Miami Marlins vs Kansas City Royals Betting Pick & Prediction 6/25/24
At 8:10 PM ET, the Marlins and Royals face off in an interleague matchup. This one is being played at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, and the Royals are the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -200. The Marlins are +168 on the money line, and the over/under line is at 9.5 runs.
Miami comes into the game with a record of 27-51, while the Royals are 43-37 overall. Seth Lugo will start for the Royals, while the Marlins are sending Yonny Chirinos to the mound. BSKC is carrying this one on TV.
MIAMI MARLINS VS KANSAS CITY ROYALS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Miami Marlins Moneyline +168
This game will be played at Kauffman Stadium at 8:10 ET on Tuesday, June 25th.
HOW TO BET THE MARLINS VS ROYALS:
- We have the Marlins winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Marlins to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Thanks to a three-run 4th inning for the Royals’ offense, they cruised to a 4-1 win over the Marlins in the most recent game of this series. Heading into the game, the Royals were favored at -256 on the money line.
The starting pitching matchup for this game featured Cole Ragans for the Royals, and he went six innings while giving up just one run and striking out 11. Roddery Muñoz got the start for the Marlins, going six innings and giving up four runs.
Kansas City got a huge performance from Salvador Perez, as he went 1/4 with a home run and three RBIs. Both Hunter Renfroe and Vinnie Pasquantino each drove in a run for the Royals’ offense.
Marlins Records & Stats
Miami is 27-51 overall, which has them 5th in the NL East, 25 games behind the Phillies. So far, they have really struggled against other NL East teams, going 5-17. The Marlins are looking to bounce back, as they dropped the first game of their series vs. the Royals.
At home, the Marlins are just 16-27 this year compared to an 11-24 mark on the road. As the underdog, Miami is 24-39 this year, and they are only 3-12 when favored. Miami’s overall series record is 7-17-1 this year, but they have won two straight series.
The Marlins are 33-45 against the run line this season, including a 17-18 mark on the road. Miami has been a run line underdog in 63 of its 64 games, going 32-31 in those contests. The Marlins have lost four straight road run line bets, and they are just 1-14 vs. the run line as the favorite.
Despite the Miami Marlins having an over/under record of 41-36 this season, the over/under line for their game against the Kansas City Royals is set at 9.5 runs. This is a bit higher than their average over/under line of 8 runs per game. In fact, 96.2% of their games this season have had lower over/under lines than 9.5 runs. Their games have averaged a combined 8.6 runs per game this season.
Yonny Chirinos and the Marlins are on the road to take on the Royals. Chirinos started his season with a no-decision against the Cardinals, where he went 5 innings and gave up 2 earned runs. He struck out 6 and gave up 1 home run.
So far this season, the Marlins are averaging just 3.5 runs per game, which is 29th in the majors. They have been even worse on the road, averaging only 2.9 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting just .231, which is 17th in the league, and they are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and on-base percentage.
Jazz Chisholm Jr. and Bryan De La Cruz have been the Marlins’ top power threats this season, with Chisholm Jr. leading the team with 37 RBIs and De La Cruz’s 14 homers being the best mark on the team. De La Cruz has gone 10/34 in his last eight games, including three home runs, while Jesús Sánchez has also gone deep three times in his last eight games, but he has just a .241 average over that stretch.
Royals Records & Stats
Kansas City is 43-37 overall and is 9.0 games behind the Guardians in the AL Central. The Royals are 13-9 against other teams in the AL Central. They are coming off a win over the Marlins and have gone just 3-7 over their last 10 games.
At home, the Royals are 26-14 this season and 17-23 on the road. As the favorite, the Royals have gone 21-11 this year and 22-26 as the underdog. Kansas City’s overall series record is 11-13-1, and they have dropped four straight series.
When the Royals win, they do so by an average of 3.7 runs per game, while their run line record is 45-35 overall and 24-16 at home. They have covered the run line in two straight games and are 21-19 on the run line on the road. They are 16-16 against the run line as the favorite and 29-19 as the underdog.
The Kansas City Royals are playing at home today against the Miami Marlins. The over/under line for the game is set at 9.5 runs, which is higher than their combined run average of 8.6. The Royals have a 34-43 over/under record this season, and their games have averaged an over/under line of 8 runs. When the line has been set at 9.5 runs this season, the over has hit in 4 of their 6 games. Overall, their games have had a line set at 9.5 runs just 2.5% of the time this season, with 72 of their games having lower lines. The under has hit in their last 3 games.
Seth Lugo gets the start for the Royals today and comes in with a record of 10-2 and an ERA of 2.42. So far, he has made 16 starts, and opponents are batting .225 this season. Lugo has made 12 quality starts this year and is coming off an outing in which he went 6 2/3 innings, giving up two earned runs, and had eight strikeouts. In that outing, he gave up one homer. Lugo’s ERA for the season is 2.04 on the road compared to 3.16 at home. He has a record of 7-0 on the road.
So far this season, the Royals are averaging 4.6 runs per game, which is 11th in the league. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.4 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .244, which is 12th in the league, and are one of the league’s best teams at not striking out. Kansas City’s team on-base percentage is just 17th in the league, at .306.
Bobby Witt Jr. has been one of the league’s top offensive shortstops this season, batting .312 with 12 homers and 53 RBIs. He and Salvador Perez are both tied for the team lead in homers. Vinnie Pasquantino and Nelson Velázquez are also tied for 2nd on the team with eight homers, but Velázquez is batting just .200, and Pasquantino has a batting average of only .231.