Pittsburgh Pirates vs Chicago White Sox Betting Pick & Prediction 7/14/24

The Pirates are the heavy favorite on the money line today, as their home matchup vs. the White Sox has them at -204 compared to the White Sox at +170. Today’s over/under line is sitting at 8.5 runs, and the game will be televised on NBCS.

First pitch from Guaranteed Rate Field is set for 2:10 PM ET. Pittsburgh will be looking to keep their three-game winning streak alive with Mitch Keller on the mound, while the White Sox are starting Jared Shuster. Chicago is 5th in the AL Central, while the Pirates are 3rd in the NL Central.

PITTSBURGH PIRATES VS CHICAGO WHITE SOX BETTING PICK

The Pick: OVER 8.5 Runs

This game will be played at Guaranteed Rate Field at 2:10 ET on Sunday, July 14th.

HOW TO BET THE PIRATES VS WHITE SOX:

• We have the Pirates winning by a score of 6 to 4
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Pirates to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 10 runs and like the over

Pittsburgh cruised to a 6-2 win over the White Sox in the most recent game of this series. The Pirates had a huge 1st inning, scoring six of their eight runs. As for the White Sox, they scored their only two runs in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Pirates were favored at -138 on the money line.

Luis L. Ortiz only went 5 2/3 innings for the Pirates but gave up just one run and picked up the win. Chris Flexen had a rough outing for the White Sox, giving up two earned runs in six innings of work. He did finish the game with just four hits allowed and two strikeouts.

Pittsburgh’s two biggest hitters in the lineup were Bryan Reynolds and Andrew McCutchen. Reynolds went 4/5 with four RBIs, while McCutchen scored three times and drove in a run while going 2/4. Ke’Bryan Hayes also had a two-hit game and scored a run for the Pirates.

Pirates Records & Stats

Pittsburgh heads into today’s road matchup vs. the White Sox with a record of 47-48, which has them 3rd in the NL Central. They trail the Brewers by 6.5 games for the division lead. The Pirates have won three straight games and have taken the first two games of this series vs. the White Sox.

At home, the Pirates are 22-24 this year and 25-24 on the road. As the road favorite, the Pirates are 8-6 this year, and they are 20-19 as the favorite overall. Pittsburgh has won three straight games as the road team, and their overall series record is 12-13-5.

The Pirates are currently on the road against the White Sox. They have a run line record of 52-43 this season, with a run line record of 29-20 on the road. Pittsburgh’s average run differential is -0.1 runs per game, and they have a run line record of 38-18 as the underdog.

When the Pirates are on the road, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, and the combined run average in their games this season is 8.4 runs per game. The over/under record for Pittsburgh games this season is 44-50, and the average over/under line for their games is 8 runs. When the line is set at 8.5 runs, the over/under record is 18-12. The under has hit in their last three games.

Pittsburgh is sending right-hander Mitch Keller to the mound today vs. the White Sox. He has made 18 starts this season and has a record of 10-5 with a 3.40 ERA. Keller’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.22. In his 18 appearances, he has turned in 10 quality starts and is coming off a game in which he went 8 innings, giving up 2 earned runs, and picking up the win. Before that outing, he had given up at least 3 earned runs in three straight starts. Keller has been much better at home, coming in with a 3.31 ERA compared to 4.04 on the road.

Heading into today’s game, the Pirates are averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is 22nd in the league. This is also the 16th best mark in the league. As a team, they are batting just .230, which is 20th in the league. However, they do have two hitters in the lineup who have been solid home run threats, as Bryan Reynolds has 17 homers (11th in the league) and Oneil Cruz has 14 homers.

Reynolds has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 7/22 in his last five games with a home run and six RBIs. Over this stretch, he has scored two runs. Jack Suwinski has struggled in his last five games, going just 2/15. However, he does have one homer in this stretch. Joey Bart and Joshua Palacios have also gone deep in their last four games.

White Sox Records & Stats

With a record of 27-70, the White Sox are 5th in the AL Central and trail the Guardians by 32.5 games. The White Sox have struggled against other AL Central teams, going 8-25 this year. Chicago has dropped three straight games, and they have lost two straight games as the underdog.

At home, the White Sox are just 17-33 this year, and they are only slightly better on the road at 10-37. So far, they have gone 5-3 as the favorite. Chicago has an overall series record of 6-23-2 and have dropped three straight series.

Chicago has been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 44-53 overall. The White Sox have been a better bet on the road, where they are 24-26 compared to 20-27 at home. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 39-50 against the run line in those games. Their average run differential is -1.8 runs per game, but they have been better against the run line in games they have won, with an average run differential of +3.0 runs per game.

Chicago White Sox games have averaged 8.1 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 43-50. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, and when the line has been set at 8.5 runs, their record is 11-11. 20.6% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, and their current under streak is at 4 games.

The White Sox are starting left-hander Jared Shuster vs. the Pirates today. Shuster has made 20 appearances this season and has a record of 1-2 with a 3.52 ERA. His WHIP for the season is 1.41. Shuster has made one start this year, and it came on July 4th vs. the Guardians. In that outing, he took the loss, giving up two earned runs in two innings of work. Shuster has given up at least one homer in three of his last four outings. His ERA at home is 3.68, compared to 3.74 on the road.

Chicago’s offense has been one of the worst in the league this season, as they are dead last in both team batting average and OPS. The White Sox are also last in the league in on-base percentage and have the fewest runs per game in the league at just 3.2. They are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and slugging percentage.

Paul DeJong and Andrew Vaughn are the team’s top power threats, with DeJong leading the team with 16 homers and Vaughn right behind him with 11. DeJong is also 2nd on the team with 37 RBIs, while Vaughn is the team’s top run producer. Luis Robert Jr. is also tied with Vaughn for the 2nd most homers on the team, but he is batting just .222 for the season.