Philadelphia Phillies vs Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Pick & Prediction 7/20/24

First pitch for Saturday’s matchup between the Phillies and Pirates is set for 6:40 PM ET from PNC Park in Pittsburgh. The Phillies are 62-35 this season, putting them first in the NL East, while the Pirates are 49-48 and are 3rd in the NL Central. There is an over/under line of 8.5 runs, and the Phillies are favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -165 compared to the Pirates at +140. NSPPH will be televising this matchup.
The forecast for Saturday’s game calls for cloudy skies and temperatures in the mid to upper 80s. Cristopher Sanchez will be going for the Phillies, and he will be facing off against Luis L. Ortiz for the Pirates. Pittsburgh comes in with a five-game winning streak.
PITTSBURGH PIRATES VS PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates Moneyline +140
This game will be played at PNC Park at 6:40 ET on Saturday, July 20th.
HOW TO BET THE PHILLIES VS PIRATES:
- We have the Pirates winning by a score of 7 to 6
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Pirates to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 13 runs and like the over
Pittsburgh picked up an 8-7 win over the Phillies in the most recent game of this series. The Pirates had a three-run lead going into the 9th inning, and the Phillies scored two runs but fell short with their rally. Heading into the game, the Pirates were at +145 on the money line.
Both teams finished with 13 hits in the game, and the Phillies actually outhit the Pirates in the game 7 to 5. Pittsburgh also had three more strikeouts than the Phillies, with nine.
Martin Perez got the start for the Pirates, going just 3 2/3 innings while giving up six hits and six earned runs. He finished with just two strikeouts and allowed two home runs. Carmen Mlodzinski got the win out of the bullpen. Aaron Nola only went five innings for the Phillies, giving up four earned runs on six hits.
Phillies Records & Stats
Philadelphia is 62-35 overall this season, good for a perfect 8.0 game lead over the Braves in the NL East. The Phillies are on a two-game losing streak, and this season, they are 15-10 against other teams in the NL East. At home, the Phillies have gone 37-16 compared to 25-19 on the road.
So far, the Phillies have been really good in night games, going 42-17. As the favorite, the Phillies are 54-27 this year and 8-8 as the underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Phillies are 19-9-5.
When betting the run line on the Phillies, it’s best to take them as the underdog, as they are 8-8 against the run line in those games. They are 42-39 against the run line as the favorite. The Phillies are 50-47 against the run line overall, but they have lost three straight games against the run line on the road and two straight games when they are favored.
The Philadelphia Phillies will be on the road facing the Pittsburgh Pirates today. The O/U line for the game is set at 8.5 runs, which is slightly lower than the combined run average of 8.9 runs per game for these two teams. The Phillies have an O/U record of 44-48 on the season, and when the line has been set at 8.5 runs, they are 6-10. The over has hit in three straight Phillies games.
Left-hander Cristopher Sánchez gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Pirates on the road. He has made 18 starts this season and has a record of 7-4 with a 2.96 ERA. Sánchez’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.23. In his 18 appearances, he has one complete game shutout and 10 quality starts. Sánchez most recently faced the Dodgers, where he picked up the win, going six innings and giving up two earned runs. Before that, he had given up at least three earned runs in three straight starts. So far, he has been much better at home, coming in with a 6-1 record and 1.62 ERA compared to 1-3 with a 5.95 ERA on the road.
Philadelphia comes into today’s game as the 2nd highest-scoring team in the league at 5 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.4 runs per game. Overall, they are the league’s top hitting team, with a team batting average of .260. Their team on-base percentage of .332 is also the 2nd best mark in the league. The Phillies have also been very good at avoiding strikeouts this season, as they are 17th in the league in strikeouts per game.
Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber have been two of the league’s top power hitters this season, as Harper’s 21 homers is 7th best in the league, and Schwarber’s 19 homers is 9th. Harper is also hitting .300 for the season, and Schwarber comes into the game with a batting average of .249. Alec Bohm has been hot at the plate of late, going 15/39 in his last 10 games, including seven homers.
Pirates Records & Stats
Pittsburgh is currently 49-48 overall, and they are six games behind the Brewers in the NL Central. The Pirates have won five straight games, and they are 7-3 over their last 10. This season, they have gone 15-14 in divisional matchups.
At home, the Pirates are 23-24 this season compared to a 26-24 mark on the road. As the underdog, the Pirates are 28-29 this season, and they have won two straight as the underdog overall. Pittsburgh’s series record is 13-13-5 this year, and they have won two straight series overall.
At home, the Pirates have been a solid bet against the run line, going 24-23. They have been even better on the run line on the road, going 30-20. As an underdog, the Pirates have been especially good, going 39-18 against the run line. Overall, they have a run line record of 54-43. Their average run differential is -0.1 runs per game.
The Pittsburgh Pirates are playing at home against the Philadelphia Phillies today. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs, which is the exact average number of runs scored in Pirates games this season. The over/under record for the Pirates this season is 46-50, and when the line is set at 8.5 runs, the record is 19-12. The over has hit in two straight games for the Pirates.
Luis L. Ortiz is getting the start for the Pirates today and has made 25 appearances this season. He has made three starts and has a record of 4-2 with an ERA of 2.83. Ortiz’s WHIP for the season is 1.16, and he has turned in two quality starts. In his last outing, Ortiz went 5 2/3 innings and gave up one earned run, coming away with a no-decision. He has not taken a loss since June 26th. Ortiz has allowed a total of three home runs this year. Per nine innings, he is averaging 7.69 strikeouts and 2.56 walks.
Heading into today’s game, the Pirates are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 19th in the league. This is a slight improvement from their home games, where they are averaging just 4.1 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .232, which is 15th in the league, and have the 17th most home runs in the league.
Bryan Reynolds has been swinging a hot bat for the Pirates, as he has gone 12/30 in his last seven games, including two home runs. For the season, he is batting .288 with a team-high 18 homers and 61 RBIs. Oneil Cruz is 2nd on the team with 14 homers and is batting .252 overall.