St. Louis Cardinals vs Washington Nationals Betting Pick & Prediction 7/6/24

At 4:05 PM ET, the Cardinals and Nationals face off in an NL matchup. This one is taking place at Nationals Park in Washington, DC, and the Nationals are favored on the money line, with the odds sitting at -130 compared to the Cardinals at +110. The over/under line is currently at 9 runs.

St. Louis will be looking to extend their two-game winning streak, as they are 46-41 and 2nd in the NL Central. The Nationals are 41-47 overall and 4th in the NL East. MacKenzie Gore is starting for the Nationals, and he is facing off against Lance Lynn for the Cardinals. This game will be televised on BSMW.

WASHINGTON NATIONALS VS ST. LOUIS CARDINALS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Washington Nationals Moneyline -130

This game will be played at Nationals Park at 4:05 ET on Saturday, July 6th.

HOW TO BET THE CARDINALS VS NATIONALS:

• We have the Nationals winning by a score of 6 to 4
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Nationals to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 10 runs and like the over

It was a wild game in the most recent game of this Cardinals vs Nationals series. St. Louis went into the matchup as -159 favorites and squeaked out a 7-6 win. The Cardinals had to rally late, scoring one run in the 8th and another in the 9th to pick up the win.

Washington wasted a good outing from Patrick Corbin, as he gave up just three earned runs in five innings of work for the Nationals. Dylan Floro took the loss. Ryan Helsley got the win out of the bullpen for the Cardinals as Sonny Gray went five innings, giving up five earned runs.

Offensively, the Cardinals actually outhit the Nationals in the game 14 to 6. Heading into the game, the Cardinals had scored the fewest runs in the National League. As for the Nationals, they scored their six runs on just four hits.

Cardinals Records & Stats

St. Louis is 46-41 overall and 5.0 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central. The Cardinals have won two straight games, and they are 13-12 against other teams in the NL Central this year. They closed the gap on the Brewers by going 6-4 over their last 10 games.

At home, the Cardinals have gone 24-18 this year, and they are just below .500 at 22-23 on the road. So far, they have been the favorite in 43 games, going 24-19 in those matchups. As for their record as the underdog on the road, they are 14-17 this year.

When the Cardinals win, they win big, with an average run margin of 2.3 runs. However, they lose by an average of 3.5 runs per game. As a result, their run line record is just 44-43, with a negative run differential of -0.4 runs per game. They have been a better bet on the run line as the underdog, going 28-16, compared to 16-27 as the favorite. Their current run line win streak as the underdog is at three games.

The Cardinals are on the road in Washington tonight with the over/under line set at 9 runs. The combined run average for their games this season is 8.4 runs, and their over/under record is 39-45. The average over/under line for their games is 8 runs, and when the line is set at 9 runs, their record is 6-5-1. Only 8% of their games have had lines set at 9 runs or higher.

St. Louis is sending Lance Lynn to the mound today, and he comes into the game with a record of 4-3 and an ERA of 3.59. Lynn has made 17 starts this year and has pitched well at home, going 3-0 with a 4.1 ERA. On the road, he is 1-3 with a 3.49 ERA. Lynn has made five quality starts this year and is coming off a game in which he didn’t allow a run. In that outing vs. the Reds, he went six innings and gave up just two hits. Lynn’s ERA for the month of June is 2.45.

For the season, the Cardinals are averaging just 4 runs per game, which is 25th in the league. They have been even worse at home, averaging just 4.1 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .241, which is 11th in the league, but their on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS are all right around the league average.

Nolan Gorman has been a big power threat for the Cardinals this season, as his 17 home runs is 9th in the league. However, he is batting just .195. Alec Burleson and Brendan Donovan are both near the top of the team’s home run and RBI standings, with Burleson having 13 homers and Donovan at 8. Burleson is also batting .281, while Donovan is hitting .263.

Nationals Records & Stats

With a record of 41-47, the Nationals are 17 games behind the Phillies in the NL East, and they are 4th in the division, two games behind the Mets for 3rd place. Washington is 16-12 against other teams in the NL East. The Nationals have really struggled recently, going 3-7 over their last ten games.

At home, the Nationals are 19-22 this season compared to 22-25 on the road. So far, they have been the favorite in 15 games, and they are 8-7 in those matchups. As for their games as the underdog, the Nationals are 33-40 this year. Their overall series record is 11-15-2.

The Nationals are 51-37 against the run line this season, including a 23-18 mark at home. Their average run differential is -0.2 runs per game, and they have covered the run line in three straight games. Washington is 7-8 against the run line as the favorite and 44-29 as the underdog.

Washington Nationals games have had an average combined run total of 8.5 this season, and their over/under record is 41-43. When the over/under line is set at 9 runs, their record is 4-6-2. Overall, 60 of their games have had lower over/under lines than 9 runs, which is 68.2% of their games. Today’s over/under line is set at 9 runs.

Washington is sending left-hander MacKenzie Gore to the mound today vs. the Cardinals. He has made 17 starts this season and has a record of 6-7 with an ERA of 3.47. Gore’s WHIP for the season is 1.37, and he has turned in five quality starts. In his last outing, Gore finished with a no-decision, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up one earned run on eight hits. Before that, he had lost three straight starts. The left-hander has given up at least one homer in each of his last three outings.

So far this season, the Nationals offense is averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is 20th in the league. Their team batting average of .236 is 13th in the league, and they are also one of the better teams in terms of avoiding strikeouts. As a team, the Nationals are just 23rd in home runs and have a collective slugging percentage of .365 (25th).

CJ Abrams has been the Nationals top power threat this season, as his 13 homers is the best mark on the team and 13th in the league. He is also leading the team with 45 RBIs. Luis Garcia Jr. has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 10/24 in his last seven games with three homers and seven RBIs.