San Diego Padres vs New York Mets Betting Pick & Prediction 6/16/24
At 1:40 PM ET, the Padres and Mets face off in an NL matchup. This one is taking place at Citi Field in New York, and the Mets are currently on a four-game winning streak. However, they are the slight underdog on the money line (+105).
San Diego comes in with a record of 37-37 and they are 2nd in the NL West. The Mets are 4th in the NL East with an overall record of 32-37. WPIX is carrying this one on TV, and the over/under line is currently at 7 runs. Tylor Megill is starting for the Mets, while the Padres are going with Dylan Cease.
SAN DIEGO PADRES VS NEW YORK METS BETTING PICK
The Pick: San Diego Padres Moneyline -124
This game will be played at Citi Field at 1:40 ET on Sunday, June 16th.
HOW TO BET THE PADRES VS METS:
- We have the Padres winning by a score of 5 to 4
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Mets to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
New York cruised to a 5-1 win over the Padres in the most recent game of this series. The Mets had a huge 4th inning, scoring all five of their runs. As for the Padres, they scored their only run in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Mets were favored at -133 on the money line.
J.D. Martinez was the difference for the Mets, as he homered twice, scored three times, and finished with three RBIs. Brandon Nimmo also had a two-hit game and scored twice. As for the Padres, Jackson Merrill hit the first home run of his career.
Jose Quintana pitched well for the Mets in this one, going six innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with six strikeouts but issued two walks. Adam Mazur had a rough outing for the Padres, giving up two earned runs in just 3 2/3 innings of work.
Padres Records & Stats
With a record of 37-37, the Padres are seven games behind the Dodgers for the NL West lead. The Padres have dropped two straight games, and they are currently losing the series vs. the Mets 0-2. So far, they have gone 14-15 in divisional games.
At home, the Padres are 18-21 this season, and they are 19-16 on the road. San Diego has won three straight games as the favorite, and their overall record as the favorite is 24-22. As for their record as the underdog, the Padres are 13-15 this year. San Diego’s overall series record is 13-8-3.
San Diego has been a strong bet against the run line on the road this season, going 25-10. The Padres have a run differential of +1.1 on the road, compared to -0.5 at home. They have covered the run line in 19 of 27 games as the favorite, but have been even better as the underdog, going 19-9.
The Padres are on the road against the Mets today, and the over/under line is set at 7 runs. San Diego’s games have averaged 8.6 runs this season, and their over/under record is 36-37. When the line is set at 7 runs, their over/under record is 5-1. In 91.9% of their games this season, the over/under line has been set higher than 7 runs. Their games have gone under the total in each of their last two contests.
Dylan Cease will be looking to build off his last outing, where he gave up just one earned run in six innings of work. In that outing vs. the Athletics, he picked up the win and finished with eight strikeouts. Cease has made 14 starts this season and has a record of 6-5 with a 3.36 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Cease has a WHIP of 1.00 and opponents are batting .198 off him this season. Cease has made eight starts on the road, going 4-1 with a 3.49 ERA. At home, his record is 2-4 with a 3.84 ERA.
San Diego comes into today’s game as the top hitting team in the league, with a team batting average of .259. They are also among the league leaders in home runs and have the 8th best scoring offense in the league, averaging 4.4 runs per game. The Padres have been even better on the road, averaging 4.8 runs per contest.
Jurickson Profar and Jake Cronenworth are both tied for 2nd on the Padres with 10 home runs this season. Profar is also 9th in the league with 45 RBIs, while Cronenworth is right behind him at 45 RBIs. Fernando Tatis Jr. is the team’s home run leader, with 13, and is 2nd on the team with 35 RBIs. Over his last six games, Jackson Merrill is hitting .364 with four homers.
Mets Records & Stats
The Mets have won four straight games and have gone 8-2 over their last 10 to push their overall record to 32-37. In the NL East, they trail the Phillies by 14.5 games and are in 4th place in the division. So far, they are just above .500 against other NL East teams, going 11-10.
At home, the Mets are 17-23 this year and 15-14 on the road. As the home underdog, the Mets are just 3-10 this year compared to 19-17 as the favorite. New York’s overall series record is 9-12-3, and they have won two straight series, both of which have come on the road.
When the Mets win, they do so by an average of 2.8 runs per game, but when they lose, they lose by an average of 3.1 runs per game. Their overall run line record is 31-38, with a run line record of 13-27 at home and 18-11 on the road. They are 13-23 vs. the run line as the favorite and 18-15 as the underdog.
Today’s over/under line of 7 runs for the New York Mets’ game against the San Diego Padres is the lowest of the season for the Mets, who have had an average over/under line of 8 runs per game. The Mets have gone over the total in 34 of their 67 games this season, and their games have averaged 9.1 runs per game. Their games have had an over/under line of 7 runs just 10 times this season, and the under has hit in seven of those games.
Tylor Megill is getting the start for the Mets today, and he is coming off a loss to the Marlins in his last outing. In that start, he went 4 2/3 innings, giving up 3 runs on 5 hits. Megill has made one start at home this season, going 7 innings without allowing a run but did not factor into the decision.
Although the Mets are 14th in the league in runs scored, they have been a much better offense on the road this season, averaging 5.5 runs per game. Overall, they are batting .241, which is 9th best in the league, and have the 10th most home runs in the MLB. Pete Alonso and Francisco Lindor are both near the top of the league in home runs, but both are batting under .230 for the season.
Starling Marte has been a nice addition to the Mets lineup so far, as he is batting .286 for the season and has gone deep seven times. Over his last eight games, J.D. Martinez is hitting .300 with three homers. Martinez’s four-game hitting streak is the longest for the Mets right now.