Atlanta Braves vs Washington Nationals Betting Pick & Prediction 6/6/24
There does appear to be a chance for light rain in Washington, D.C., on Thursday, as the forecasted temperature is 76 degrees. The Braves and Nationals will face off in an NL East matchup at 6:45 PM ET at Nationals Park. Mitchell Parker is starting for the Nationals, and he is facing a Braves team that is 34-25. Reynaldo Lopez will be on the mound for the Braves.
Atlanta is currently favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -178 compared to the Nationals at +149. Thursday’s over/under line is at 8.5 runs, and the game can be seen on BSSE.
WASHINGTON NATIONALS VS ATLANTA BRAVES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Washington Nationals Moneyline +149
This game will be played at Nationals Park at 6:45 ET on Thursday, June 6th.
HOW TO BET THE BRAVES VS NATIONALS:
- We have the Nationals winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Nationals to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Braves Records & Stats
Heading into their last game vs. the Red Sox, the Braves closed out the series with a 9-0 loss. Atlanta was actually the slight favorite on the money line going into the game but fell behind big early, as the Red Sox scored three times in the 2nd.
Spencer Schwellenbach got the start for the Braves and took the loss. He only lasted 4 2/3 innings, giving up six earned runs on seven hits. Offensively, the Braves only had one fewer hit than the Red Sox but didn’t score a run. Their lone hit was a single by Schwellenbach in the 2nd.
With an overall record of 34-25, the Braves are eight games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. Atlanta is 11-8 in divisional games this season. The Braves will open their series in Washington today, and they are 15-13 on the road compared to 19-12 at home.
As the favorite, the Braves have gone 33-21 this season, and they are 1-4 as the underdog. Atlanta won two straight games as the favorite to close out their series vs. the Red Sox. The Braves are 12-6-2 in series this year, and they are coming off a series split.
When the Braves are on the road, they have been a good bet to cover the run line, going 16-12. Their average run margin in those games has been 1.1 runs per game, and they have covered the run line in two straight games. They have been the favorite in most of their games, going 27-27 against the run line, but they are also 3-2 as the underdog.
The Braves are on the road in Washington tonight. The O/U line is 8.5 runs, which is lower than their average line of 9 runs. Their games have averaged 8.4 runs per game this season, and their O/U record is 21-36 overall. When the line has been set at 8.5 runs, their O/U record is 5-12.
Braves starter Reynaldo López has made 10 appearances this season and has a record of 3-2. His ERA is an impressive 1.73, and he has turned in six quality starts. Per nine innings, López is averaging 8.63 strikeouts and 3.14 walks. Looking back at his last outing, López picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just one earned run on four hits. He has only given up two homers this year. One thing to note is that he has a better ERA on the road at 2.69 compared to 1.22 at home.
Marcell Ozuna has been a key power bat for the Braves this season, as his 17 homers is the best mark on the team and 3rd in the league. He also comes into the game with a strong batting average of .309. Ozuna has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 10/34 in his last nine games, including two homers. First baseman Matt Olson is 2nd on the team with 33 RBIs but has a batting average of just .234.
Overall, the Braves are averaging 4.5 runs per game, which is 9th in the league. They have been a slightly better offensive team on the road, averaging 4.8 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .247 (8th) and have the league’s 8th best slugging percentage.
Nationals Records & Stats
The Nationals will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Mets with a 9-1 loss. Washington was the +121 underdog at home going into this game. Things started off well for the Nationals, as they got on the board with a run in the 1st inning but gave up the lead right away as the Mets scored three times in the top of the third.
Washington started Patrick Corbin, and he took the loss, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up six earned runs on seven hits. Jesse Winker was hot at the plate, going 2/3 with a run scored. However, the Nationals could only score one run, and it came in the bottom of the 1st.
Washington is 27-34 overall and trails the Phillies by 16 games in the NL East. The Nationals are on a three-game losing streak, dropping their final three games of their series vs. the Mets. So far, they are 8-9 in divisional games.
At home, the Nationals are 10-16 this year and 17-18 on the road. As the underdog, the Nationals are 24-31 this year, and they are just 3-3 as the favorite. Washington’s overall series record is 7-12-1, and they have dropped two straight series.
Washington has been a solid run line bet on the road this season, going 23-12. Their overall run line record is 36-25, with an average run differential of -0.4 runs per game. They have covered the run line in three of six games when favored, but have gone 33-22 against the run line as an underdog.
Washington is 27-31 on over/under bets this season, and the over/under line for their games has averaged 8 runs. However, when the line has been set at 8.5 runs, they are 9-10. Their games have averaged 8.3 runs per game this season.
Left-hander Mitchell Parker gets the start for the Nationals today as he faces the Braves at home. Parker has made nine starts this season and has a record of 4-3 with a 3.60 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Parker has a WHIP of 1.14 and opponents are batting .234 this season. In his last outing, Parker took the loss, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up three earned runs on four hits. Before that, he had won two straight starts. One issue for Parker has been the long ball, as he has given up five homers at home and 2.56 ERA at home compared to 4.22 on the road.
Washington’s offense has been a disappointment so far this season, as they are averaging just 4 runs per game, which is 24th in the league. They have been even worse in terms of power, as their 48 home runs are 19th in the MLB. As a team, the Nationals are batting just .231 and have the league’s 25th ranked slugging percentage.
CJ Abrams has been a bright spot for the Nationals so far, as he is hitting .246 and leads the team with 9 home runs. Joey Meneses has been the team’s top run producer, with 30 RBIs, but he has just two homers and is batting only .236. Eddie Rosario is 2nd on the team with 7 homers, but he is batting only .181.