San Francisco Giants vs Cleveland Guardians Betting Pick & Prediction 7/6/24

At 4:10 PM ET, the Giants and Guardians square off in an interleague matchup. This one is being played at Progressive Field in Cleveland, and the Guardians are favored on the money line (-129). The Giants have won two straight and are 44-45 this season, while the Guardians are 54-32 and are leading the AL Central.

Logan Allen is starting for the Guardians, and he is facing a Giants team that is starting Kyle Harrison. Saturday’s over/under line is at 8.5 runs, and the game can be seen on BSGL.

SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS VS CLEVELAND GUARDIANS BETTING PICK

The Pick: San Francisco Giants Moneyline +110

This game will be played at Progressive Field at 4:10 ET on Saturday, July 6th.

HOW TO BET THE GIANTS VS GUARDIANS:

• We have the Giants winning by a score of 6 to 5
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Giants to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Giants vs. Guardians series. San Francisco went into the matchup as +157 underdogs and squeaked out a 4-2 win. The Giants only had two more hits than the Guardians and struck out 14 times, but still picked up a win.

Cleveland wasted a good outing from Tanner Bibee, as he gave up just two earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of work. Ryan Walker got the win for the Giants out of the bullpen, and Camilo Doval got the save.

At the plate, Michael Conforto and Heliot Ramos each had two hits and two RBIs for San Francisco. Josh Naylor hit the game’s only home run and went 2/5 for the Guardians.

Giants Records & Stats

San Francisco is 44-45 overall this season, and they are 3rd in the NL West, trailing the Dodgers by 10 games. The Giants are on a two-game winning streak, and they are 7-3 across their last 10 games. San Francisco took the first game of this series vs. the Guardians, and their record vs. other NL West teams is 15-14 this year.

At home, the Giants have gone 25-19 compared to 19-26 on the road. As the road underdog, the Giants are 13-19 this year, and they have won two straight as the underdog overall. San Francisco has won three straight series, and their overall series record is 15-11-2 this season.

San Francisco is 44-45 against the run line this season, and they are 24-21 on the road. They have covered the run line in two straight road games and are 26-21 as the underdog on the run line this season. The Giants have an average run margin of -0.3 runs per game this season, but they are +0.1 runs per game at home.

San Francisco Giants games have gone over the total in 48 of 86 games this season, and they are 10-6 in games with an O/U line of 8.5. The Giants have played 62 games with lower O/U lines than 8.5, and their games have averaged 9.1 runs per game. The over has cashed in three straight games for the Giants, and they are on the road against the Cleveland Guardians today with an O/U line of 8.5.

Left-hander Kyle Harrison gets the start for the Giants today as he faces off against the Guardians on the road. He has made 14 starts this season and has a record of 4-3 with a 3.96 ERA. Opposing batters are hitting .260 off Harrison this season, and he has a BB/9 figure of 2.56 compared to 7.91 strikeouts per nine innings. Harrison’s last outing came on June 10th, where he finished with a no-decision, giving up one earned run in 6 1/3 innings of work. He has allowed at least one homer in three straight outings.

San Francisco comes into today’s game with the 14th best scoring offense in the league, averaging 4.4 runs per contest. They have been consistent in terms of scoring runs, as they are 13th in home games (4.5 runs per game) and 15th on the road (4.4 runs per game). The Giants are also near the top of the league in terms of team batting average, hitting a combined .245.

Over his last 10 games, Matt Chapman has been swinging a hot bat, going 12/37 with three homers and 11 RBIs. For the season, he is batting .243 with a team-high 42 RBIs and 12 homers. Heliot Ramos is also tied for the team lead in homers and is batting .302 overall.

Guardians Records & Stats

Cleveland comes into today’s game vs. the Giants with a record of 54-32, which has them leading the AL Central by six games over the Twins. So far, they have gone 14-10 in divisional games. The Guardians have struggled a bit recently, going just 4-6 over their last 10 games.

At home, the Guardians are 28-11 this year and 26-21 on the road. This season, they have been really good as the favorite, going 38-18, and they are 16-14 as the underdog. Cleveland’s overall series record is 19-7-2.

The Guardians have been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 47-39 overall. They have been especially good at home, where they are 21-18 vs. the run line. Their average run margin for the season is +1.1 runs per game, and they have been profitable as an underdog, going 20-10 vs. the run line in those games.

The Cleveland Guardians have an over/under record of 42-38 this season, and the over/under line for today’s game against the San Francisco Giants is set at 8.5 runs. The Guardians’ games have averaged 8.8 runs per game this season, and their average over/under line is 8 runs. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, their record is 10-12. So far this season, 51.2% of their games have had over/under lines set lower than 8.5 runs, while 23.3% have had lines set higher.

Cleveland is sending Logan Allen to the mound today vs. the Giants, and he is coming off a rough outing vs. the Royals. In that start, he took the loss, going 4 1/3 innings and giving up three earned runs. Looking back over his last three starts, Allen has finished with a no-decision, loss, and loss. Allen’s ERA for the season is 5.75, along with a record of 8-4. Opposing batters are hitting .290 off Allen this season. One thing to note is that he has a WHIP of 1.54 and has allowed 18 homers this year.

Jose Ramirez has been one of the league’s top power threats this season, as his 23 homers are 3rd in the MLB and the best mark on the Guardians. He also comes into the game with the 2nd most RBIs in the league, with his 76 runs batted in. However, Ramirez has hit just .238 over his last 10 games. Josh Naylor is also a big power threat in the lineup, as his 21 homers are 5th in the league.

Overall, the Guardians are 5th in the league in scoring at 5 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .246 and have the 5th fewest strikeouts in the league. Cleveland’s offense is also among the league leaders in isolated power and slugging percentage.