Cleveland Guardians vs Tampa Bay Rays Betting Pick & Prediction 7/13/24

The Guardians and Rays face off in an AL matchup at 4:10 PM ET at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, FL. Cleveland is currently on a three-game losing streak and is 57-36 overall, while the Rays have won two straight and are 47-47.

Today’s money line odds have the Guardians at -113 compared to the Rays at -105. The over/under line is currently at 7.5 runs, and BSSUN is carrying this game on TV. Gavin Williams is starting for the Guardians, while Zack Littell goes for the Rays.

CLEVELAND GUARDIANS VS TAMPA BAY RAYS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Cleveland Guardians Moneyline -113

This game will be played at Tropicana Field at 4:10 ET on Saturday, July 13th.

HOW TO BET THE GUARDIANS VS RAYS:

• We have the Guardians winning by a score of 5 to 4
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Rays to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

Tampa Bay picked up a 2-0 win over the Guardians in the most recent game of this series. The Rays had just two more hits than the Guardians and struck out eight times, but still picked up a win. Heading into the game, they were favored at -138 on the money line.

This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Taj Bradley for the Rays and Carlos Carrasco for the Guardians. Bradley went seven innings and didn’t give up a run, picking up a win in the game. Carrasco only went five innings and gave up one earned run, taking the loss.

Yandy Diaz and Alex Jackson each had two hits and an RBI for the Rays’ offense. Josh Lowe also had a two-hit game and scored a run for Tampa Bay.

Guardians Records & Stats

Cleveland comes into today’s game vs. the Rays having dropped three straight games, and they are 57-36 overall. The Guardians lead the AL Central by 4.5 games over the Twins. So far, they have gone 15-13 in divisional games.

At home, the Guardians have been strong, going 30-11 this year. On the road, they are 27-25 and have dropped three straight on the road. As the favorite, the Guardians are 41-20 this year and 16-16 as the underdog. So far, they have an overall series record of 20-8-2.

When considering the run line, the Guardians have been a better bet as the underdog this season, going 20-12 compared to 27-34 as the favorite. They are 26-26 vs. the run line on the road, where they are 0.7 runs per game better than their opponents. Their average run margin in all games is +0.9 runs per game, but that number jumps to +1.2 at home, where they are 21-20 vs. the run line. They have failed to cover the run line in six straight road games.

The Cleveland Guardians have played 63 games this season with over/under lines higher than 7.5 runs, which is 67.7% of their games. Their games have averaged 8.8 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 47-40. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 15-10. The average over/under line for their games this season is 8 runs.

Gavin Williams is on the mound for the Guardians in their road matchup with the Rays. He is coming off a no-decision in his first start of the season, where he went 5 1/3 innings and struck out 5. Williams has given up 5 hits in each of his first two starts.

So far this season, the Guardians offense has been one of the league’s best, averaging 4.8 runs per game (8th) and batting a collective .244, which is 9th in the MLB. They are also one of the league’s top home run-hitting teams and have the 4th best home run total in the league. One thing to keep an eye on is their collective batting average on balls in play, which is 18th in the league.

Jose Ramirez has been a key run producer for the Guardians this season, as his 77 RBIs are the 2nd most in the league. He also leads the team with 23 homers. Steven Kwan comes into the game on a four-game hitting streak and is batting .359 for the season. Kwan also has nine homers and is 6th on the team with 27 RBIs.

Rays Records & Stats

The Rays are at an even 47-47 overall this season, and they are 10 games behind the Orioles for the AL East lead. Currently, they are 4th in the division, and they trail the Red Sox by 5.5 games for the final Wild Card spot. Tampa Bay has won two straight games, and they are 5-5 over their last 10.

At home, the Rays are 26-26 this season and 21-21 on the road. As the underdog, Tampa Bay is 20-22 this year and 27-25 when favored. The Rays have won two straight games as the underdog, and their overall series record is 16-12-2 this year.

When betting the run line for the Tampa Bay Rays, it’s been more profitable to take them on the road than at home. The Rays have covered the run line in 25 of their 42 road games, compared to just 19 of their 52 home games. They’ve been the underdog in 42 games this season and have covered the run line in 25 of those contests.

The Tampa Bay Rays are at home today against the Cleveland Guardians, and the over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs. The combined run average for Rays games this season is 8.6 runs, and their over/under record is 45-44. When the over/under line has been set at 7.5 runs, their record is 16-11. Overall, 66% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs this season.

Tampa Bay is hoping that Zack Littell can bounce back from his last outing, where he gave up seven earned runs in just four innings of work. In that July 7th outing vs. the Rangers, he gave up five walks and one homer. Littell took the loss in that game. Before that rough outing, he had pitched well, picking up the win vs. the Royals on July 2nd with five scoreless innings of work. Littell has made 18 starts this year and has a record of 3-6 with a 4.44 ERA. Opposing batters are hitting .290 off the right-hander this season.

Yandy Diaz has been swinging a hot bat of late for the Rays, going 11/24 in his last six games with a homer and five RBIs. This has pushed his season average to .276, which is 3rd best on the team. Isaac Paredes has struggled of late, going just 1/17 in his last six games. However, he does lead the team with 15 homers and 50 RBIs.

As a team, the Rays are 26th in the league in scoring at 4 runs per game. This is right in line with their home and road splits. Overall, they are batting .236, which is 13th in the league, and are 20th in home runs. Currently, they have three players on a decent hitting streak, with Díaz leading the way at six games.