Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals Betting Pick & Prediction 6/16/24
From Nationals Park in Washington, DC, the Marlins and Nationals face off in an NL East matchup. First pitch for this one is set for 1:35 PM ET. BSFL is carrying this game on TV.
The Nationals are the heavy favorites on the money line, with their odds sitting at -120 compared to the Marlins at +101. Sunday’s forecast in Washington calls for broken clouds and temperatures in the upper 70s. Jesús Luzardo is starting for the Marlins, and he is facing off against Mitchell Parker. Washington comes in with a record of 34-36, while the Marlins are 23-47 overall. Miami is looking to avoid a five-game losing streak.
WASHINGTON NATIONALS VS MIAMI MARLINS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Washington Nationals Moneyline -120
This game will be played at Nationals Park at 1:35 ET on Sunday, June 16th.
HOW TO BET THE MARLINS VS NATIONALS:
- We have the Nationals winning by a score of 5 to 4
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Nationals to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
Washington cruised to a 4-0 win over the Marlins in the most recent game of this series. The Nationals had a huge 2nd inning, scoring all four of their runs. As for the Marlins, they had their best scoring chance in the 8th, scoring two of their four runs.
DJ Herz was excellent for the Nationals in this one, going six innings and striking out 13 without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Trevor Rogers took the loss for Miami. Rogers went seven innings and gave up two earned runs.
Lane Thomas and Joey Meneses each homered for the Nationals, while Ildemaro Vargas scored twice and drove in a run while going 2/3. Jake Burger had a two-hit game for the Marlins.
Marlins Records & Stats
Miami is 5th in the NL East with a record of 23-47, which has them 24 games behind the Phillies for the division lead. The Marlins have dropped four straight games, and this losing streak has come after they won two straight. So far, they are just 5-16 in divisional games.
At home, the Marlins are 12-25 and just under .500 at 11-22 on the road. This season, the Marlins have really struggled when favored, going just 3-12. As for their record as the underdog, they are 20-35 this season.
The Marlins have been a solid bet against the run line on the road this season, going 17-16, but they have lost two straight against the run line. Miami’s overall run line record is 28-42, with an average run margin of -1.6. They have been a poor bet as the favorite, going just 1-14 against the run line, but have been much better as the underdog, going 27-28.
The Miami Marlins are on the road today against the Washington Nationals, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs. The Marlins and their opponents have combined to average 8.6 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 37-32. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 5-6-1. Overall, 52.9% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs.
Jesús Luzardo will be looking to build off his last outing, where he picked up the win and didn’t allow a run. In that start vs. the Mets, he went 5 2/3 innings and gave up just two hits. Looking back further, Luzardo had given up at least two homers in three straight outings before that start. His overall record is 3-5, and he has an ERA of 5.11. Luzardo’s WHIP for the season is 1.22. Out of his 11 starts, he has four quality starts and is averaging 8.17 strikeouts per nine innings.
So far this season, the Marlins offense has really struggled to put up runs, as they are averaging just 3.5 runs per game, which is 29th in the league. They have been even worse in terms of power, as their 54 home runs are the fewest in the MLB. As a team, the Marlins are batting just .232, and their collective on-base percentage of .284 is also near the bottom of the league.
Jazz Chisholm Jr. and Bryan De La Cruz come into the game as the Marlins top home run hitters, with Chisholm Jr. leading the team with 33 RBIs. Chisholm Jr. has gone deep 10 times this season, while De La Cruz has 11 homers. Both players have been swinging the bat well of late, with Chisholm Jr. going 6/16 in his last five games and De La Cruz hitting .353 over that same stretch. Chisholm Jr. is also on a four-game hitting streak, and Jake Burger is on a six-game streak.
Nationals Records & Stats
Washington is 34-36 overall and 3rd in the NL East, trailing the Phillies by 13 games. The Nationals have won two straight games, and they are currently on a five-game winning streak at home. So far, they have gone 15-17 at home and have been a solid 19-19 on the road.
As the underdog, the Nationals are 29-33 this year and 5-3 when favored. Washington’s overall series record is 9-12-1, and they have won two straight series.
The Nationals have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 43-27 overall. They’ve been especially good on the run line on the road, going 25-13. As the underdog, they are 38-24 on the run line. The average run margin in their wins is +3.4, while it’s -3.5 in their losses.
Washington has been involved in games with an average combined run total of 8.3 this season, and the over/under record for the Nationals is 32-35. When the over/under line has been set at 8 runs, Washington’s record is 5-5-1. The over/under line for today’s game is also set at 8 runs.
Left-hander Mitchell Parker gets the start for the Nationals today as he faces the Marlins at home. He has made 11 starts this season and has a record of 4-3 with a 3.21 ERA. Parker’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.09, and opponents are batting .220 off him this year. In his 11 starts, Parker has turned in four quality starts and is averaging 6.71 strikeouts per nine innings. Most recently, he finished with a no-decision against the Tigers, giving up four hits and three walks in 4 2/3 innings of work. He didn’t allow a homer in that outing.
Washington’s offense is batting .235 for the season, which is 12th in the league. However, they have been one of the worst home run hitting teams in the league and are averaging just 4.1 runs per game. This is one of the worst marks in the league and is 22nd in the MLB.
CJ Abrams and Joey Meneses have been the Nationals’ top run producers this season, as they are tied for the team lead with 36 RBIs. Abrams is also 11th in the league with 11 homers and is batting .257. Meneses comes into the game with a batting average of .244. Eddie Rosario has 7 homers this season, but is hitting just .185.