New York Mets vs Texas Rangers Betting Pick & Prediction 6/17/24

Monday’s interleague matchup between the Mets and Rangers is set for 8:05 PM ET from Globe Life Field in Arlington. The Mets are on a five-game winning streak and are 33-37 overall, while the Rangers are 2nd in the AL West with a record of 33-38.

SNY will be televising Monday’s matchup, and the Rangers are favored on the money line, with the odds sitting at -126 compared to the Mets at +107. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs, and David Peterson is starting for the Mets, while Jon Gray goes for the Rangers.

TEXAS RANGERS VS NEW YORK METS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Texas Rangers Moneyline -126

This game will be played at Globe Life Field at 8:05 ET on Monday, June 17th.

HOW TO BET THE METS VS RANGERS:

• We have the Rangers winning by a score of 5 to 4
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Mets to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

Mets Records & Stats

Pete Alonso had a big game at the plate in the Mets’ 11-6 win over the Padres to close out their series. He went 2/5 with five RBIs and a homer. The Mets really broke things open with a four-run 1st inning and added another four runs in the 4th. New York was the +122 underdog at home going into the game.

Tylor Megill started for the Mets, going five innings and giving up just two runs on five hits. He only had five strikeouts in the outing and got the win.

The Mets kick off their series vs. the Rangers on the road, having won five straight games, and they are 33-37 overall this season. In the NL East, they trail the Phillies by 13.5 games, and they are 11-10 in the division this year. New York wrapped up their series vs. the Padres with three straight wins.

At home, the Mets are 18-23 this year, and they have gone 15-14 on the road. As the underdog, the Mets are 14-20 this year, and they are 10-10 as the road underdog. New York’s overall series record is 10-12-3, and they have won three straight series overall and two straight on the road. So far, they have been the underdog in two straight series.

The Mets have been a profitable team to back on the run line this season, as they have gone 32-38 against the run line overall. They have been especially good on the run line on the road, going 18-11. They are currently on a four-game run line win streak on the road and have covered the run line in two straight games as the underdog. Their average run margin in winning games is +2.9, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.1.

The Mets have been involved in high-scoring games this season, with a combined run average of 9.2 runs per game. Their over/under record is 35-33, and they have played in 14 games with an over/under line of 8.5 runs, going 8-7 in those contests. Overall, 58.6% of their games have had lower over/under lines than today’s 8.5-run total.

David Peterson is getting the start for the Mets on the road against the Rangers. Peterson has picked up a win in each of his first two starts, going 5 innings in his first start and 6 2/3 in his last outing. He has 13 strikeouts in 11 2/3 innings and has given up 4 earned runs.

Heading into today’s game, the Mets are averaging 4.5 runs per game, which is 12th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.5 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .243, which is 12th in the league, and are 9th in home runs. New York’s offense has been good at avoiding strikeouts, as they are 7th in the league in this category.

Over the past five games, J.D. Martinez has been on fire, going 9/18 with three homers and four runs scored. This has pushed his season average up to .281. Pete Alonso comes into the game with a team-high 37 RBIs and 15 homers, but he is batting just .232 this season.

Rangers Records & Stats

The Rangers will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Mariners with a 5-0 loss. Texas was the +124 underdog on the road going into this matchup. Things started off well for the Rangers, as Dane Dunning didn’t give up a run in the first two innings but ran into trouble in the 3rd and took the loss. He only lasted 4 2/3 innings, giving up two earned runs, and took the loss.

Offensively, the Rangers only had two fewer hits than the Mariners but didn’t score a run. Both of their hits were singles and came in the 2nd and 4th innings. Texas’s best chance to score came in the 4th, but they left the bases loaded. The Rangers also struck out 12 times in the loss.

Texas will open their series vs. the Mets at home, having dropped three straight games, losing the final game of their series vs. the Giants and then getting swept in a three-game series by the Mariners. Currently, the Rangers are 2nd in the AL West, 8.5 games behind the Mariners. So far, they are 9-14 in divisional games.

At home, the Rangers are 16-17 this season, and they are just above .500 at 17-21 on the road. As the favorite, Texas has gone 20-18 and 13-20 as the underdog. So far, they have a series record of 10-12-1, and they have dropped two straight series at home.

When the Rangers win, they win big, with an average run margin of 4.0 runs per game. However, in their losses, they lose by an average of 3.6 runs per game. Overall, their run line record is 31-40, and they are 14-19 against the run line at home. As a favorite, they are just 14-24 against the run line, while as an underdog, they are 17-16.

The Texas Rangers host the New York Mets today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The Rangers’ games have averaged 8.5 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 26-43. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 8-16. Overall, 38.0% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8.5 runs this season.

Texas is sending Jon Gray to the mound today vs. the Mets, and he has made 11 starts this year. Gray’s ERA is 2.17, and his record for the season is 2-2. Looking back at his last outing, Gray finished with a no-decision vs. the Dodgers. In that outing, he went three innings, giving up one earned run on three hits. Before that, he had turned in a quality start vs. the Guardians, going 6 1/3 innings and picking up the win. Gray’s ERA at home is 2.45, compared to 2.03 on the road.

So far this season, the Rangers’ offense has been pretty average in terms of scoring runs, averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 18th in the league. They have been a better team on the road, averaging 4.5 runs per game, compared to just 3.9 runs per game at home. As a team, they are batting .238, which is 15th in the league, and have the 17th most home runs in the league.

Corey Seager and Adolis Garcia are the Rangers’ top home run hitters this season, but both are looking to get their batting averages up, as Garcia is hitting just .216, and Seager is at .258. Seager has gone just 1/15 in his last four games, but he did have a home run during that stretch. Garcia and Marcus Semien are tied for the team lead in RBIs, as both have driven in 40 runs this season.