will be played at Minute Maid Park at 8:10 ET on Friday, July 26th.

HOW TO BET THE DODGERS VS ASTROS:

• We have the Astros winning by a score of 6 to 5
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Dodgers to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

Dodgers Records & Stats

Nick Ahmed had a big game at the plate for the Dodgers in their most recent game vs. the Giants, going 2/4 with a homer and scoring two runs. The Dodgers really broke things open with a four-run 2nd inning and added another two runs in the 4th to pick up the 6-4 win. Los Angeles was the -127 favorite at home going into the game.

Clayton Kershaw started for the Dodgers, going four innings and giving up two earned runs on six hits. He only had six strikeouts in the outing and took the loss. The Dodgers used five relievers to close things out, and Brent Honeywell picked up the save.

Los Angeles is 62-42 overall, good for a 7.5-game lead over the Padres in the NL West. The Dodgers will be on the road today, taking on the Astros. So far, they are 21-16 in divisional matchups. The Dodgers won their series vs. the Giants and are 7-3 over their last 10 games.

At home, the Dodgers have gone 34-20 this season and are 28-22 on the road. Los Angeles has been really good as the favorite this season, going 59-35. As the underdog, the Dodgers are just 3-7 this year. The team’s overall series record is 20-14-1, and they have won two straight series.

When betting the run line with the Dodgers, it’s all about the road. They are 26-24 vs. the run line away from Dodger Stadium, where they have a +1.0 run differential. Their overall run line record is 51-53, and they have gone under the run line in two straight road games. They have a +0.9 run differential for the season, and their average run differential in winning games is +3.7.

The Los Angeles Dodgers are on the road against the Houston Astros today, with the over/under line set at 8.5 runs. The Dodgers have a combined run average of 9.0 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 54-50. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 24-17. This season, 30.8% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, and their current over streak is at 2 games.

Right-hander Gavin Stone is getting the start for the Dodgers today as he faces the Astros on the road. Stone has made 18 starts this year and has a record of 9-3 with an ERA of 3.19. Coming into the game, he has a WHIP of 1.23 and has pitched one complete game shutout this year. Stone’s last outing came on July 19th, where he finished with a no-decision, giving up one earned run in five innings of work. In that outing, he gave up one homer. Before that, he had given up at least one homer in three straight outings. Per nine innings, Stone is averaging 6.99 strikeouts and 2.48 walks.

Shohei Ohtani has been the Dodgers’ top offensive threat this season, as he is batting .312 with 31 home runs and 74 RBIs. Ohtani’s 31 homers are 2nd in the league and the best mark on the Dodgers’ roster. Teoscar Hernandez is also a big power threat for the Dodgers, as he has gone deep 21 times this season, which is 8th in the league and 2nd on the team. Hernandez is also batting .267 for the season.

Over the team’s last seven games, Gavin Lux has gone 9/20 with two homers and five RBIs. Freddie Freeman has also gone deep twice in this stretch but is batting just .240. Ohtani and Hernandez have also both gone deep twice in this stretch, with Ohtani batting .259 and Hernandez hitting .346.

Astros Records & Stats

Heading into their last game vs. the Athletics, the Astros closed out the series with an 8-1 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -154. Offensively, the Astros scored their eight runs on json11 hits and only hit one home run.

Hunter Brown got the start for the Astros, going six innings and giving up just one run on eight hits. He only had one strikeout in the outing and got the win.

The Astros are hosting the Dodgers today with an overall record of 53-49, and they lead the AL West by just one game over the Mariners. Houston closed out their series vs. the Athletics with a loss, dropping the series 2-1. So far, they are 19-17 in divisional games and have an overall series record of 18-14-1.

At home, the Astros have gone 28-21 this season compared to a 25-28 mark on the road. As the favorite, the Astros are 39-35 this year and 14-14 as the underdog. As the home favorite, they have gone 25-17 this season. Heading into today’s game, the Astros are just 5-5 over their last 10 games.

When playing at home, the Astros have a run line record of 26-23, covering the run line by an average of 1.2 runs per game. As the underdog, the Astros have a run line record of 18-10, while as the favorite, they are just 35-39. Overall, their run line record is 53-49, with an average run differential of 0.5 runs per game.

When the Astros play at home, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, and their games have averaged 8.9 runs per game this season. Overall, Houston’s games have gone over the total 41 times and under 57 times, and their games have averaged 9 runs per game. Their games have gone over the total 12 times and under 18 times when the line is set at 8.5 runs. The over has hit in two straight games for the Astros.

Framber Valdez gets the start for the Astros today as he faces the Dodgers at home. He has made 17 starts this season and has a record of 8-5 with a 3.63 ERA. Valdez’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.28. In his 17 starts, he has turned in 10 quality starts and one complete game. Valdez most recently faced the Mariners, where he finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work. Before that outing, he had won two straight starts. His ERA at home is 4.06 compared to 4.38 on the road.

Yordan Alvarez has been one of the best power hitters in the league this season, as his 20 homers are 9th in the league and the best mark on the Astros. He is also hitting .303 for the season, and his 54 RBIs are the best mark on the team. Kyle Tucker is 2nd on the team with 19 homers and is batting .266. Tucker also has a team-best OBP of .395.

Jose Altuve is batting .307 for the season and has gone deep 14 times, which is 3rd on the team. Yainer Diaz is also near the top of the Astros’ home run list, with eight homers, and is hitting .281. Houston’s offense has been good at avoiding strikeouts this season, as they are 3rd in the league in fewest strikeouts.