Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers Betting Pick & Prediction 6/14/24
Friday’s Reds vs. Brewers matchup has a first pitch set for 8:10 PM ET from American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI. The Reds are 33-35 this season, and they are starting Hunter Greene. Milwaukee is starting Freddy Peralta and they are 40-28, which has them first in the NL Central.
The money line odds have the Brewers at -137, while the Reds are the slight underdog at +116. Friday’s over/under line is at 7.5 runs, and BSWI is carrying the game on TV.
MILWAUKEE BREWERS VS CINCINNATI REDS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Milwaukee Brewers Moneyline -137
This game will be played at American Family Field at 8:10 ET on Friday, June 14th.
HOW TO BET THE REDS VS BREWERS:
- We have the Brewers winning by a score of 6 to 5
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Reds to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Reds Records & Stats
The Reds’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Guardians, closing out their series with a 4-2 win. After allowing one run to the Guardians in the top of the first, the Reds responded with a run of their own and added three more in the 3rd inning. Cincinnati went on to close out the Guardians with a 4-2 score.
Nick Lodolo put together a good start for the Reds, going six innings and giving up just two runs on seven hits. He only had six strikeouts in the outing and got the win.
Cincinnati is 33-35 overall this season, putting them 3rd in the NL Central. They are seven games behind the Brewers for the division lead. The Reds’ overall record is 7-6 in divisional games this year.
The Reds have won four straight games on the road, and they are 15-16 as the road team this year. They have been slightly better at home, going 18-19 this season. Cincinnati has gone 8-2 across their last ten games overall.
When the Reds are on the road, they have been a solid bet against the run line, going 21-10 on the season. Their average run differential on the road is +0.8 runs per game, and they have covered the run line in four straight games. As the underdog, they are 21-16 against the run line, compared to 15-16 as the favorite. Their overall run line record is 36-32, with an average run differential of +0.2 runs per game.
When the Reds are on the road, the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, which is lower than their season average of 9 runs per game. The over/under record for Cincinnati games this season is 30-35, and their games have averaged 8.5 runs per game. The under has hit in their last five games.
Hunter Greene is coming off a strong outing vs. the Cubs in which he picked up the win. In that June 6th start, he went 6 2/3 innings, giving up four earned runs, and he issued five walks. Looking back further, Greene has a complete game this year and five quality starts. For the season, he is 4-2 with a 3.61 ERA. Opponents have a batting average of .203 vs. Greene this year. Per nine innings, he is averaging 9.78 strikeouts and 3.72 walks.
Jeimer Candelario has been swinging a hot bat of late for the Reds, going 9/28 in his last seven games with four homers and eight RBIs. For the season, he is hitting .243 with 11 homers, which is tied for the team lead. Spencer Steer has also been swinging a good bat of late, as he is on a four-game hitting streak and is batting .239 for the season with seven homers. Steer’s 41 RBIs are the best mark on the team and 11th in the league.
Overall, the Reds are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 15th in the league. At home, they are averaging 4 runs per game and 4.7 runs per game on the road. As a team, they are batting just .226 and are 20th in on-base percentage and 18th in slugging.
Brewers Records & Stats
Heading into their last game vs. the Blue Jays, the Brewers closed out the series with a 5-4 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at -125 on the money line. It was a big 6th inning that turned things in their favor, as the Brewers scored five runs in the inning. The Blue Jays could only score one run in the top of the 9th to cut the Brewers lead to 5-4. However, Milwaukee’s Trevor Megill was able to close things out and pick up the save.
Tobias Myers put together a good start for the Brewers, going six innings and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win. Milwaukee’s offense was carried by Willy Adames, who went 1/4 with a homer and two RBIs.
Milwaukee is at home today to take on the Reds, and they lead the NL Central with a record of 40-28. The Brewers currently lead the Cardinals by 6.5 games for the division lead. So far, they have gone 16-8 against other teams in the NL Central.
At home, the Brewers are 20-11 this year, and they have gone 20-17 on the road. Milwaukee has won seven straight games as the favorite, and they are 21-12 overall as the favorite this year. As for their record as the home favorite, they are 15-6 this year. The Brewers’ overall series record is 13-7-2, and they have won two straight series.
The Brewers have a run differential of +0.9 runs per game, and their run line record is 35-33. They have a run line record of 14-17 at home and 21-16 on the road. As the underdog, they are 23-12 against the run line, compared to 12-21 as the favorite. In games they win, they average a run differential of +3.6 runs per game, while in losses, they are -3.0.
When the Milwaukee Brewers play at home, the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, and the over has hit in 9 of the 13 games with that line. The Brewers’ games have averaged 8.8 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 37-29. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, and 73.5% of their games have had higher lines than today’s 7.5-run total.
Freddy Peralta will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Tigers, as he gets the start for the Brewers today. Against the Tigers, he went just 3 1/3 innings, giving up three earned runs, four hits, and five walks. Peralta finished with a no-decision in the outing. Before that, he had pitched well, turning in a quality start vs. the Cubs and only giving up one earned run in 5 2/3 innings of work. Peralta’s ERA for the season is 3.95, along with a record of 4-3. Out of his 13 starts, Peralta has made five quality starts and is averaging 11.72 strikeouts per nine innings.
William Contreras has been one of the Brewers’ top hitters this season, as he is batting .305 with a team-leading 47 RBIs and is on a seven-game hitting streak. Willy Adames and Rhys Hoskins have also been driving in a lot of runs, as they are tied for 6th in the league with 47 RBIs. Adames has 11 homers, which is best on the team and 10th in the league.
Adames has struggled a bit at the plate of late, going just 5/32 in his last 10 games. However, he does have two homers in that stretch. Christian Yelich and Jackson Chourio have been swinging the bat well, with Yelich going 12/37 in his last 10 games and Chourio hitting .320 with two homers in his last eight games.