Minnesota Twins vs New York Yankees Betting Pick & Prediction 6/6/24

There does appear to be a chance of rain for Thursday’s Twins vs. Yankees matchup in New York, with the forecasted temperature being 81 degrees. Marcus Stroman will be on the mound for the Yankees, and the Twins are starting Pablo Lopez.

New York is currently on a seven-game winning streak and is 44-19 this season, while the Twins are 33-28 and have lost two straight. The money line odds have the Yankees at -150 compared to the Twins at +128, and the over/under line is at 8.5 runs.

NEW YORK YANKEES VS MINNESOTA TWINS BETTING PICK

The Pick: New York Yankees Moneyline -150

This game will be played at Yankee Stadium at 7:05 ET on Thursday, June 6th.

HOW TO BET THE TWINS VS YANKEES:

• We have the Yankees winning by a score of 5 to 4
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Twins to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

New York cruised to a 9-5 win over the Twins in the most recent game of this series. The Yankees had a huge 1st inning, scoring four of their nine runs. As for the Twins, they scored their first run in the 6th and added their final four runs in the 7th. Heading into the game, the Yankees were favored at -176 on the money line.

Carlos Rodon pitched well for the Yankees in this one, going six innings and striking out nine without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Chris Paddack had a rough outing for the Twins, taking the loss.

Anthony Volpe had a three-hit game for the Yankees, scoring twice and driving in a run. Giancarlo Stanton and Aaron Judge each homered for New York. For the Twins, Carlos Santana hit a home run and drove in three runs.

Twins Records & Stats

Minnesota is 33-28 overall this season, and they are 3rd in the AL Central, trailing the Guardians by 7.5 games. The Twins have dropped two straight games, and they are losing the series vs. the Yankees 0-2. So far, they have gone 15-11 in divisional games.

At home, the Twins have gone 16-13 this year, and they are just above .500 at 17-15 on the road. As the underdog, the Twins are 4-12 this year compared to going 25-13 as the favorite. Minnesota’s overall series record is 11-6-2 this year, and they have won four straight series.

The Twins are 28-33 against the run line this season, including a 17-15 mark on the road. They have been favored in 38 games, going 17-21 against the run line in those contests. Minnesota’s average run margin in winning games is +3.4, while it’s -4.0 in losses.

The Minnesota Twins are on the road today to face the New York Yankees. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs, which is slightly higher than their combined run average of 8.8 runs per game. The Twins have played 59 games this season, and their over/under record is 26-33. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, their record is 5-11. So far this season, only 9.8% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs or higher.

Pablo López comes into the game with a record of 5-5 and an ERA of 4.84 for the Twins. So far, he has made 12 starts and six of them have been quality starts. Looking at his numbers, López has a WHIP of 1.15 and is averaging 10.07 strikeouts per nine innings. In his 67 innings of work, López has only allowed 12 home runs. The last time he pitched, he gave up just one earned run in seven innings of work. Before that, he had given up at least one homer in three straight starts.

Carlos Santana has been swinging a hot bat for the Twins of late, going 5/17 in his last six games with two homers. For the season, he is batting just .217, but his nine homers are 2nd on the team and 11th in the league. Ryan Jeffers is batting .240 for the season and has gone deep 12 times, which is the best mark on the team and 8th in the MLB.

As a team, the Twins are averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 16th in the league. They have been better on the road this season, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. Overall, the Twins are batting just .228, which is 20th in the league.

Yankees Records & Stats

The Yankees are 44-19 overall this season, and they lead the AL East by 3.5 games over the Orioles. New York is riding a seven-game winning streak, and they have taken the first two games of this series vs. the Twins. So far, they have an even 8-8 record in AL East matchups.

At home, the Yankees are 20-8 this season, and they have been really good on the road, going 24-11. New York has been excellent in day games, going 18-7 this season. As the favorite, the Yankees are 33-15 this season, and they are 11-4 as the underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Yankees are 15-2-2 this year, and they have won three straight series overall and five straight series on the road.

The Yankees have been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 37-26 overall. They have been especially good on the road, going 22-13, but have also been profitable at home, going 15-13. They have won four straight against the run line at home and are on a five-game run line win streak overall. They have been a good bet as the underdog, going 12-3 against the run line, and have an average run margin of 1.8 runs per game this season.

When the Yankees play at home, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. Their games have averaged 8.1 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 28-33 overall. When the line is set at 8.5 runs, their over/under record is 15-11. Overall, 41.3% of their games have had lower lines than 8.5 runs, while 17.5% have had higher lines.

New York is sending Marcus Stroman to the mound today vs. the Twins, and he will be looking to build off his last outing, where he gave up just two earned runs in 7 1/3 innings of work. In that outing vs. the Giants, he gave up six hits, two walks, and didn’t allow a home run. Stroman has made 12 starts this year and has a record of 5-2 with a 2.73 ERA. Looking at his home/road splits, Stroman is 4-0 with a 2.47 ERA on the road and 1-2 with a 3.59 ERA at home. So far, he has turned in six quality starts.

Not only do the Yankees lead the MLB in home runs, but they are also one of the league’s best hitting teams in terms of batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage. As a team, they are averaging 5 runs per game, which is 4th in the league. This is a team that has been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per game.

Aaron Judge and Juan Soto are the team’s top power threats, with Judge leading the league in home runs (21) and Soto’s 17 long balls being 3rd in the league. Judge is also 2nd in the league with 54 RBIs. Both players have been hot of late, with Judge going 12/32 in his last 9 games and Soto hitting .387 over that same stretch.