Oakland Athletics vs Boston Red Sox Betting Pick & Prediction 7/9/24

From Fenway Park in Boston, we have the Athletics and Red Sox facing off in an AL matchup. Tuesday’s game gets started at 7:10 PM ET, and NESN has the TV rights for the matchup.

The Red Sox are heavily favored, with their money line odds sitting at -193 compared to the Athletics at +162. The over/under line is currently at 10 runs, and Brayan Bello is starting for the Red Sox, while the Athletics are going with Joey Estes. Oakland is 5th in the AL West, and the Red Sox are 3rd in the AL East.

OAKLAND ATHLETICS VS BOSTON RED SOX BETTING PICK

The Pick: OVER 10 Runs

This game will be played at Fenway Park at 7:10 ET on Tuesday, July 9th.

HOW TO BET THE ATHLETICS VS RED SOX:

• We have the Red Sox winning by a score of 6 to 5
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Athletics to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

Athletics Records & Stats

The Athletics wrapped up their series vs. the Orioles with a 6-3 loss. Oakland was the +154 underdog at home going into this matchup. Things started off well for the Athletics, as they got on the board with a run in the 1st inning but gave up the lead right away as the Orioles scored four times in the top of the first.

Mitch Spence had a rough outing, giving up four earned runs on seven hits and issuing three walks. The Athletics also wasted a big game from Tyler Soderstrom, who went 2/3 with a double, run scored, and RBI.

Oakland will be on the road today vs. the Red Sox, and they are 15 games out of the AL West lead with a record of 34-58. The Athletics are 9-17 against other AL West teams this year and are in 5th place in the division. So far, they have gone just 12-33 on the road.

As the road underdog, the Athletics are 12-33 this year, which is the same as their overall road record. Oakland has been good as the favorite this year, going 7-2. Their overall series record is 9-19-1, and they lost their most recent series vs. the Orioles.

The Athletics are 46-46 against the run line this season, including a 21-24 mark on the road. Oakland is 3-6 against the run line as the favorite and 43-40 as the underdog. The A’s have an average run margin of -1.0 runs per game this season.

The Oakland Athletics are currently on the road to face the Boston Red Sox. The over/under line for today’s game is set at 10 runs, which is higher than their season average of 8.5 runs per game. The A’s over/under record for the season is 40-50, and their average over/under line is set at 8 runs. Their over/under record when the line is set at 10 runs is 0-0, and they have not had any games this season with over/under lines set higher than 10 runs. Their games have gone over the line in their last two games.

Right-hander Joey Estes is starting for the Athletics today as he faces the Red Sox on the road. In his 10 starts, Estes has a record of 3-3 and an ERA of 4.39. This year, he has one complete game shutout and three quality starts. Looking back at his most recent outing, Estes pitched well, going nine innings and picking up the win. In that outing, he didn’t give up a run and only allowed five hits. Before that, he had given up two earned runs in three straight outings. Opponents are batting .236 off Estes this year.

So far this season, the Athletics are one of the league’s best home run hitting teams, but they are batting just .224 as a team and are averaging only 3.8 runs per game. The Athletics have been even worse on the road, averaging just 3.2 runs per contest. However, they have been better at home, averaging 4.3 runs per game.

One of the Athletics’ top hitters this season has been Brent Rooker, who is batting .278 for the season and has gone 10/20 in his last six games, including three homers and seven RBIs. Rooker’s 18 homers is 9th best in the league. Shea Langeliers is also near the top of the league in homers, but he is batting just .205 for the season.

Red Sox Records & Stats

Rafael Devers was hot at the end of the Red Sox’s series vs. the Yankees, going 3/4 with two homers and two RBIs. The Red Sox really needed his big game, as they closed out the series with a 3-0 win. Boston was the +111 underdog going into New York.

Kutter Crawford started for the Red Sox, going seven innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just three walks and struck out four Yankees batters. Boston’s bullpen closed things out, with Kenley Jansen picking up the save.

Boston is 49-40 overall, putting them 3rd in the AL East, 7.5 games behind the Orioles for the division lead. The Red Sox closed out their series vs. the Yankees with a win and took the series 2-1. So far, they have gone 13-11 in AL East matchups.

At home, the Red Sox are 20-23 this season compared to 29-17 on the road. Heading into today’s game, Boston has won four straight games as the favorite. They are 26-18 overall as the favorite and 13-15 when favored at home. This season, their series record is 14-10-5, and they have won two straight series.

When betting the run line in Red Sox games this season, it’s been more profitable to take the underdog. Boston is 27-18 against the run line as the underdog compared to just 15-29 as the favorite. The Red Sox have been outscored by an average of 0.6 runs per game at home this season, which has contributed to their 15-28 run line mark at Fenway Park.

Despite the Boston Red Sox having a combined run average of 8.9 runs per game, their over/under record is just 43-40 on the season. The average over/under line in their games is 8 runs, and when the line has been set at 10 runs, the over is 0-3. In fact, only one game this season has had an over/under line set higher than 10 runs, and that game went under the total.

Brayan Bello will be looking to build off his last outing, where he gave up just one earned run in 6 2/3 innings of work. In that outing vs. the Marlins, he only gave up one hit and issued seven strikeouts. Looking back further, Bello has turned in a quality start in three of his last four outings. Overall, he has made 15 starts, and his record for the season is 8-5. Bello’s ERA is 5.19, and he has a WHIP of 1.45. Opposing batters are hitting .262 off the right-hander this season. Per nine innings, Bello is averaging 8.19 strikeouts and 3.46 walks.

As a team, the Red Sox are 11th in the league in scoring, averaging 4.7 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, putting up 5 runs per contest. Boston is one of the league’s best home run-hitting teams, and they are also near the top of the league in terms of batting average and on-base percentage.

Rafael Devers has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 12/34 in his last nine games with five homers and 13 RBIs. For the season, he is hitting .293 with 21 homers and 55 RBIs. Devers’ 21 homers is 6th best in the league and the most on the Red Sox. Jarren Duran is batting .276 for the season and is 3rd on the team with 40 RBIs.