Colorado Rockies vs St. Louis Cardinals Betting Pick & Prediction 6/6/24

Thursday’s matchup between the Rockies and Cardinals is set to get started at 7:45 PM ET from Busch Stadium in St. Louis, MO. The Cardinals are the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -242, while the Rockies are +202 underdogs. The over/under line is currently at 7.5 runs.

Colorado comes into the game on a five-game losing streak and is 21-40 overall, while the Cardinals are 29-31 and have Sonny Gray on the mound. St. Louis will be facing off against a Rockies club that has Cal Quantrill starting. BSMW is carrying this game on TV.

COLORADO ROCKIES VS ST. LOUIS CARDINALS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Colorado Rockies Moneyline +202

This game will be played at Busch Stadium at 7:45 ET on Thursday, June 6th.

HOW TO BET THE ROCKIES VS CARDINALS:

• We have the Rockies winning by a score of 5 to 4
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Rockies to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

Rockies Records & Stats

The Rockies will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Reds with a 12-7 loss. Colorado was the +121 underdog at home going into the game. Things started off well for the Rockies, as they got on the board with four runs in the 1st inning but gave up the lead right away as the Reds scored two in the top of the first.

Colorado started Dakota Hudson, and he took the loss, going just 4 1/3 innings, and giving up four earned runs on five hits. The Rockies also used Jalen Beeks out of the bullpen, and he took the loss, giving up six earned runs in the 9th.

Colorado is on the road today, looking to pick up a win vs. the Cardinals, as they are 21-40 overall this season. The Rockies are in 5th place in the NL West, trailing the Dodgers by 16 games. So far, they are 9-14 in divisional games.

The Rockies have really struggled on the road this year, going 8-23 compared to 13-17 at home. Heading into today’s game, the Rockies have dropped five straight, and this losing streak started with the final two games of their series vs. the Reds. So far, they have an overall series record of 4-15-1 and have dropped two straight series.

When betting the Rockies on the run line, it’s been a coin flip this season. They’re 31-30 overall, but they’ve been a little better on the road at 16-15. Their average run margin is -1.6, and they’ve been a run-line underdog in every game so far. When they win, they win by an average of 3.1 runs, but when they lose, they lose by an average of 4.1 runs.

When the Rockies are on the road, the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, and their games have averaged 9.8 runs per game this season. Overall, the over/under record for Rockies games this season is 31-29, and the average over/under line for their games is 9 runs. When the line is set at 7.5 runs, the over/under record is 5-2. This season, 49 of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs, accounting for 80.3% of their games, while only 5 games have had lower lines, making up 8.2% of their games.

Right-hander Cal Quantrill gets the start for the Rockies today as he faces the Cardinals on the road. He has made 12 starts this season and has a record of 4-4 with a 3.84 ERA. Quantrill’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.29. In his 12 appearances, he has turned in eight quality starts. Looking back at his last outing, Quantrill took the loss, going 4 1/3 innings and giving up four earned runs on nine hits. Before that, he had won two straight starts. So far, he has been much better on the road, coming in with a 4.62 ERA compared to 3.96 at home.

So far this season, the Rockies offense is averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is 21st in the league. They have been a better offense at home, averaging 4.5 runs per game, which is 9th in the MLB. As a team, the Rockies are batting .246, which is 9th in the league, and they have the league’s best BABIP at .32. However, they are near the bottom of the league in home runs and have the 26th worst strikeout rate in the league.

Over his last six games, Ezequiel Tovar has gone 9/26 (.346) with four runs scored and one homer. This season, he is batting .292 with eight home runs. Brendan Rodgers and Elias Diaz have also been swinging the bat well of late, with Rodgers going 8/24 in his last six games, and Diaz has gone 7/19 in his last five games. Both Rodgers and Kris Bryant are currently on three-game hitting streaks.

Cardinals Records & Stats

The Cardinals closed out their series vs. the Astros with a 4-2 win on the road. St. Louis was the +132 underdog going into this matchup. Offensively, the Cardinals scored their four runs on just five hits and only had one home run. Nolan Arenado went 1/3 with a homer and scored a run. The Cardinals also had three other players with a hit.

Miles Mikolas put together a good start for the Cardinals, going six innings and giving up just two runs on five hits. He only had three strikeouts in the outing and got the win.

St. Louis is 3rd in the NL Central with a record of 29-31, putting them six games behind the Brewers for the division lead. Overall, they are 5-7 in divisional games and lost their series vs. the Astros 2-1. At home, the Cardinals are 13-12 and 16-19 on the road.

The Cardinals have won four straight games as the favorite, and they are 14-13 when favored this year. As the underdog, St. Louis has gone 15-18. They have won five straight at home as the favorite. So far, they have an even series record of 10-10 and have lost two straight series.

The Cardinals have been a poor run line bet this season, going 29-31 overall. They have been slightly better at home, going 13-12 on the run line. They have a negative run differential both at home and on the road, but they have been a better run line bet as the underdog, going 19-14 against the run line.

When the Cardinals play at home, the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, and their games have averaged 8.6 runs per game this season. Overall, the over/under record for St. Louis is 26-31, and the average line for their games is 8 runs. When the line is set at 7.5 runs, the over/under record is 3-9. This season, 75% of their games have had higher lines than 7.5 runs, while only 5% have had lower lines.

Sonny Gray will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Phillies, as he gets the start for the Cardinals today. In that June 1st start, he took the loss, giving up four earned runs in five innings of work. Before that outing, Gray had picked up the win in two straight starts. His overall record for the season is 7-3, and he has an ERA of 3.00. Opposing batters are hitting .204 off Gray this season. Looking at his home/away splits, Gray is 4-1 at home with an ERA of 0.89 compared to 3-2 on the road with a 5.4 ERA.

St. Louis comes into today’s game with the 25th ranked scoring offense in the league, averaging just 3.9 runs per contest. They have been slightly better at home, averaging 4.1 runs per game. As a team, the Cardinals are batting just .233, which is 17th in the league. One of the reasons for their low scoring offense is that they are near the bottom of the league in both on-base percentage and slugging.

Nolan Gorman has been the team’s top power threat this season, as his 14 home runs are 6th best in the league. However, he is hitting just .230 this season. Over his last 10 games, he has gone deep six times. Alec Burleson and Nolan Arenado are also near the top of the Cardinals’ home run leaderboard, with eight and six homers, respectively. Burleson has gone deep three times in his last 10 games but is batting just .186 over that stretch.