Cleveland Guardians vs Baltimore Orioles Betting Pick & Prediction 6/25/24

At 6:35 PM ET, the Guardians and Orioles will face off in an AL matchup. Tuesday’s matchup is taking place at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, and the Orioles are favored on the money line (-145). The money line odds for a Guardians win are sitting at +123, and they are currently on a six-game winning streak.
The over/under line is at 9.5 runs, and Logan Allen is starting for the Guardians, while the Orioles have Cole Irvin on the mound. Allen will be facing an Orioles team that has lost four straight and is 49-29 overall, good for 2nd in the AL East.
BALTIMORE ORIOLES VS CLEVELAND GUARDIANS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Baltimore Orioles Moneyline -145
This game will be played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards at 6:35 ET on Tuesday, June 25th.
HOW TO BET THE GUARDIANS VS ORIOLES:
- We have the Orioles winning by a score of 6 to 5
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Guardians to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Cleveland picked up a 3-2 road win over the Orioles in the most recent game of this series. The Guardians had a late rally, scoring one run in the 6th and two more in the 7th. As for the Orioles, they scored one run in the 1st and added their final run in the 3rd.
Tanner Bibee started for the Guardians and picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with seven strikeouts but issued one walk. Scott Barlow came out of the bullpen for the save. Cade Povich got the start for the Orioles, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up three earned runs.
Jose Ramirez was the difference for the Guardians, as he homered, scored three times, and finished with two RBIs. Heston Kjerstad had a two-hit game for the Orioles.
Guardians Records & Stats
Cleveland is on a six-game winning streak, and they have an overall record of 50-26, which has them leading the AL Central by eight games over the Twins. So far, they have gone 11-6 in divisional games. The Guardians have won two straight series and have an overall series record of 17-6-2 this year.
At home, the Guardians have been really good this year, going 26-9. They have also been strong on the road, coming in with a record of 24-17. This season, they have been really good as the favorite, going 35-15, and they are 15-11 as the underdog.
The Guardians have been a solid bet this season when it comes to the run line, as they are 44-32 overall. They have been especially good on the road, where they are 24-17 against the run line. They have covered the run line in two straight games, and they have been a profitable bet as the underdog, going 19-7 against the run line in those games.
Today’s over/under line of 9.5 runs for the Cleveland Guardians’ game against the Baltimore Orioles is higher than their average combined run average of 8.7 runs per game. The Guardians have played just two games with an over/under line of 9.5 runs this season, going 1-1 in those contests. Overall, Cleveland’s games have gone over the total 36 times and under 34 times this season, with their average over/under line set at 8 runs.
Cleveland is sending left-hander Logan Allen to the mound today vs. the Orioles. Allen has made 15 starts this season and has a record of 8-3 with an ERA of 5.23. So far, he has made five quality starts and is averaging 7.02 strikeouts per nine innings. Looking at his home/road splits, Allen has been much better on the road, coming in with a record of 5-3 and 7.07 on the road, compared to 3-0 with a 9.03 ERA at home. In his last outing, he gave up three earned runs in six innings of work, coming away with the win. Before that, he had given up at least two homers in three straight outings.
Heading into today’s game, the Guardians are 3rd in the league in runs scored, averaging 5 runs per contest. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.2 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .244, which is 12th in the league, and have the 7th best on-base percentage in the league. One area they have struggled is with their team BABIP, as they are just 14th in the league in that category.
Josh Naylor and José Ramirez have been the team’s top power threats this season, as they are both tied for the team lead with 20 home runs. Ramirez is also 2nd in the league in RBIs, with 69. Naylor has been hot of late, going 12/36 in his last nine games, with three homers and eight RBIs. Steven Kwan has also been swinging the bat well, going 16/36 in his last nine games.
Orioles Records & Stats
The Orioles are 49-29 overall, which has them two games behind the Yankees for the AL East lead. Baltimore has dropped four straight games, including the series opener vs. the Guardians. So far, they have been great against other AL East teams, going 19-7.
At home, the Orioles are 25-15 this year while going 24-14 on the road. As the favorite, Baltimore is 39-23 and 10-6 as the underdog. So far this year, their series record is 17-5-3.
When the Orioles win, they win big, with an average run margin of 4.0 runs per game. They are 46-32 against the run line overall, and 24-14 on the road. They are 22-18 against the run line at home, and 12-4 as an underdog. Their average run margin for the season is +1.4 runs per game.
The Baltimore Orioles are playing at home against the Cleveland Guardians today, with the over/under line set at 9.5 runs. The Orioles have had an over/under record of 39-29 this season, with their average game having a combined run average of 9.0 runs. However, in games with an over/under line of 9.5, the Orioles have gone over that line twice in two games, and they have had an average over/under line of 8 runs this season.
Baltimore is sending left-hander Cole Irvin to the mound today vs. the Guardians. He has made 12 starts this season and has a record of 6-3 with a 3.45 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Irvin has made four quality starts and is averaging 6.53 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Irvin finished with a no-decision, giving up five earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had gone three straight outings without giving up a home run. Irvin has been much better at home, coming in with a 2.73 ERA compared to 4.99 on the road.
So far this season, the Orioles have been the league’s top-scoring offense, averaging 5.2 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.5 runs per contest. As a team, they are also the league’s top home run-hitting team, and their team slugging percentage of .454 is also the best in the MLB. Baltimore also has the league’s best isolated power numbers.
Adley Rutschman has been the Orioles’ top hitter this season, batting .302 with 14 homers and 53 RBIs. He has been even better of late, going 10/20 in his last five games. Gunnar Henderson and Anthony Santander are also among the league’s top home run hitters, with 24 and 20 homers, respectively.