Milwaukee Brewers vs Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Pick & Prediction 7/5/24
This article was published on Jul 5, 2024. Today’s picks MLB picks

From Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, we have the Brewers and Dodgers facing off in an NL matchup. The money line odds have the Brewers at +168 compared to the Dodgers at -200, and the over/under line is at 8 runs.
MLBN will be televising Friday’s matchup, which is set to get started at 10:10 PM ET. Aaron Civale is starting for the Brewers, and he is facing off against Tyler Glasnow. The Dodgers are 53-35, while the Brewers are 52-36, and the Dodgers are favored despite being on a two-game losing streak.
MILWAUKEE BREWERS VS LOS ANGELES DODGERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: OVER 8 Runs
This game will be played at Dodger Stadium at 10:10 ET on Friday, July 5th.
HOW TO BET THE BREWERS VS DODGERS:
- We have the Dodgers winning by a score of 6 to 5
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Brewers to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Brewers Records & Stats
Milwaukee closed out their series vs. the Rockies with a 4-3 loss. The Brewers were the slight favorite on the money line going into the game but fell behind early, as the Rockies scored twice in the 2nd. Milwaukee’s offense scored their only three runs in the 4th inning.
Tobias Myers got the start for the Brewers and took the loss. He only lasted six innings, giving up four earned runs on eight hits. The Brewers also wasted a big game from Andruw Monasterio, who went 2/4 with two RBIs.
Milwaukee is 52-36 overall and leads the NL Central by six games over the Cardinals. The Brewers have gone 20-10 against other teams in the NL Central. They are starting their series vs. the Dodgers today, and they are on a two-game winning streak as the underdog. At home, the Brewers are 27-13 this year and 25-23 on the road.
As the favorite, the Brewers are 31-18 this year and 21-18 as the underdog. Milwaukee’s overall series record is 17-8-3 this year, and they split their most recent series vs. the Rockies. Over the last 10 games, the Brewers are 7-3.
The Brewers have been a solid run line bet this season, going 46-42 overall. They’ve been especially good on the road, where they are 26-22 against the run line. As the underdog, they’ve been even better, going 26-13. Their average run differential in wins is 3.3, while it’s -2.7 in losses.
The Milwaukee Brewers are on the road today against the Los Angeles Dodgers. The over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs. The Brewers have had an average run total of 8.7 runs in their games this season, and their over/under record is 46-38. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 6-6-1. Overall, 60.2% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, and their current under streak is at 3 games.
Milwaukee is sending right-hander Aaron Civale to the mound today as he faces the Dodgers on the road. He has made 17 starts this season and has a record of 2-6 with an ERA of 5.07. Looking at his overall numbers, Civale has a WHIP of 1.38 and opponents are batting .266 this season. In his last outing, Civale took the loss, giving up two earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had put together three straight outings in which he didn’t give up more than one earned run. Civale has made three quality starts this year.
Christian Yelich has been swinging a hot bat for the Brewers of late, going 9/20 in his last five games with two homers and five runs scored. Overall, he is hitting .289 with a team-high 13 home runs. Willy Adames and William Contreras are also having good seasons power-wise, with 13 and 10 homers, respectively. Adames has driven in 56 runs, which is 11th in the league, and Contreras is 2nd on the team with 51 RBIs.
As a team, the Brewers are averaging 4.8 runs per game and are one of the best hitting teams in the league, with a team batting average of .257. They also have the 2nd best on-base percentage in the league and are 4th in home runs. Overall, they have been a better hitting team at home, averaging 5.2 runs per game.
Dodgers Records & Stats
The Dodgers will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Diamondbacks with a 9-3 loss. Los Angeles was actually the slight favorite on the money line going into the game but fell behind big early, as the Diamondbacks scored four times in the 2nd.
Landon Knack took the loss for the Dodgers, going just 4 1/3 innings, and giving up four earned runs on four hits. He also issued three walks and hit a batter. The Dodgers’ offense scored their only three runs in the 4th inning.
Los Angeles opens their series vs. the Brewers having dropped two straight games, and they lost the final two games of their series vs. the Diamondbacks. Currently, the Dodgers lead the NL West by 6.5 games over the Padres, and they are 53-35 overall. So far, they have gone 18-15 in divisional games.
The Dodgers have gone 26-18 at home this season compared to a 27-17 mark on the road. Los Angeles has been good as the favorite this season, going 51-31, but they are just 2-4 as the underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Dodgers are 17-12-1 and lost two straight series at one point.
Despite a losing run line record overall, the Dodgers have been a profitable team to bet on the run line at home, where they are 19-25. Their average run margin at home is 0.9 runs per game, and they have been favored in 82 games, going 41-41 on the run line.
The Los Angeles Dodgers are playing at home against the Milwaukee Brewers today, with the over/under line set at 8 runs. The combined run average in Dodgers games this season is 8.9 runs per game, and their over/under record is 46-42. The average over/under line in their games is 9 runs, and when the line is set at 8 runs, their record is 3-7. Overall, 70.5% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, and they are currently on a six-game over streak.
Right-hander Tyler Glasnow is starting for the Dodgers today and comes into the game with a record of 8-5 and an ERA of 3.23. Out of his 17 starts, Glasnow has turned in 11 quality starts and is averaging 11.88 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up five earned runs in three innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts without giving up a run. The home run has been an issue for Glasnow, as he has allowed 11 homers this season.
Shohei Ohtani has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his 27 home runs are 2nd in the MLB and the top mark on the Dodgers. Ohtani is also hitting .316 for the season and has gone 9/30 with four homers over his last eight games. Teoscar Hernández is also a power threat in the lineup, with 19 homers and 59 RBIs. Hernández is batting .257 for the season.
As a team, the Dodgers are 2nd in the league in runs scored, averaging 5 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. Overall, they are one of the league’s best hitting teams, batting .255, and are 3rd in team home runs.
