Tampa Bay Rays vs Toronto Blue Jays Betting Pick & Prediction 7/23/24

From the Rogers Centre in Toronto, the Rays and Blue Jays face off in an AL East matchup. First pitch for this one is set for 7:07 PM ET. BSSUN is carrying the game on TV, and the money line odds have the Blue Jays as the favorite at -157.

The over/under line is currently at 8.5 runs, and Tuesday’s pitching matchup features Shawn Armstrong for the Rays and Jose Berrios for the Blue Jays. Tampa Bay is 50-50, while the Blue Jays are 45-54 and both teams are chasing the Yankees and Red Sox in the AL East.

TORONTO BLUE JAYS VS TAMPA BAY RAYS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Toronto Blue Jays Moneyline -157

This game will be played at Rogers Centre at 7:07 ET on Tuesday, July 23rd.

HOW TO BET THE RAYS VS BLUE JAYS:

• We have the Blue Jays winning by a score of 6 to 5
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Rays to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

Rays Records & Stats

The Rays will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Yankees with a 9-1 loss. Tampa Bay was the +144 underdog on the money line going into this matchup. Things started off well for the Rays, as they got on the board with a run in the 2nd inning but gave up the lead right away as the Yankees scored two runs in the bottom of the 2nd.

Zack Littell had a rough outing, giving up five earned runs on nine hits and issuing three walks. The Rays also wasted a big game from Jose Siri, who homered in the 2nd inning, going 1/2.

Tampa Bay is at an even 50-50 overall as they head into today’s game at the Blue Jays. The Rays are 4th in the AL East, 10.5 games behind the Orioles for the division lead. So far, they are 14-20 in AL East matchups this year.

At home, the Rays are 27-27 this year and have gone 23-23 on the road. Tampa Bay has been slightly better as the favorite, putting up a mark of 28-25. As the underdog, they are 22-25 this year. The Rays are 16-12-3 in series this year, and they split their most recent series vs. the Yankees.

When the Rays win, they tend to win big, with an average run margin of +2.6 runs per game. But when they lose, they tend to lose big, with an average run margin of -3.9 runs per game. Overall, their run line record is 47-53, and their run line record on the road is 27-19. They are 20-33 against the run line as the favorite and 27-20 against the run line as the underdog.

The Tampa Bay Rays are on the road today against the Toronto Blue Jays, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The Rays have played to an over/under record of 48-47 on the season, and their games have had an average combined run total of 8.5 runs per game. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, the Rays have a record of 15-14. Overall, 11 of their games this season have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, accounting for 11.0% of their games. Currently, the Rays are on a three-game over streak.

Tampa Bay is starting right-hander Shawn Armstrong today vs. the Blue Jays. He has made 36 appearances this season and has a record of 2-2 with a 5.91 ERA. Armstrong has made five starts and has a WHIP of 1.64. In his 42 2/3 innings of work, Armstrong has a strikeouts-per-nine rate of 9.49 and has allowed a total of five home runs. Most recently, he pitched on July 20th vs. the Yankees, where he went one inning out of the bullpen and didn’t give up a run. He finished with a no-decision in that outing.

So far this season, the Rays are averaging just 3.9 runs per game, which is the worst mark in the league. They have been even worse at home, averaging just 3.7 runs per game. As a team, they are batting a combined .235, which is 16th in the league, and their team OPS of .684 is also near the bottom of the league.

Over his last seven games, Randy Arozarena has gone 8/27 with three home runs and four RBIs. This has improved his season-long batting average to just .211. Arozarena’s 15 home runs are the 2nd most on the team, and he is 14th in the league in that category.

Blue Jays Records & Stats

The Blue Jays’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Tigers, closing out their series with a 5-4 win. After allowing one run to the Tigers in the top of the first, the Blue Jays responded with three runs of their own. Toronto went on to add another two runs in the 3rd inning.

Kevin Gausman had a good start for the Blue Jays, going 6 2/3 innings and giving up just four runs on five hits. He only had three strikeouts in the outing and got the win.

Toronto is 5th in the AL East, trailing the Orioles by 15 games for the division lead. Overall, the Blue Jays are 45-54 as they get set to host the Rays today. Tampa Bay is 4th in the AL East, and they trail the Orioles by 10.5 games.

The Blue Jays are 12-16 in division games this season and have lost two straight series. So far, they have gone 22-26 at home compared to 23-28 on the road. As the favorite, the Blue Jays are 31-22 and 14-32 as the underdog. Their overall series record is 11-14-6, and they dropped their most recent series vs. the Tigers.

When betting the run line, the Blue Jays have been a much better bet on the road than at home. They have a run line record of 32-19 on the road compared to just 15-33 at home. Their average run margin on the road is -0.4, compared to -1.1 at home. They have been a better bet as an underdog, going 24-22 against the run line, compared to 23-30 as the favorite.

The Blue Jays have been a consistent over team this season, with an over/under record of 51-45. Their games have averaged 8.8 runs per game, and their over streak is at eight games. When the line is set at 8.5 runs, their over/under record is 15-17. Overall, only 9.1% of their games have had higher lines than 8.5 runs.

José Berríos will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Diamondbacks, as he gave up five earned runs in four innings of work on July 13th. In that outing, he gave up four homers. Before that start, he had won two straight games. Berríos’ ERA for the season is 4.01, along with a record of 8-7. At home, he is 6-1 with a 3.21 ERA compared to 2-6 with a 5.81 ERA on the road. Overall, he has 12 quality starts and a WHIP of 1.19.

After a slow start to the season, George Springer has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 13/43 in his last 10 games with four homers and 12 RBIs. This has helped him move into the team’s 2nd home run spot, as he has 13 homers this season. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been the Blue Jays’ top power threat this season, as his 16 homers is the best mark on the team and 13th best in the league. Guerrero Jr. also comes into the game with a four-game hitting streak.

Overall, the Blue Jays are 25th in the league in scoring at 4.1 runs per game. They have been a better offensive team on the road, averaging 4.2 runs per contest. As a team, Toronto is batting just .237 and are near the bottom of the league in both home runs and slugging percentage.