Toronto Blue Jays vs Seattle Mariners Betting Pick & Prediction 7/5/24

From T-Mobile Park in Seattle, we have the Blue Jays and Mariners facing off in an AL matchup. First pitch for this one is set for 9:40 PM ET. SNET will be televising Friday’s Blue Jays vs. Mariners matchup, and the money line odds have the Mariners as the favorite at -147.

The over/under line is currently at 7 runs, and Kevin Gausman will start for the Blue Jays, who are 39-48 overall. The Mariners are 48-41 and will send Luis Castillo to the mound. Toronto is 5th in the AL East, while the Mariners are leading the AL West.

TORONTO BLUE JAYS VS SEATTLE MARINERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Toronto Blue Jays Moneyline +125

This game will be played at T-Mobile Park at 9:40 ET on Friday, July 5th.

HOW TO BET THE BLUE JAYS VS MARINERS:

• We have the Blue Jays winning by a score of 5 to 4
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Blue Jays to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

Blue Jays Records & Stats

The Blue Jays will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Astros with a 5-3 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 7th inning before the Astros scored two runs in the top of the 7th. Toronto was the -107 favorite at home going into the game.

Chris Bassitt had a rough outing, giving up four earned runs on eight hits and issuing three walks. The Blue Jays also wasted a big game from Spencer Horwjson, who went 3/4 with two doubles, a run scored, and two RBIs.

Toronto is on the road today, looking to pick up a win as they are 39-48 overall, which is good for 5th place in the AL East. Currently, they trail the Orioles by 16 games in the division. The Blue Jays head into today’s game having dropped two straight games, and they are 4-6 across their last 10.

As the underdog, the Blue Jays are just 9-28 this season, including 7-17 as the road underdog. Toronto has been better as the favorite, putting up a mark of 30-20. Their overall series record is 9-13-6, and they lost their most recent series vs. the Astros.

As a road team, the Toronto Blue Jays have been a strong bet on the run line this season, going 24-18 against the run line away from home. They have also covered the run line in three straight games on the road. Overall, the Blue Jays have a run line record of 39-48, with an average run margin of -0.7 runs per game. They have been a better bet on the run line as an underdog, going 16-21, compared to 23-27 as the favorite.

With an average combined run average of 8.7 runs per game, the Toronto Blue Jays have seen their games go over the total 41 times and under 43 times this season. When the over/under line is set at 7 runs, the Blue Jays have yet to hit the over, as all three games with that line have gone under. Overall, 96.6% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 7 runs, with none set lower than that number.

The Blue Jays are sending right-hander Kevin Gausman to the mound today as he faces the Mariners on the road. Gausman has made 17 starts this season and has a record of 6-7 with an ERA of 4.75. Looking at his overall numbers, Gausman has a WHIP of 1.34 and opponents are batting .257 this season. In his last outing, he gave up seven earned runs in 4 1/3 innings of work, taking the loss. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Gausman has allowed at least one homer in each of his last four outings.

Over his last nine games, George Springer has been on fire for the Blue Jays, going 14/30 with four homers and 13 RBIs. For the season, he is batting .296 with 13 homers and 50 RBIs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is also on a 10-game hitting streak, and his 50 RBIs lead the team. Guerrero Jr. is also batting .296 and has 13 homers.

As a team, the Blue Jays are 24th in the league in scoring at 4 runs per game. They have been a little better on the road (4.1 RPG) compared to at home (3.9 RPG). Overall, they are batting .235, which is 17th in the league, and are 21st in home runs. As a team, they are 5th in the league in fewest strikeouts.

Mariners Records & Stats

The Mariners’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Orioles, closing out their series with a 7-3 win. After allowing two runs to the Orioles in the top of the first, the Mariners responded with two runs of their own. Seattle went on to add another two runs in the 5th inning and closed things out with a 3-run 7th.

Ryne Stanek picked up the win out of the bullpen, as the Mariners’s offense scored three runs in the 7th to take the lead. Seattle was the +128 underdog at home going into the game.

Seattle is 48-41 overall and leads the AL West by 2 games over the Astros. So far, they have been excellent against other AL West teams, going 17-5. The Mariners kick off their series vs. the Blue Jays at home, where they are 29-16 this season.

As the favorite, the Mariners have gone 30-22 and 22-11 as the favorite at home. Seattle has struggled a bit more on the road, coming in with a 19-25 record. The Mariners’ series record is 13-13-2, and they have dropped five straight series.

Seattle has been a solid run line bet this season, going 41-48 overall. They are 22-23 against the run line at home, where they have an average scoring margin of +0.7 runs per game. As the favorite, they are just 21-31 against the run line, while they are 20-17 as the underdog.

Seattle is 36-48 on the over/under this season, and the average line in their games has been 8 runs. When the line has been set at 7 runs, the over is 8-13-4. The Mariners have played 59 games with lines set higher than 7 runs, which is 66.3% of their games. Their games have averaged 7.6 runs per game this season.

Seattle is sending Luis Castillo to the mound today vs. the Blue Jays, and he comes into the game with a record of 6-9 and an ERA of 3.87. So far this year, he has made 18 starts, and opponents are batting .239 off the right-hander. In his last outing, Castillo finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in five innings of work vs. the Twins. Before that, he had lost three straight starts. One positive note is that he has turned in 10 quality starts this year. Per nine innings, Castillo is averaging 8.86 strikeouts and 2.58 walks.

Cal Raleigh is batting just .198 for the season, but he does lead the Mariners with 15 home runs and 51 RBIs. However, he has struggled of late, going just 6/31 in his last nine games. Julio Rodriguez is 4th on the team with 30 RBIs, and he has eight homers this season, which is 4th in the lineup.

Overall, the Mariners are batting just .216 as a team, which is the worst mark in the MLB right now. They are also last in the league in strikeouts and are averaging only 3.8 runs per game. This is a team that has been better on the road (4.0 runs per game) than at home (3.6 runs per game).