Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers Betting Pick & Prediction 7/11/24

Thursday’s matchup between the Guardians and Tigers has a first pitch set for 1:10 PM ET from Comerica Park in Detroit. Cleveland is 57-34 this season, while the Tigers are 44-49, which has them 4th in the AL Central. The Guardians are +112 on the money line compared to the Tigers at -132. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs, and BSGL will be televising this game.

Spencer Howard is set to start for the Guardians, while Jack Flaherty will be on the mound for the Tigers. Flaherty has been the better pitcher of the two this season, as he has a 2.76 ERA compared to Howard, who has a 5.14 ERA.

CLEVELAND GUARDIANS VS DETROIT TIGERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Cleveland Guardians Moneyline +112

This game will be played at Comerica Park at 1:10 ET on Thursday, July 11th.

HOW TO BET THE GUARDIANS VS TIGERS:

• We have the Guardians winning by a score of 6 to 4
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Guardians to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 10 runs and like the over

Detroit rallied for three runs in the 8th inning in the most recent game of this Tigers vs. Guardians series. The Tigers scored two runs in the 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up three in the 8th, picking up a 5-4 win. Heading into the game, the Tigers were at +123 on the money line.

Reese Olson pitched well for the Tigers in the game, going six innings and giving up just three hits and one earned run. He finished with three strikeouts but issued one walk. Jason Foley got the save. Tanner Bibee had a rough outing for the Guardians, taking the loss after going seven innings and giving up four earned runs on five hits.

Matt Vierling and Andy Ibanez each homered for the Tigers, while Riley Greene scored two runs and drove in three runs while going 2/4. Daniel Schneemann hit a home run for the Guardians, going 1/2.

Guardians Records & Stats

Cleveland comes into today’s game vs. the Tigers with an overall record of 57-34, which has them leading the AL Central by five games over the Twins. The Guardians are 15-12 in division play and have gone 30-11 at home and 27-23 on the road. The Guardians have dropped two of three in this series vs. the Tigers.

So far, the Guardians have been good in closing out series, as they are 20-7-2 this year. They have also won two straight series. Cleveland has been really good in day games this year, going 24-10, and they have lost three straight as the underdog, overall they are 16-14 as the underdog. As the favorite, the Guardians are 41-20 this year.

When the Cleveland Guardians are favored, they are just 27-34 vs. the run line, but when they are underdogs, they are 20-10. Their average run margin is +1.1 runs per game this season, and they are 47-44 vs. the run line overall. In their 47 wins, they have outscored their opponents by an average of 3.4 runs per game, but in their 44 losses, they have been outscored by an average of 2.9 runs per game.

The Cleveland Guardians are on the road today to take on the Detroit Tigers. The over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs, which is right in line with their season average of 8.8 runs per game. The Guardians have gone over the line in 46 of their 85 games this season, and their over/under record is 46-39. When the line has been set at 8 runs, they have gone over 7 times, under 7 times, and pushed twice. The over has hit in each of their last two games.

Cleveland is sending Spencer Howard to the mound today vs. the Tigers, and he is coming off a rough outing out of the bullpen. Against the Dodgers, he went 2 2/3 innings, giving up six hits, six earned runs, and two homers. In that outing, he gave up all of his runs in one inning of work. Before that outing, he hadn’t given up a homer in three straight appearances. Howard’s ERA for the season is 5.62, and his WHIP is 1.83. Overall, he has made seven appearances and two starts, going 1-1 this year.

For the season, the Guardians are averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 6th in the league. At home, they have been even better, putting up 5.1 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .246, which is 9th in the league, and have the 8th best slugging percentage in the league. Cleveland has been good at avoiding strikeouts this season, as they have the 4th fewest strikeouts in the league.

Josh Naylor and José Ramírez have been the team’s top power threats this season, with Naylor’s 22 homers ranking 2nd on the team and 6th in the league, while Ramírez has gone deep 23 times. Ramírez also has the 2nd most RBIs in the league, with 77, and Naylor is 4th in the league with 70 RBIs. Naylor is also batting .333 over his last seven games, and Steven Kwan comes into the game on a four-game hitting streak.

Tigers Records & Stats

Detroit is 44-49 overall and 4th in the AL Central, trailing the Guardians by 14 games. So far, they have gone 15-13 in divisional matchups. The Tigers have won seven of their last ten games and have taken two of the first three games in this series vs. the Guardians.

At home, the Tigers are 21-23 this season compared to 23-26 on the road. As the favorite, Detroit has gone 20-19 and 24-30 as the underdog. Their overall series record is 11-14-4 this year.

When betting the run line on the Detroit Tigers, it’s worth noting that they are 43-50 against the run line this season. They are 17-27 against the run line at home, but they have covered the run line in three straight home games. They are 26-23 against the run line on the road. The Tigers are 33-21 against the run line as the underdog, but just 10-29 as the favorite. Their average run differential this season is -0.2 runs per game.

The Detroit Tigers are playing at home today against the Cleveland Guardians. The over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs, which is slightly below the teams’ combined run average of 8.5 runs per game. The Tigers have a season over/under record of 49-41, and when the line has been set at 8 runs, their record is 11-10-2. The over has hit in two straight games for Detroit.

Jack Flaherty gets the start for the Tigers today and comes in with a record of 5-5 and an ERA of 3.24. So far, he has made 15 starts and nine of them have been quality starts. Flaherty’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.00, and he is averaging 11.63 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up five earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won three straight starts. Flaherty has been much better on the road, coming in with a record of 4-2 and an ERA of 2.85 compared to 1-3 with a 3.86 ERA at home.

Heading into today’s game, the Tigers are averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is 21st in the league. They have been even worse in terms of getting on base, as they are 20th in walks and have a team on-base percentage of just .295. Detroit’s team slugging percentage of .382 is also below average. However, they do have the league’s 11th ranked home run hitter in Riley Greene, who has 17 homers this season while batting .260.

Colt Keith has been on a tear for the Tigers, going 11/26 in his last seven games with four homers and eight RBIs. He is also on an eight-game hitting streak. Matt Vierling is also near the top of the Tigers’ home run leaderboard, with 12 homers this season. Vierling is batting .246 for the season.