Atlanta Braves vs San Diego Padres Betting Pick & Prediction 7/12/24

At 9:40 PM ET from PETCO Park in San Diego, we have an NL matchup between the Braves and Padres. The Braves are currently on a two-game losing streak, and their record of 51-41 has them 2nd in the NL East. The Padres are 2nd in the NL West with a record of 49-47 but they are the slight money line underdog (+106).

Friday’s over/under line is sitting at 8.5 runs, and BSSE will be televising the game. Spencer Schwellenbach is starting for the Braves, while the Padres are going with Randy Vasquez.

SAN DIEGO PADRES VS ATLANTA BRAVES BETTING PICK

The Pick: San Diego Padres Moneyline +106

This game will be played at PETCO Park at 9:40 ET on Friday, July 12th.

HOW TO BET THE BRAVES VS PADRES:

• We have the Padres winning by a score of 5 to 4
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Padres to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

Braves Records & Stats

The Braves will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Diamondbacks with a 1-0 loss. This was especially tough, as they held the lead in the 9th inning before the Diamondbacks scored a run in the bottom of the 9th to pick up the win. Atlanta was the -117 favorite on the money line going into the game.

Max Fried was excellent for the Braves, going six innings and giving up just one earned run while striking out seven. However, the Braves couldnjson’t close things out, and Fried took the loss. Atlanta’s offense was carried by Austin Riley, who went 2/4 with a double.

With an overall record of 51-41, the Braves are 2nd in the NL East, trailing the Phillies by 9.5 games. The Braves lost two straight games to close out their series vs. the Diamondbacks. So far, they are 14-12 in divisional matchups.

At home, the Braves have gone 29-17 this season and are just above .500 at 22-24 on the road. As the favorite, the Braves are 48-34 and 3-7 when picked as the underdog. So far, they have gone 19-17 as the favorite on the road. Atlanta’s overall series record is 17-11-3 heading into today’s game vs. the Padres.

Atlanta has been a very average team against the run line this season, going 43-49 overall. They have been slightly better on the road, going 22-24, but they have failed to cover in their last two road games. Their average run margin for the season is +0.7 runs per game, and they have been a favorite in most games, going 38-44 against the run line in those games.

The Atlanta Braves are on the road today against the San Diego Padres. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for Braves games this season is 7.9 runs. Overall, the over has hit in 32 of their 55 games this season. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, the over has gone 8-16 in those games. So far this season, 36 of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8.5 runs, accounting for 39.1% of their games.

Right-hander Spencer Schwellenbach gets the start for the Braves today as he faces the Padres on the road. He has made seven starts this year and has a record of 2-4 with an ERA of 5.02. Schwellenbach’s WHIP for the season is 1.27, and opponents are batting .260 this year. In his 37 2/3 innings of work, he has turned in three quality starts. Schwellenbach’s most recent outing was a good one, as he went six innings and gave up just one earned run against the Phillies. Before that, he had given up four earned runs in three straight starts.

Marcell Ozuna has been one of the league’s top run producers this season, as his 75 RBIs are 3rd in the MLB. He is also hitting .298 for the season and has gone deep 24 times, which is the best mark on the team and 4th in the league. Ozuna has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 11/35 in his last nine games, with three homers.

As a team, the Braves are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 17th in the league. This season, they are batting .242 (12th) and have the 9th best slugging percentage in the league. Currently, they have three hitters on a notable hitting streak, with Ozuna and Austin Riley each on a five-game streak.

Padres Records & Stats

The Padres will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Mariners with a 2-0 loss. San Diego was the -143 favorite at home going into the game but couldn’t get anything going offensively, as they only had six hits and didn’t score a run. Michael King was the hard-luck loser, as he pitched six innings of one-run ball and the Padres still lost.

San Diego’s offense wasted a good outing from King, who is their starter. He went six innings, giving up just one earned run and striking out nine. The Padres also got a scoreless inning of relief from Tim Hill. However, they still lost the game 2-0.

San Diego is seven games behind the Dodgers in the NL West, and they come into today’s game vs. the Braves having lost four straight games. The Padres are 49-47 overall, and they are 15-17 in divisional matchups this year. At home, the Padres are 25-26 and 24-21 on the road.

So far, the Padres have been a .500 team as the favorite and have been good as the underdog, going 21-19. As for their overall series record, the Padres are 17-12-3 and have won two straight series on the road and have lost two straight at home. San Diego’s overall series losing streak is at two games.

San Diego has been a strong run line bet on the road this season, going 31-14. The Padres are just 18-33 vs. the run line at home, where they have been outscored by an average of 0.5 runs per game. The Padres have been a run line underdog in 40 games and have covered in 28 of them. Their average run differential in wins is +3.7 and -3.5 in losses.

The San Diego Padres are playing at home against the Atlanta Braves, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The Padres have a combined run average of 9.0 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 52-43. The average over/under line for their games is 8 runs, and when the line has been set at 8.5 runs, their over/under record is 13-11. So far this season, 16 of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, which represents 16.7% of their games.

Randy Vásquez gets the start for the Padres today and will be looking to build off his last outing, where he gave up just two earned runs in 6 1/3 innings of work. In that outing vs. the Diamondbacks, he gave up six hits, issued one walk, and gave up one homer. Vásquez finished with a no-decision in that outing. Looking back over his last four outings, he has finished with a no-decision in three straight games. Vásquez has made 12 starts this season and has a record of 2-4 with a 4.66 ERA. Opposing batters are hitting .315 off Vásquez this season.

Heading into today’s game, the Padres are 8th in the league in home runs and have the 2nd best team batting average in the league at .261. San Diego is also one of the toughest teams to strike out in the league and have been very good at avoiding strikeouts. Jurickson Profar and Fernando Tatis Jr. are 1st and 2nd on the team in home runs, respectively, and are also near the top of the league in that category.

Profar has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 6/22 with three homers over his last six games. Jake Cronenworth is also near the top of the league in homers and is on a five-game hitting streak. For the season, he is batting .263 with 13 homers.