San Diego Padres vs New York Mets Betting Pick & Prediction 6/14/24
There appears to be a chance for light rain in New York on Friday, as the Mets and Padres are set to face off at Citi Field at 7:10 PM ET. Matt Waldron is starting for the Padres, while the Mets are going with Sean Manaea. The Padres are 2nd in the NL West, while the Mets are 4th in the NL East.
San Diego is favored on the money line, with the odds sitting at -113 compared to the Mets at -106. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs, and the game can be seen on Bally Sports San Diego and SNY.
SAN DIEGO PADRES VS NEW YORK METS BETTING PICK
The Pick: San Diego Padres Moneyline -113
This game will be played at Citi Field at 7:10 ET on Friday, June 14th.
HOW TO BET THE PADRES VS METS:
- We have the Padres winning by a score of 5 to 4
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Mets to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
Padres Records & Stats
Donovan Solano had a big game at the plate in the Padres’s most recent game vs. the Athletics, going 2/4 with two homers and three RBIs. The Padres really needed his offense, as they were the heavy favorite at -222 going into the game and only won by one run. Solano’s first homer came in the 2nd inning, and the Padres added another run in the inning to take the lead. The Athletics scored three runs in the top of the 6th to tie things up, but the Padres’s offense responded with two runs of their own in the bottom of the 6th.
Michael King got the start for the Padres, going five innings and giving up just two runs on four hits. He only had two strikeouts in the outing and got the win.
San Diego is on the road today to take on the Mets, and they are riding a three-game winning streak. The Padres are 37-35 overall, which has them six games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. So far, they are 14-15 in divisional matchups.
At home, the Padres are 18-21 this season and 19-14 on the road. San Diego has been good as the road favorite, going 8-7, but they have dropped four straight on the road as the favorite. This year, the Padres are 24-22 as the favorite and 13-13 as the underdog. San Diego’s series record is 13-8-3 this year.
Despite a losing run line record at home, the Padres have been a solid bet on the run line on the road, going 24-9. Their average run margin on the road is 1.3, and they have covered the run line in three straight road games. They have been a better bet as an underdog, going 18-8 on the run line, compared to 19-27 as the favorite.
The Padres are on the road against the Mets today, and the over/under line is set at 8 runs. San Diego’s games have averaged 8.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 36-35. When their over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 7-8-1. So far this season, 38.9% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8 runs.
So far this season, Matt Waldron has made 13 starts and has a record of 4-5. His ERA for the season is 3.76, along with a WHIP of 1.23. Waldron’s last outing was a good one, as he went six innings and gave up just one earned run. He ended up getting the win in that outing. Looking back further, he has given up two homers in each of his last two road starts. Waldron has made four quality starts this year and is averaging 8.83 strikeouts per nine innings. His walk rate is 2.73 per nine innings.
San Diego comes into today’s game as the top-hitting team in the league, with a team batting average of .262. They have also been one of the top home run hitting teams in the league and have been averaging 4.5 runs per game. The Padres have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest.
Fernando Tatis Jr. has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 16/41 in his last 10 games with three homers. For the season, he is batting .280 with a team-high 13 home runs. Jurickson Profar and Jake Cronenworth are also tied for 2nd on the team with 10 homers apiece. Profar comes into the game with a team-best on-base percentage of .424.
Mets Records & Stats
The Mets’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Marlins, closing out their series with a 3-2 win. After allowing two runs to the Marlins in the top of the first, the Mets responded with three runs of their own. New York went on to close out the Marlins with a json Diaz picked up the save, and the Mets were at -206 on the money line going into the game.
Luis Severino put together a good start for the Mets, going six innings and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win. New York’s offense was carried by J.D. Martinez, who went 2/4 with a homer and two RBIs.
The Mets kick off their series vs. the Padres with a record of 30-37, putting them 4th in the NL East. Currently, they trail the Phillies by 15.5 games for the NL East lead. New York is 11-10 in divisional games this season.
New York has won two straight games, and they closed out their series vs. the Marlins with a win. The Mets are 15-23 at home compared to 15-14 on the road. So far, they have been an even 17-17 as the favorite but just 13-20 as the underdog. At home, the Mets are 3-10 when favored.
When betting the run line, the Mets have been a much better play on the road this season, going 18-11 compared to 12-26 at home. They have a negative run differential overall (-0.4 runs per game) and are 30-37 against the run line overall. They have been a better play against the run line as the underdog (18-15) than as the favorite (12-22).
The Mets have a combined run average of 9.2 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 34-31. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 6-4. Overall, 41.8% of their games have had lines set over 8 runs, while 43.3% have had lines set under 8 runs.
Left-hander Sean Manaea gets the start for the Mets today as he faces the Padres at home. He has made 12 starts this season and has a record of 3-3 with an ERA of 4.30. Manaea’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.35. Looking at his overall numbers, Manaea has a batting average allowed of .242 and has issued 3.71 walks per nine innings compared to 8.9 strikeouts. Manaea has turned in three quality starts this year and is coming off a rough outing where he gave up six earned runs in 3 2/3 innings of work.
Over his last six games, Starling Marte has gone 10/22 for the Mets, including one home run and five RBIs. For the season, he is batting .286, which is 3rd best on the team. Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso are tied for the team lead in RBIs, with 32, but both are hitting just .232 and .233, respectively.
As a team, the Mets are averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 13th in the league. However, they have been much better on the road, averaging 5.5 runs per contest. New York is also one of the league’s top home run-hitting teams, coming in at 10th in the league.