Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres Betting Pick & Prediction 7/7/24

At 4:10 PM ET, the Diamondbacks and Padres face off in an NL West matchup. This one is taking place at PETCO Park in San Diego, and the Padres are favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -160 compared to the Diamondbacks at +137. The over/under line is at 8 runs.

Arizona will be looking for a win to get them above .500, as they are 44-45, while the Padres are 49-44. Ryne Nelson will start for the Diamondbacks, and he is facing off against Dylan Cease for the Padres.

SAN DIEGO PADRES VS ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS BETTING PICK

The Pick: San Diego Padres Moneyline -160

This game will be played at PETCO Park at 4:10 ET on Sunday, July 7th.

HOW TO BET THE DIAMONDBACKS VS PADRES:

• We have the Padres winning by a score of 6 to 5
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Diamondbacks to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Diamondbacks vs Padres series. Arizona went into the matchup as +111 underdogs and squeaked out a 7-5 win. Both teams scored one run in the first inning, and the Padres could only muster one more run until they broke out for two in the 8th. As for the Diamondbacks, they scored the game’s go-ahead run in the 5th and tacked on three insurance runs in the 10th.

Brandon Pfaadt got the start for the Diamondbacks, going just 4 1/3 innings while giving up one run and striking out six. Ryan Thompson got the win out of the bullpen, and Humberto Castellanos got the save. Matt Waldron put together a good outing for the Padres, giving up three earned runs in six innings of work.

At the plate, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. was the difference for the Diamondbacks, as he homered, scored three times, and drove in three runs. Christian Walker and Kevin Newman each had two hits and two RBIs. For the Padres, Ha-Seong Kim went 3/5 with two doubles.

Diamondbacks Records & Stats

Arizona is 44-45 overall this season, and they are 10.5 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. Currently, they trail the Padres by 3.0 games for the second spot in the NL West. The Diamondbacks are 18-14 against other teams in the NL West this year.

The Diamondbacks have won two straight series and have an overall series record of 12-13-2 this year. As the road underdog, Arizona is 18-18 this season, and they are 22-24 overall on the road. They have been just above .500 at home, going 22-21.

When the Diamondbacks win, they win big, with an average run margin of 4.3 runs per game. When they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -4.2 runs per game. Their run line record is 44-45, and they are 25-21 on the road.

The Arizona Diamondbacks are on the road against the San Diego Padres today, and the over/under line is set at 8 runs. The Diamondbacks have been involved in high-scoring games this season, with a combined run average of 9.8 runs per game. Their over/under record is 46-41, and they have gone over the line in seven of the nine games where the line was set at 8 runs. The over has hit in five straight games for Arizona.

Ryne Nelson is looking to build off his last outing, where he came out of the bullpen and turned in a solid performance. Against the Dodgers on July 2nd, he went five innings, giving up just one earned run. He finished with a no-decision in the outing. Looking back at his starts, Nelson had won two straight before the outing vs. the Padres. His record for the season is 5-6, and he has an ERA of 5.42. Opposing batters are hitting .312 off Nelson this season. So far, he has made four quality starts and is averaging 6.04 strikeouts per nine innings.

Arizona comes into the game as one of the league’s top-scoring offenses, averaging 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .254, which is the 6th best mark in the league. Arizona has a pair of power hitters in Christian Walker and Ketel Marte, with Walker leading the team with 22 homers and Marte right behind him at 17. Walker has been especially hot of late, going 15/30 in his last seven games with five homers and 13 RBIs.

Not only do the Diamondbacks have a couple of hot hitters right now, but Lourdes Gurriel Jr. comes into the game with a five-game hitting streak. As a team, the Diamondbacks are 7th in the league in scoring and are also among the league leaders in on-base percentage, slugging, and OPS.

Padres Records & Stats

San Diego is 49-44 overall and 7.5 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. The Padres are 15-16 in divisional matchups this year. So far, they have been good on the road at 24-21 compared to 25-23 at home. The Padres have been playing well lately, going 7-3 over their last ten games.

As the favorite, the Padres are 28-26 this season and 21-18 as the underdog. They have won four straight series overall and two straight series on the road. Their overall series record is 17-10-2 this year.

When the Padres win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.7 runs per game. However, when they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -3.4 runs per game. Their overall run line record is 49-44, with a run line record of 31-14 on the road. They are 18-30 vs. the run line at home.

San Diego’s over/under record has been solid in 2019, with the over hitting in 50 of their 92 games. The over has hit in 41.9% of their games, with the average line being set at 8 runs. Their games have averaged 9.0 runs per game, and they have gone over the line in 7 of 16 games when the line has been set at 8 runs. The over has hit in their last two games.

Dylan Cease will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Rangers, as he gets the start for the Padres today. In that July 2nd outing, Cease gave up six earned runs in just 3 2/3 innings of work. He ended up taking the loss in the game. Before that, Cease had pitched well, picking up the win vs. the Nationals on June 26th. In that outing, he went seven innings and didn’t give up a run. Cease’s ERA for the season is 4.24, along with a record of 7-7. Opponents are batting .215 off Cease this season.

San Diego comes into today’s game as one of the league’s top offensive teams, averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 11th in the league. They have been even better at home, averaging 4.6 runs per game. The Padres are one of the league’s top home run hitting teams, and they also have the league’s 2nd best team batting average at .264.

Jurickson Profar has been a big part of the Padres offense this season, as he is batting .314 with 13 homers and 58 RBIs. He is also on a four-game hitting streak and has two homers in his last five games. Profar’s 58 RBIs are the most in the league. Fernando Tatis Jr. has also been a big power threat for the Padres, as he is 13th in the league with 14 homers.