New York Mets vs Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Pick & Prediction 7/8/24

Monday’s matchup between the Mets and Pirates is set to get started at 12:35 PM ET from PNC Park in Pittsburgh. The forecast for the game calls for temperatures in the low 70s and partly cloudy skies. SN PT will be televising this game, and the Mets are the slight money line favorite.

The over/under line is currently at 8.5 runs, and Christian Scott will be starting for the Mets, while the Pirates are going with Mitch Keller. New York is 44-44 this season, and the Pirates are 42-47, as they look to end a two-game losing streak. The Mets are currently on a two-game winning streak.

NEW YORK METS VS PITTSBURGH PIRATES BETTING PICK

The Pick: New York Mets Moneyline -106

This game will be played at PNC Park at 12:35 ET on Monday, July 8th.

HOW TO BET THE METS VS PIRATES:

• We have the Mets winning by a score of 5 to 4
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Pirates to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

New York rallied for two runs in the 8th inning and scored the game-winning run in the 9th in the most recent game of this Mets vs. Pirates series. The Mets had just three hits in the game and picked up a 3-2 win. Heading into the game, they were favored at -130 on the money line.

Pittsburgh wasted a good outing from Luis L. Ortiz, as he gave up just two hits and no earned runs in six innings of work for the Pirates. Aroldis Chapman took the loss. Edwin Díaz got the win out of the bullpen for the Mets as Sean Manaea went six innings, giving up two hits and no earned runs.

Offensively, the Mets were led by Francisco Lindor, who went 3/4 with two RBIs. Lindor scored the game’s final run on a wild pitch. Ke’Bryan Hayes had a two-hit game for the Pirates.

Mets Records & Stats

The Mets are at an even .500 on the season, with an overall record of 44-44. They are on a two-game winning streak, and these two wins have them 13.0 games behind the Phillies in the NL East. New York’s overall division record is 13-12 this season.

At home, the Mets are 21-25 and have gone 23-19 on the road. As the road favorite, the Mets are 10-8 this season, and they are 25-23 when favored overall. New York has won two straight as the favorite, and they are 19-21 as the underdog this year. The Mets’ series record is 13-13-4, and they are 5-5 in their last 10 games overall.

When the Mets win, they win big, with an average run margin of +3.4 runs per game. However, when they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -3.3 runs per game. Their overall run line record is 41-47, and they are 24-18 against the run line on the road.

The New York Mets are on the road today to face the Pittsburgh Pirates. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs, which is lower than their combined run average of 9.6 runs per game. The Mets have gone over the total in 46 of their 85 games this season and have a record of 13-9 when the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The under has hit in their last two games.

Right-hander Christian Scott is starting for the Mets today as he faces the Pirates on the road. Through six starts, Scott has a record of 0-2 and an ERA of 4.32. He has made three quality starts this year and is coming off an outing in which he didn’t allow a homer. In his last outing, Scott gave up four earned runs and two homers in 5 2/3 innings of work. Scott has finished with a no-decision in three straight outings. So far, he has a WHIP of 1.14 and is averaging 7.29 strikeouts per nine innings.

Heading into today’s game, the Mets are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 9th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.5 runs per game. Overall, they are the league’s 4th best home run hitting team, and their team batting average of .247 is 8th in the league. Pete Alonso and Brandon Nimmo have been the team’s top power threats, with Alonso leading the team with 18 homers and Nimmo’s 13 homers ranking 3rd on the team.

Francisco Lindor has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 7/24 in his last six games with two homers. For the season, he is batting .250 and is 2nd on the team with 45 RBIs. Lindor’s 15 homers is the 2nd most on the team.

Pirates Records & Stats

Pittsburgh is 42-47 overall and trails the Brewers by 10 games in the NL Central. The Pirates have dropped two straight games and are 3rd in the division. So far, they are 13-13 in divisional matchups. At home, the Pirates are 21-24 this season.

As the underdog, the Pirates are 25-28 this season, and they are 10-11 as the home underdog. Pittsburgh has dropped three straight games as the underdog. They are 17-19 when favored this year. The team’s overall series record is 11-13-4, and they have dropped two straight series.

When betting the run line with the Pirates, it’s been a good idea to take them on the road, where they’re 26-18 against the run line. They’re 22-23 vs. the run line at home, and overall, they’re 48-41. They’ve been the underdog in 53 games, and they’re 36-17 vs. the run line in those games.

The Pittsburgh Pirates are at home against the New York Mets today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The Pirates have had an average combined run average of 8.5 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 41-47. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 15-11. Overall, 19.1% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs or higher, and their current under streak is at 2 games.

Mitch Keller will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Cardinals, as he gets the start for the Pirates today. Against the Cardinals, he took the loss, giving up five earned runs in five innings of work. Looking back over his last four starts, Keller has allowed at least four earned runs in three of them. Keller’s ERA for the season is 3.48, along with a record of 9-5. Opponents are batting .248 off the right-hander this season. Per nine innings, Keller is averaging 2.35 walks compared to 8.36 strikeouts.

Heading into today’s game, the Pirates are 23rd in the league in runs per game, averaging 4.1 runs per contest. This number drops to 3.9 runs per game at home, which is 27th in the MLB. Pittsburgh’s offense has been led by Bryan Reynolds, who is batting .281 for the season and has gone 9/29 with three homers over his last seven games. This has helped him move into the team lead in RBIs and 11th in the league in homers.

As a team, the Pirates are batting just .230, and their team OPS of .665 is 24th in the league. Oneil Cruz is 2nd on the team with 13 homers but is batting just .243 for the season.