Cleveland Guardians vs Toronto Blue Jays Betting Pick & Prediction 6/14/24
The Blue Jays head into Friday’s matchup vs. the Guardians looking for a win that would get them back to .500 for the season. However, they are the slight favorites on the money line, with the odds sitting at -131 compared to the Guardians at +111. Cleveland comes in with a record of 43-23 and they are 1st in the AL Central. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs.
Kevin Gausman is starting for the Blue Jays, while the Guardians are going with Logan Allen. SNET will be televising Friday’s AL matchup, and the game is set to get started at 7:07 PM ET from the Rogers Centre in Toronto.
TORONTO BLUE JAYS VS CLEVELAND GUARDIANS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Toronto Blue Jays Moneyline -131
This game will be played at Rogers Centre at 7:07 ET on Friday, June 14th.
HOW TO BET THE GUARDIANS VS BLUE JAYS:
- We have the Blue Jays winning by a score of 6 to 5
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Guardians to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Guardians Records & Stats
Cleveland closed out their series vs. the Reds with a 4-2 loss on the road. The Guardians were the slight favorite at -107 on the money line. Things started off well for the Guardians, as they got on the board with a run in the 3rd inning but gave up the lead right away as the Reds scored in the bottom of the first.
Tanner Bibee got the start for the Guardians and took the loss. He only lasted 5 1/3 innings, giving up four earned runs on four hits. Cleveland’s offense scored their other run in the 5th but couldn’t complete the comeback. José Ramírez and Steven Kwan each had two hits and scored one run apiece.
Cleveland is on the road today to take on the Blue Jays, with the Guardians’ overall record sitting at 43-23, good for 1st place in the AL Central. They currently hold a five-game lead over the Royals in the division. The Guardians have gone 11-6 against other teams in the AL Central this year.
At home, the Guardians have been tough to beat, going 21-8 this season. They have also been good on the road, coming in with a record of 22-15. As the favorite, the Guardians are 30-14 this year, and they are 13-9 when coming in as the underdog. Cleveland’s series record is 15-5-2 this year, and they are coming off a series split vs. the Reds.
On the road, the Cleveland Guardians have been a solid bet against the run line, posting a 21-16 mark. They have an average run margin of 1.5 runs per game away from home and have outscored their opponents by an average of 1.4 runs per game overall. They have been especially good against the run line as an underdog, going 16-6.
The Cleveland Guardians are on the road to face the Toronto Blue Jays in a game with an over/under line of 8 runs. The combined run average for Guardians games this season is 8.7, and their over/under record is 31-30. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 7-6-2. So far this season, 43.9% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs.
Cleveland is sending left-hander Logan Allen to the mound today vs. the Blue Jays. Allen has made 13 starts this year and has a record of 6-3 with an ERA of 5.57. Looking at his overall numbers, Allen has a WHIP of 1.51 and opponents are batting .285 this year. In his 13 appearances, he has turned in four quality starts. One concerning note is that Allen has allowed 14 home runs this year. In his most recent outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had allowed seven earned runs in back-to-back starts.
Currently, the Guardians offense is 4th in the league in scoring at 5 runs per contest. They have been even better on the road this season, averaging 5.1 runs per game. As a team, the Guardians are batting .239, which is 13th best in the league, and they are also near the top of the league in home runs and isolated power.
Jose Ramirez has been the league’s top run producer this season, with 62 RBIs, and his 18 homers are 4th in the MLB. He has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 7/25 in his last six games with two homers. Steven Kwan is also on a hot streak, as he has hits in eight straight games and has gone 10/19 in his last five games.
Blue Jays Records & Stats
The Blue Jays will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Brewers with a 5-4 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 9th inning before the Brewers scored three runs in the bottom of the 9th. Toronto was the +106 underdog on the road going into the game.
Chris Bassitt was excellent for the Blue Jays, going five innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just one walk and struck out five Brewers batters. However, the Blue Jays couldn’t close things out, and Zach Pop took the loss out of the bullpen. The Blue Jays also wasted a big game from Davis Schneider, who homered and went 2/4.
Toronto is 4th in the AL East heading into today’s matchup vs. the Guardians, and they trail the Yankees by 14.5 games for the division lead. Overall, the Blue Jays are 33-35 and are 9-10 against other AL East teams. They lost two of three in their most recent series vs. the Brewers.
At home, the Blue Jays are 16-15 this year and 17-20 on the road. As the favorite, Toronto is 27-17 this year and 6-18 as the underdog. The Blue Jays come into today’s game having won three straight as the favorite.
When it comes to the run line, the Blue Jays have been a better bet on the road this season, going 21-16 compared to 11-20 at home. They have covered the run line in three straight games and are 22-22 against the run line as the favorite, compared to 10-14 as the underdog.
Today’s over/under line of 8 runs is right in line with the Blue Jays’ season average of 8.3 runs per game. Toronto has gone over the total in 29 of 66 games this season, and they have gone 10-9-1 when the O/U line is set at 8 runs.
Kevin Gausman gets the start for the Blue Jays today and comes in with a record of 5-4 and an ERA of 4.00. Looking at his overall numbers, Gausman has made 13 starts, and opponents are batting .252 this season. Gausman has turned in six quality starts, one shutout, and one complete game this year. In his most recent outing, he pitched nine innings, didn’t give up a run, and got the win. Before that, he had given up at least one homer in three straight starts. Gausman’s ERA at home is 8.14 compared to 5.55 on the road.
For the Blue Jays to get their offense going, they will need Davis Schneider and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. to get going, as both players have struggled of late. Schneider is just 4/29 in his last nine games, while Guerrero Jr. is batting .182 in this stretch. Daulton Varsho is the team’s leader in home runs this season but is batting just .217.
As a team, the Blue Jays are averaging just 3.9 runs per game and are near the bottom of the league in home runs. Overall, they are batting just .232, which is 16th in the league. Toronto’s team OPS of .674 is 21st in the MLB.