New York Mets vs Washington Nationals Betting Pick & Prediction 7/2/24
This article was published on Jul 2, 2024. Today’s picks MLB picks

The money line odds for Tuesday’s Mets vs Nationals matchup have the Mets as the favorite, with their odds sitting at -137 compared to the Nationals at +117. This one is getting started at 6:45 PM ET from Nationals Park in Washington, DC. MASN will be televising this NL East matchup.
The over/under line is currently at 9 runs, and the forecast for Tuesday’s game calls for broken clouds and temperatures in the mid-80s. Sean Manaea will start for the Mets, and the Nationals are starting DJ Herz. Washington is currently on a two-game losing streak, and they are 4th in the NL East, while the Mets are 3rd in the division.
WASHINGTON NATIONALS VS NEW YORK METS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Washington Nationals Moneyline +117
This game will be played at Nationals Park at 6:45 ET on Tuesday, July 2nd.
HOW TO BET THE METS VS NATIONALS:
- We have the Nationals winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Nationals to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
New York rallied for six runs in the 10th inning in the most recent game of this Mets vs. Nationals series. The Mets scored two runs in the 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up three in the top of the 10th, picking up a 9-7 win. Heading into the game, the Mets were favored at -119 on the money line.
David Peterson started for the Mets and went 6 1/3 innings, giving up two earned runs and striking out two. Jake Diekman got the win out of the bullpen, and Reed Garrett got the save. Hunter Harvey took the loss for the Nationals out of the bullpen.
Offensively, the Mets were led by J.D. Martinez, who homered and drove in three runs. Francisco Alvarez also had a two-hit game with three RBIs. Mark Vientos and Harrison Bader each drove in two for New York’s offense.
Mets Records & Stats
The Mets are at an even 41-41 overall as they are on the road for today’s game vs. the Nationals. In the NL East, they are 13 games behind the Phillies for the division lead. So far, they have gone 12-10 in divisional matchups. The Mets took the first game of this series vs. the Nationals.
At home, the Mets are 21-25 this year and have gone 20-16 on the road. As the road favorite, the Mets are 7-6 this year and 22-21 when favored overall. They have been an even 19-20 as the underdog. New York’s overall series record is 12-13-3, and they have won three straight series on the road.
When betting the Mets on the run line this season, it has been more profitable to take them on the road, where they are 22-14. They have covered the run line in two straight road games and have an average run margin of +0.6 away from Citi Field. They have a run line record of 15-28 as the favorite and 24-15 as the underdog.
The Mets have been on a scoring tear lately, with the over hitting in six straight games. Their games have averaged 9.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 44-36. When the over/under line has been set at 9 runs, they are 3-2-2. Only 11% of their games have had higher lines than 9 runs this season, with the average line set at 8 runs.
Left-hander Sean Manaea gets the start for the Mets today as he faces the Nationals on the road. He has made 15 starts this season and has a record of 5-3 with a 3.89 ERA. Manaea’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.30. In his 15 appearances, he has turned in three quality starts. Manaea most recently faced the Yankees, where he picked up the win, going five innings and not allowing a run. Before that outing, he had allowed at least one homer in three straight starts. So far, he has given up seven homers and is averaging 4.01 walks per nine innings.
So far this season, the Mets have been one of the best offensive teams in the league, averaging 4.9 runs per game (6th) and have been even better on the road, putting up 5.8 runs per contest. Overall, they are 4th in home runs and have the league’s 5th best on-base percentage. The Mets have also done a good job of avoiding strikeouts, as they are 7th in the league in this category.
Brandon Nimmo and Mark Vientos have been swinging the bat well of late, with both players having four homers in their last nine games. Nimmo is 10/34 during this stretch, while Vientos is 9/35. Pete Alonso is also on a five-game hitting streak and leads the Mets with 17 homers this season. Alonso is 2nd on the team with 46 RBIs, which is also good for 2nd in the league.
Nationals Records & Stats
Washington is 39-45 overall, and they are 4th in the NL East, trailing the Phillies by 16 games. The Nationals have lost two straight games, and they are 3-7 over their last 10 games. In the NL East, they have gone 14-11 this year.
As the underdog, the Nationals are 31-38 this year compared to 8-7 as the favorite. At home, Washington is 17-20 this year and 22-25 on the road. So far, they have an overall series record of 11-14-1, and they have dropped two straight series.
The Nationals have a run line record of 48-36 this season. They are 20-17 against the run line at home and 28-19 on the road. Washington’s average run margin is -0.2 runs per game, and they have a run line record of 41-28 as an underdog. The Nationals have a run line losing streak of two games at home and as the favorite.
The Washington Nationals are playing at home today against the New York Mets. The over/under line is set at 9 runs, which is slightly higher than their combined run average of 8.5. The Nationals’ over/under record for the season is 39-42, and their average over/under line is 8 runs. When the line has been set at 9 runs, their record is 2-5-1. The majority of their games this season have had lower over/under lines, as only 19.0% of their games have had lines set at 9 runs or higher.
Washington’s DJ Herz will be taking the mound for the Nationals today as they host the Mets. Herz has started 3 games this season, and he has a win and 2 no-decisions. In his last outing, he took the loss against the Padres, giving up 4 runs in 3 1/3 innings.
Washington’s offense has been pretty consistent this season, averaging 4.1 runs per game both at home and on the road. Overall, they are 20th in the league in scoring. As a team, the Nationals are batting just .236, which is 16th in the league, and they are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and slugging percentage.
CJ Abrams has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 4/13 in his last five games with a home run and two RBIs. Abrams is batting .284 for the season and leads the Nationals with 42 RBIs. Joey Meneses is also among the league leaders in RBIs and has three homers this season, but he is batting just .233 for the year.
