Toronto Blue Jays vs Cleveland Guardians Betting Pick & Prediction 6/22/24
The Guardians are the home favorite on the money line today, with their odds sitting at -136 compared to the Blue Jays, who are +114. The over/under line is currently at 8.5 runs, and the game will be played at Progressive Field in Cleveland, with the forecasted temperature being 84 degrees.
First pitch for this AL matchup is set for 4:10 PM ET. SNET will be televising this game, and the Blue Jays are looking to end a four-game losing streak, as they are 35-40. Cleveland is 47-26 and will be starting Ben Lively.
CLEVELAND GUARDIANS VS TORONTO BLUE JAYS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Cleveland Guardians Moneyline -136
This game will be played at Progressive Field at 4:10 ET on Saturday, June 22nd.
HOW TO BET THE BLUE JAYS VS GUARDIANS:
- We have the Guardians winning by a score of 6 to 5
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Blue Jays to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Cleveland picked up a 7-1 win over the Blue Jays in the most recent game of this series. The Guardians had a huge 2nd inning, scoring seven of their eight runs. As for the Blue Jays, they scored their only run in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Guardians were favored at -128 on the money line.
Carlos Carrasco started for the Guardians and picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with seven strikeouts but issued five walks. Yariel Rodriguez got the start for the Blue Jays and took the loss, going just 1 1/3 innings and giving up four runs.
Josh Naylor was the top performer at the plate for the Guardians, going 2/4 with two RBIs. Austin Hedges also had a two-hit game and drove in two runs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. went 2/4 with a home run for the Blue Jays.
Blue Jays Records & Stats
Toronto is 5th in the AL East, trailing the Yankees by 14.5 games. Overall, they are 35-40 and have lost four straight games, heading into today’s matchup at the Guardians. The Blue Jays dropped the opening game of the series vs. the Guardians.
At home, the Blue Jays are 18-19 this year, and they are just below .500 at 17-21 on the road. As the underdog, the Blue Jays are 6-20 this year, and they have dropped two straight games as the road underdog. Toronto’s overall series record is 9-11-4 this year, and they are 3-7 over their last 10 games.
When it comes to the run line, the Blue Jays have been a solid bet on the road this season, going 21-17. They have an average run margin of -0.4 on the road, which is better than their overall average run margin of -0.6. Their run line record as the favorite is 23-26, while they are 11-15 as the underdog.
The Toronto Blue Jays have played in 73 games this season, and the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs for 22 of those games. In those 22 games, the over has hit 15 times, giving them a 7-15 record in games with that line. Overall, the Blue Jays have played in 73 games with an average of 8.3 runs scored per game. Their over/under record for the season is 32-41.
José Berríos is coming off a start in which he gave up four earned runs and one homer. In that outing vs. the Guardians, he got the win. Looking back over his last four starts, Berríos has finished with a no-decision in three of them. He has a record of 6-5 this season, along with an ERA of 3.13. Opponents are batting .233 vs. Berríos this season. Out of his 15 starts, Berríos has turned in 11 quality starts and one complete game. Per nine innings, he is averaging 6.36 strikeouts and just 2.15 walks.
Heading into today’s game, the Blue Jays offense is near the bottom of the league in most major offensive categories, including being 27th in runs per game (3.8) and 24th in home runs. As a team, they are batting just .233, which is 17th in the league. Toronto’s offense has been led by Daulton Varsho and Davis Schneider, who have 11 and 9 home runs, respectively, but Varsho is batting just .210 for the season, and Schneider is hitting .226.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been a bright spot for the Blue Jays, as he is batting .281 for the season with a team-high 31 RBIs. He also has eight home runs. Guerrero Jr. is hitting .333 over his last five games, while Justin Turner is 5/13 in his last four games. Ernie Clement is also swinging a hot bat, going 6/12 in his last three games.
Guardians Records & Stats
Cleveland is hosting the Blue Jays today with an overall record of 47-26, good for 1st place in the AL Central. The Guardians currently lead the Royals by 7.0 games in the division. They have picked up three straight wins, and they are 11-6 against other teams in the AL Central.
At home, the Guardians are 24-9 this season, and they have gone 23-17 on the road. So far, they have been really good in day games, going 19-8 this year. As the favorite, the Guardians are 33-15 this year and 14-11 as the underdog. Cleveland’s overall series record is 16-6-2, and they are 6-4 over their last 10 games overall.
The Guardians have been a solid bet on the run line this season, boasting a 42-31 record. They have been particularly good at home, going 19-14 against the run line. Their average run margin for the season is +1.4, and they have a run line win streak of three games. They are 24-24 against the run line as the favorite and 18-7 as the underdog.
Today’s over/under line of 8.5 runs is slightly higher than the Cleveland Guardians’ season average of 8.7 combined runs per game. The Guardians’ over/under record is 35-33 on the season, and their games have averaged an over/under line of 8 runs per game. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, the Guardians’ record is 7-11. Overall, 56.2% of their games have had lower over/under lines than 8.5 runs.
Ben Lively gets the start for the Guardians today and comes into the game with a record of 6-3 and an ERA of 3.02. In his 11 starts, he has pitched 59 2/3 innings and opponents are batting .231 this season. Lively has made three quality starts this year and is averaging 7.84 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up four earned runs in four innings of work. Before that, he had won three straight starts. Lively’s ERA at home is 1.92 compared to 3.92 on the road.
Over the last seven games, Will Brennan and Steven Kwan have been swinging hot bats for the Guardians. Brennan has gone 11/26 in that stretch with three homers, while Kwan is also hitting over .400. Kwan’s hot stretch includes one home run. Naylor is also on a four-game hitting streak and comes into the game as the team’s leader in homers (19). Jose Ramirez is right behind him with 18 long balls and is 2nd in the league with 65 RBIs.
As a team, the Guardians are 2nd in the league in scoring at 5 runs per game. They have been especially good at home, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting .243, which is 12th in the MLB, and have the league’s 9th ranked home run total. Cleveland is also one of the toughest teams to strike out in the league.