Toronto Blue Jays vs Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Pick & Prediction 7/12/24

From Chase Field in Phoenix, we have the Blue Jays and Diamondbacks facing off in an interleague matchup. This one gets started at 9:40 PM ET, and the Blue Jays are slight money line underdogs (+110), while the Diamondbacks are favored (-130). The over/under line is currently at 9 runs.

Toronto comes in with a record of 43-50 and will be looking to extend their two-game winning streak. The Diamondbacks are 47-47 and are 3rd in the NL West. Ryne Nelson is starting for the Diamondbacks, while the Blue Jays are sending Yariel Rodriguez to the mound.

ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS VS TORONTO BLUE JAYS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks Moneyline -130

This game will be played at Chase Field at 9:40 ET on Friday, July 12th.

HOW TO BET THE BLUE JAYS VS DIAMONDBACKS:

• We have the Diamondbacks winning by a score of 6 to 5
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Blue Jays to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

Blue Jays Records & Stats

The Blue Jays’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Giants, closing out their series with a 5-3 win. After allowing two runs to the Giants in the bottom of the first, the Blue Jays responded with three runs of their own. Toronto went on to add another two runs in the 4th inning.

Kevin Gausman put together a good start for the Blue Jays, going seven innings and giving up just two earned runs, and picking up the win. He only had three strikeouts in the outing and issued just one walk. Spencer Horwitz had only two hits, but one of them was a home run, and Danny Jansen also had a good game at the plate, going 2/4 with a run scored.

Toronto is 43-50 overall and trails the Orioles by 14 games in the AL East. The Blue Jays are 5th in the division and have gone 12-16 in AL East games. Toronto has won two straight games, and they are 5-5 over their last 10 contests.

As the road team today, the Blue Jays are 22-26 this season compared to 21-24 at home. Toronto has won two straight games as the underdog, and they are 13-30 as the underdog overall. The Blue Jays have won two straight series, and their overall series record is 11-13-6 this year.

When the Blue Jays are on the road, they have been a solid bet against the run line, going 30-18. They have covered the run line in nine straight road games and have been a profitable bet as the underdog, going 22-21. The Jays have an average run margin of -0.2 on the road, and their run line record is 45-48 overall.

The Toronto Blue Jays are on the road today against the Arizona Diamondbacks, and the over/under line for the game is set at 9 runs. The Blue Jays have a combined run average of 8.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 45-45. When the over/under line is set at 9 runs, their record is 2-3-2. Despite their recent over streak of 2 games, the majority of their games this season have had lower over/under lines, with only 2.2% of their games having lines set at 9 runs or higher.

Right-hander Yariel Rodríguez is getting the start for the Blue Jays today as he faces the Diamondbacks on the road. He has made seven starts this year and has a record of 1-3 with a 3.68 ERA. Opposing batters are hitting .214 this year off Rodríguez, and his WHIP for the season is 1.33. In his most recent outing, he didn’t give up a run in six innings of work, picking up the win. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight outings. So far, he has made two quality starts.

Over his last nine games, George Springer has gone 9/32 with two homers and nine RBIs. This has helped him move his season average up to .281. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been the Blue Jays’ top power threat this season, as he is 15th in the league with 13 homers. He also has a team-high 53 RBIs. Guerrero Jr. comes into the game batting .287.

As a team, the Blue Jays are batting just .235 this season and are averaging 4.1 runs per game. Their team on-base percentage of .312 is 11th in the league, and they also do a good job of avoiding strikeouts. Toronto comes into the game with a team BABIP of .28, which is 20th in the league.

Diamondbacks Records & Stats

Eugenio Suarez was the hero for the Diamondbacks in their most recent game vs. the Braves, going 1/2 with a homer and driving in the game’s only run. The Diamondbacks really needed a good start from Brandon Pfaadt, and he delivered, going six innings and not giving up a run. Arizona’s bullpen closed things out with Paul Sewald picking up the save.

Pfaadt also issued just three hits and didnjson’t walk a batter. He only had four strikeouts in the outing and got the win.

Arizona is at an even 47-47 as they get set to host the Blue Jays today, and they are 3rd in the NL West, eight games behind the Dodgers. The Diamondbacks are 19-14 in division play this year. Arizona has won two straight games, and they split their series vs. the Braves 2-2.

At home, the Diamondbacks are 24-23 this year and 23-24 on the road. As the favorite, Arizona has gone 23-18 this year and 24-29 as the underdog. Arizona’s overall series record is 13-13-4, and they have won two straight series on the road.

Arizona has been a profitable run line team this season, going 48-46 overall. They are 22-25 against the run line at home and 26-21 on the road. The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in two straight games and are 31-22 as the underdog.

The Arizona Diamondbacks have a combined run average of 9.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 49-42. When the over/under line is set at 9 runs, their record is 11-10-2. Overall, 55 of their games have had lines set under 9 runs, which is 58.5% of their games this season.

Ryne Nelson will be looking to build off his last outing, where he picked up the win vs. the Padres. In that start, he went 6 2/3 innings and gave up just one earned run. Looking at his overall numbers, Nelson has made 14 starts and six quality starts this year. His ERA for the season is 5.08, along with a record of 6-6. Nelson’s WHIP for the season is 1.48, and opponents are batting .301 off the right-hander this year. Per nine innings, he is averaging 6.1 strikeouts and 2.26 walks.

Arizona comes into the game as one of the league’s top offensive teams, averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 7th in the MLB. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest. The Diamondbacks are also one of the league’s top home run hitting teams, as their 98 homers is 11th in the league. As a team, they are batting .253, which is 6th in the MLB.

Christian Walker and Ketel Marte have been the top two power threats in the Diamondbacks lineup, as Walker’s 22 homers is 6th in the league, and Marte is 10th with 18 homers. Walker is also 5th in the league with 66 RBIs. Marte comes into the game on a three-game hitting streak and is batting .286 for the season.