Chicago White Sox vs Miami Marlins Betting Pick & Prediction 7/6/24

The White Sox are favored on the money line today, as they are at -160 compared to the Marlins at +136. This interleague matchup is set for 4:10 PM ET from loanDepot Park in Miami. The Marlins are currently on a five-game losing streak, and they are 5th in the NL East, while the White Sox are 5th in the AL Central with a record of 26-64.

Yonny Chirinos is starting for the Marlins, while the White Sox are starting Garrett Crochet. The over/under line is currently at 7 runs, and NBCS will be televising this game.

MIAMI MARLINS VS CHICAGO WHITE SOX BETTING PICK

The Pick: Miami Marlins Moneyline +136

This game will be played at loanDepot Park at 4:10 ET on Saturday, July 6th.

HOW TO BET THE WHITE SOX VS MARLINS:

• We have the Marlins winning by a score of 5 to 4
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Marlins to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

Chicago picked up a 3-2 road win over the Marlins in the most recent game of this series. The White Sox had a two-run lead going into the 7th inning, and the Marlins could only muster one run in the 7th and added their final run in the 9th. As for the White Sox, they scored one run in the 1st inning and added their final two runs in the 5th.

Drew Thorpe got the win for the White Sox, going 6 1/3 innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with five strikeouts but issued two walks. As for the Marlins, Bryan Hoeing only went three innings and gave up one earned run on five hits.

Nicky Lopez, Luis Robert Jr., and Tommy Pham each had two hits for the White Sox. Lopez and Robert Jr. were the only two White Sox hitters to have more than one hit. Jazz Chisholm Jr. did the most damage for the Marlins, going 2/4 with a home run.

White Sox Records & Stats

Chicago is just 26-64 overall, putting them 5th in the AL Central. Currently, they trail the Guardians by 30 games in the division. So far, they have really struggled against other AL Central teams, going 7-23 this year.

At home, the White Sox are 16-29 and have gone just 10-35 on the road. Chicago has really struggled in day games this year, going 10-27. As the underdog, the White Sox are 21-63 this year compared to 5-1 as the favorite. The team’s overall series record is 6-21-2.

When betting the run line with the White Sox this season, it’s been a mixed bag. They have a run line record of 42-48, which includes a 20-25 mark on the road. However, when they are the favorite, they have been a solid bet at 5-1. Their average run margin this season is -1.8, but that number jumps to -3.7 in their losses.

Chicago White Sox games have averaged 8.2 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 41-46. The over/under line for today’s game against the Miami Marlins is set at 7 runs, which is below their season average. The White Sox have played in 80 games with higher over/under lines than 7 runs, which accounts for 88.9% of their games this season.

Left-hander Garrett Crochet gets the start for the White Sox today as he faces the Marlins on the road. He has made 18 starts this season and has a record of 6-6 with a 3.02 ERA. Crochet’s WHIP for the season is .93, and opponents are batting .193 off him this year. In his 18 appearances, he has turned in 11 quality starts and is coming off an outing in which he went seven innings, giving up two earned runs, and finished with 11 strikeouts. Crochet didn’t allow a homer in that outing. He has allowed a total of 10 homers this season.

Chicago’s offense has been one of the worst in the league this season, as they are averaging just 3.2 runs per game, which is dead last in the MLB. They have been even worse at home, averaging only 3.1 runs per game. The White Sox are also near the bottom of the league in most major offensive categories, including on-base percentage, slugging, and OPS.

Paul DeJong and Andrew Vaughn have been two of the White Sox’s top power threats this season, with DeJong leading the team with 16 homers and Vaughn right behind him with 11. DeJong is also 2nd on the team with 36 RBIs, while Vaughn’s 41 RBIs are the best on the team. Vaughn has gone deep twice in his last four games, but he is just 4/17 in that stretch.

Marlins Records & Stats

Miami is 5th in the NL East, and they trail the Phillies by 28 games for the division lead. Overall, the Marlins are 30-58 and have dropped five straight games, including losing the series opener vs. the White Sox. This year, they are just 3-13 as the favorite and 27-45 as the underdog.

At home, the Marlins are 16-31 compared to 14-27 on the road. As the home underdog, Miami has gone 13-18 this year, and their overall series record is 7-19-2.

When betting on the Marlins this season, it’s been wise to take the run line, as they are 38-50 against it. They are 21-20 on the run line on the road, but just 17-30 at home. They have been the underdog in most games, going 37-35 against the run line in those contests. Their average run differential in losses is -3.8 runs per game, while it’s +2.7 runs per game in wins.

When the Miami Marlins play at home, the over/under line is set at an average of 8 runs per game. Their games have gone over the line 46 times and under 41 times. The combined run average in their games is 8.5 runs per game. The over/under line for today’s game against the Chicago White Sox is set at 7 runs.

Yonny Chirinos will be making his third start of the season for the Marlins, and he has yet to pick up a win in his first two outings. Chirinos has been solid, however, as he has not allowed more than 3 earned runs in a start. In his last outing, he went 4 1/3 innings and struck out 4, giving up 3 earned runs on 9 hits.

So far this season, the Marlins are averaging just 3.5 runs per game, which is 29th in the league. They have been even worse on the road, averaging only 3 runs per contest. Miami’s offense has really struggled in the power department, as they are dead last in the league in home runs and have the worst team ISO in the league.

Jazz Chisholm Jr. comes into the game with a team-best 10 home runs and is batting .262 for the season. He has also gone deep 2 times in his last 6 games. Bryan De La Cruz leads the team with 42 RBIs and has gone deep 15 times, which is 11th in the MLB. De La Cruz is also on a 3-game hitting streak, as is Chisholm Jr. The Marlins’ hottest hitter is Jesús Sánchez, who is batting .333 over his last 6 games.