Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers Betting Pick & Prediction 7/9/24
The forecast from Detroit on Tuesday calls for cloudy skies and temperatures in the mid-70s. First pitch from Comerica Park is set for 6:40 PM ET. Cleveland is currently 56-33, while the Tigers are 43-48. Kenta Maeda will start for the Tigers, and the Guardians are starting Ben Lively.
Cleveland is favored on the money line, with the odds sitting at -143 compared to the Tigers at +122. The over/under line is currently at 8.5 runs, and BSDET will be televising this AL Central matchup.
DETROIT TIGERS VS CLEVELAND GUARDIANS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Detroit Tigers Moneyline +122
This game will be played at Comerica Park at 6:40 ET on Tuesday, July 9th.
HOW TO BET THE GUARDIANS VS TIGERS:
- We have the Tigers winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Tigers to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Detroit rallied for one run in the 8th inning in the most recent game of this Tigers vs. Guardians series. The Tigers scored the game’s lone run in the 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up one in the 8th, picking up a 2-0 win. Heading into the game, the Tigers were at +122 on the money line.
Keider Montero started for the Tigers and picked up the win, going 6 1/3 innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with just four strikeouts and allowed one walk. Shelby Miller got the save.
Gavin Williams started for the Guardians and took the loss, giving up zero earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work. He finished the game with five strikeouts but issued one walk.
Guardians Records & Stats
Cleveland comes into today’s game vs. the Tigers with an overall record of 56-33, which has them leading the AL Central by five games over the Twins. So far, they are 14-11 in divisional games. The Guardians have won two straight series and are 20-7-2 in series record this year.
At home, the Guardians have gone 30-11 this year, and they are 26-22 on the road. Cleveland has been really good in day games this year, going 24-10. As the favorite, the Guardians are 40-19, and they are 16-14 as the underdog.
The Guardians have been a solid run line bet on the road this season, going 26-22. They have covered the run line in two straight road losses and have an average run margin of +1.0 away from home. They are 20-10 against the run line as an underdog.
The Cleveland Guardians are on the road today against the Detroit Tigers, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The Guardians have played 83 games this season, and their combined run average is 8.7. Their over/under record is 44-39, and the average over/under line for their games is 8 runs. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, their record is 12-13. So far this season, 20 of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8.5 runs, accounting for 22.5% of their games.
Right-hander Ben Lively gets the start for the Guardians today as he faces the Tigers on the road. Lively has made 14 starts this season and has a record of 8-4 with a 3.14 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Lively has a WHIP of 1.16 and opponents are batting .231 this season. In his last outing, Lively picked up the win, going six innings and giving up three earned runs on six hits. He has made five quality starts this year and is averaging 7.8 strikeouts per nine innings. Lively has allowed a total of 11 homers this season.
Jose Ramirez and Josh Naylor have been the Guardians’ top power threats this season, as Ramirez’s 23 homers are 4th in the league and Naylor’s 21 round-trippers are 6th in the MLB. Ramirez’s 76 RBIs are 2nd in the league, and Naylor is also in the top 5 in the league in RBIs. However, Ramirez is just 8/40 in his last 10 games, and Naylor is batting just .200 over the same stretch.
As a team, the Guardians are 7th in the league in scoring at 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting .245, which is 11th in the league, and are among the league leaders in both isolated power and slugging percentage.
Tigers Records & Stats
Detroit is 43-48 overall and 14 games behind the Guardians in the AL Central. The Tigers have won four straight games, and they are 14-12 against other teams in the division. Detroit’s overall record has them in 4th place in the AL Central.
So far, the Tigers have been good on the road, going 23-26 compared to 20-22 at home. Detroit has been the underdog in more games than they have been the favorite, and they are 6-8 as the home underdog this year. Detroit has an overall series record of 11-14-4, and they are coming off a series win over the Twins.
When it comes to the run line, the Tigers have been a solid bet this season, going 41-50 overall. They’ve been even better on the road, going 26-23 against the run line, compared to just 15-27 at home. They’ve been especially good against the run line as the underdog, going 31-21, compared to just 10-29 as the favorite. They’ve also covered the run line in their last three games as the underdog.
Today’s over/under line of 8.5 runs for the Detroit Tigers’ game against the Cleveland Guardians is right in line with their season average of 8.4 runs per game. The Tigers have played to the over in 47 of their 88 games this season and have hit the under in three straight games.
Right-hander Kenta Maeda gets the start for the Tigers today as he faces the Guardians at home. Maeda has made 15 starts this season and has a record of 2-5 with a 6.71 ERA. So far, he has turned in just two quality starts and is averaging 6.86 strikeouts per nine innings. Maeda has really struggled on the road, coming in with a record of 0-3 and 11.25 ERA. At home, his ERA is 4.67, and he is 2-2. In his most recent outing, Maeda gave up three earned runs in 3 2/3 innings of work.
Heading into today’s game, the Tigers offense is averaging just 4.1 runs per game, which is 23rd in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS. Detroit’s offense is also averaging 8 strikeouts per game. As a team, they are batting just .230, which is 18th in the league.
Riley Greene has been a bright spot in the Tigers lineup this season, as he is batting .258 with 17 home runs and 45 RBIs. He is also on a six-game hitting streak, during which he has gone 10/24 with three homers. Matt Vierling is also near the top of the team’s home run and RBI charts, with 11 homers and 35 RBIs.