Atlanta Braves vs Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Pick & Prediction 7/9/24

Chris Sale will start for the Braves on Tuesday, as they are looking to extend their three-game winning streak. The Braves are 50-39 this season and they are 2nd in the NL East. Arizona has a record of 45-46 and they are 3rd in the NL West. Zac Gallen will be on the mound for the Diamondbacks.

At Chase Field in Phoenix, the over/under line is at 7.5 runs, and the Braves are the slight money line favorite, with their odds sitting at -124 compared to the Diamondbacks at +105. First pitch for this NL matchup is set for 9:40 PM ET.

ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS VS ATLANTA BRAVES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks Moneyline +105

This game will be played at Chase Field at 9:40 ET on Tuesday, July 9th.

HOW TO BET THE BRAVES VS DIAMONDBACKS:

• We have the Diamondbacks winning by a score of 5 to 4
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Diamondbacks to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

The most recent game o of this Braves vs Diamondbacks series came right down to the end, as the Braves rallied late for a 5-4 win. Heading into the game, the Braves were favored at -113 on the money line.

Atlanta’s offense got off to a fast start in the game, scoring one run in the first and adding two more in the 2nd. However, they went silent until breaking out for two more in the top of the 9th. As for the Diamondbacks, they scored four runs in the 6th but couldn’t push across another run after that.

Sean Murphy and Austin Riley each homered for the Braves, while Yilber Diaz hit a home run for the Diamondbacks. Murphy, Riley, and Ronald Acuna Jr. each scored two runs for Atlanta’s offense.

Braves Records & Stats

Heading into today’s road matchup vs. the Diamondbacks, the Braves are 50-39 overall, which has them 2nd in the NL East. They are 7.5 games behind the Phillies for the division lead. The Braves have won three straight games, and they are 14-12 in the division this year.

At home, the Braves have gone 29-17 this year, and they are just above .500 at 21-22 on the road. As the favorite, the Braves are 47-33 this year, and they are 18-16 as the favorite on the road. Atlanta’s overall series record is 17-11-2, and they are winning their current series.

When betting the run line on the Braves this season, it’s been a bit of a mixed bag. They’ve covered the run line in 42 of their 89 games, and they are 21-25 against the run line at home. Overall, their average run differential is +0.7 runs per game, and they’ve covered the run line in 21 of their 43 road games.

Atlanta’s games have averaged 8.0 runs per game this season, but the Braves have been involved in high-scoring games more often than not. In fact, 78.7% of their games have had higher over/under lines than today’s 7.5-run total, and their over/under record is just 5-10 when the line is set at 7.5 runs. Overall, the Braves are 30-54 on the over/under for the season.

Chris Sale gets the start for the Braves today and comes in with a record of 11-3 and an ERA of 2.71. So far, he has made 16 starts, and opponents are batting .193 off the left-hander this season. Sale has been especially tough at home, going 8-0 with a 3.40 ERA. On the road, he is 3-3 with a 2.65 ERA. In his last outing, Sale gave up just one earned run in six innings of work, picking up the win. Before that, he had given up at least one homer in three straight starts. Sale’s ERA for July is 1.38.

Marcell Ozuna has been a key run producer for the Braves this season, as his 73 RBIs are 3rd in the league and lead the team. He also has a team-high 23 homers and is batting .292 overall. However, he has gone just 5/22 in his last six games. Ozzie Albies has been hot of late, going 8/23 in his last six games, with two homers and five RBIs.

Atlanta’s offense is averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 16th in the league. Overall, they are batting .242, which is 14th in the league. As a team, they are 10th in home runs and have the 12th best slugging percentage in the league.

Diamondbacks Records & Stats

Arizona is 45-46 overall, and they are 3rd in the NL West, trailing the Dodgers by 10 games. So far, they have gone 19-14 in divisional matchups. The Diamondbacks are looking to even their series with the Braves today, and they are 22-22 at home this year.

As the underdog, Arizona has gone 23-28 this year compared to a mark of 22-18 as the favorite. The Diamondbacks’ overall series record is 13-13-3, and they have won three straight series overall and two straight series on the road. Their overall record over the last ten games is 6-4.

Arizona is 46-45 on the run line this season, including 20-24 at home. The Diamondbacks have been a run-line underdog in 51 of their games, going 30-21 in those contests. Their average run differential in wins is +4.4, while it’s -4.1 in losses.

When the Arizona Diamondbacks play at home, the over/under line is typically set at 9 runs per game. Their games have averaged 9.8 runs per game, and their over/under record is 47-41. When the line is set at 7.5 runs, their over/under record is 5-4. In 84.6% of their games, the over/under line has been set at more than 7.5 runs.

Zac Gallen will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Dodgers, where he gave up three earned runs in four innings of work. In that July 4th outing, he gave up four hits and issued three walks. Against the Braves today, Gallen will look to pitch more like he did on June 29th vs. the Athletics, where he pitched six scoreless innings and picked up the win. Gallen’s ERA for the season is 3.06, along with a record of 6-4. Out of his 13 starts, he has turned in seven quality starts and is averaging 9.44 strikeouts per nine innings.

Christian Walker has been swinging a hot bat of late for the Diamondbacks, going 9/26 in his last six games with four home runs and 10 RBIs. For the season, he is batting .265 with a team-high 22 homers and 65 RBIs, which is 6th best in the MLB. Ketel Marte is also a big threat in the lineup, as he is batting .281 with 17 homers and 51 RBIs.

Overall, the Diamondbacks are 5th in the league in runs scored, averaging 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .253, which is 6th in the league, and have the 5th best on-base percentage in the league.