Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds Betting Pick & Prediction 6/6/24

There does appear to be a chance for light rain in Cincinnati on Thursday, where the Reds and Cubs face off at Great American Ball Park. The money line odds have the Reds favored at -126, while the Cubs are the slight underdog at +104. Today’s over/under line is at 9 runs.

First pitch for this one is set for 7:10 PM ET, and the game will be televised on MARQ. Chicago is 2nd in the NL Central, and they have a record of 31-31, while the Reds are 5th in the division at 29-33. Javier Assad is starting for the Cubs, and he is facing off against Hunter Greene for the Reds. Cincinnati comes into the game on a four-game winning streak.

CINCINNATI REDS VS CHICAGO CUBS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Cincinnati Reds Moneyline -126

This game will be played at Great American Ball Park at 7:10 ET on Thursday, June 6th.

HOW TO BET THE CUBS VS REDS:

• We have the Reds winning by a score of 6 to 5
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Cubs to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

Cubs Records & Stats

Heading into their last game vs. the White Sox, the Cubs closed out the series with a 7-6 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -200. It turned out to be a much closer game than expected, as the White Sox tied things up in the 8th with a run. However, the Cubs were able to pick up the win, scoring three runs in the bottom of the 8th.

Jameson Taillon had a rough outing, giving up five earned runs on 10 hits and issuing a walk. Mike Tauchman hit a homer for the Cubs but went just 2/4. The Cubs also had three other players with two hits.

Chicago is on the road today vs. the Reds with an overall record of 31-31, which has them five games behind the Brewers for the NL Central lead. So far, they have gone just 7-12 in divisional games. The Cubs have won two straight games, and they closed out their series vs. the White Sox with two straight wins.

At home, the Cubs have gone 18-13 this year compared to 13-18 on the road. As the road underdog, the Cubs are 9-14 this year, and they are 16-18 as the underdog overall. Chicago’s series record is 8-10-2 this year, and they are 4-6 over their last 10 games.

While the Cubs are 12-19 against the run line at home, they are 18-13 on the road. They are 23-11 against the run line as an underdog and 7-21 as a favorite. Their average run margin is -0.2 runs per game, but they are 3.0 runs per game in wins and -3.3 runs per game in losses.

The Chicago Cubs are on the road today against the Cincinnati Reds, and the over/under line for the game is set at 9 runs. The Cubs’ games have averaged 8.9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 29-30. When the over/under line has been set at 9 runs, their record is 3-4-2. This season, only 9.7% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs or higher, and their games have gone over the line in each of their last two games.

Right-hander Javier Assad is getting the start for the Cubs today as he faces the Reds on the road. He has made 12 starts this season and has a record of 4-1 with an ERA of 2.27. So far, Assad has turned in three quality starts and is averaging 8.67 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. The right-hander has been much better at home, coming in with an ERA of 1.79 compared to 2.98 on the road.

Christopher Morel comes into today’s game as the Cubs’ home run leader, but he is batting just .203 for the season and has only hit .207 over his last nine games. However, Morel has gone deep twice in this stretch. Cody Bellinger and Michael Busch are also near the top of the Cubs’ home run leaderboard, with both players having eight homers this season. Bellinger is 2nd on the team with 29 RBIs and is batting .258 for the season.

Chicago’s offense comes into the game averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 14th in the league. As a team, they are batting just .228 and have the league’s 20th ranked on-base percentage. The Cubs are also just 20th in the league in slugging percentage and OPS.

Reds Records & Stats

The Reds’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Rockies, closing out their series with a 12-7 win. After allowing four runs to the Rockies in the bottom of the first, the Reds responded with two runs of their own. Cincinnati went on to add another two runs in the 3rd inning and picked up another six runs in the 4th.

Graham Ashcraft got the start for the Reds and took the win. He only lasted 3 2/3 innings, giving up four earned runs. Offensively, the Reds went 12/37 and scored their 12 runs on a total of four home runs.

Cincinnati is hosting the Cubs today with a record of 29-33, which has them 5th in the NL Central. Currently, they trail the Brewers by seven games for the division lead. The Reds head into today’s game on a four-game winning streak, and they are 7-3 across their last 10 games.

At home, the Reds are 14-17 this year and have gone 15-16 on the road. As the favorite, the Reds are 14-12 this year and 15-21 as the underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Reds are 7-12-1 this year, but they have won two straight series.

When it comes to the run line, the Reds have been a much better bet on the road this season, going 21-10 compared to 13-18 at home. Their average run margin on the road is +0.8, compared to -0.5 at home. They are 13-13 vs. the run line as the favorite and 21-15 as the underdog. In their last three games as the run line favorite, they have covered each time. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.9, while it is -3.1 in losses.

When the Reds are at home, the over/under line for their games is set at 9 runs. The combined run average in their games this season is 8.6 runs per game, and their over/under record is 29-30. The average over/under line for their games this season is also 9 runs. When the line is set at 9 runs, their over/under record is 1-8-2. This season, 20 of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 9 runs, accounting for 32.3% of their games. The majority of their games, 31, have had over/under lines set lower than 9 runs, accounting for 50% of their games.

Hunter Greene will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Cubs, as he gave up five earned runs in six innings of work. In that June 1st outing, he gave up three walks and one homer. Looking back over his last four outings, Greene has finished with a no-decision in three of them. He has a record of 3-2 and an ERA of 3.44 to go along with a WHIP of 1.16. Opponents are batting .203 off Greene this season. One of his five homers came in that start vs. the Cubs.

Over his last nine games, Jeimer Candelario has gone 12/39 (.308) with three home runs and six RBIs. This has pushed his season average to .236, which is 8th on the team. Spencer Steer has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 12/37 in his last nine games, including one home run and five RBIs. Steer is currently batting .247 for the season.

As a team, the Reds are averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 14th in the league. They have been better on the road (4.7 RPG) than at home (4.0 RPG). Cincinnati’s team batting average is just .228, and they are near the bottom of the league in terms of strikeouts. Currently, the Reds have a few players on some solid hitting streaks, with Jeimer Candelario and Spencer Steer both having hit in five straight games.