Milwaukee Brewers vs Philadelphia Phillies Betting Pick & Prediction 6/5/24
The forecast for Wednesday’s matchup between the Brewers and Phillies calls for cloudy skies and temperatures in the low 80s. This NL matchup is set to get started at 4:05 PM ET from Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, and NSPPH is carrying the game on TV.
The Phillies are the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -184 compared to the Brewers at +152. The over/under line is currently at 9 runs, and the Phillies will look to keep their two-game winning streak alive, while the Brewers are looking to end a two-game skid. Aaron Nola is starting for the Phillies, and the Brewers are going with Aaron Ashby. Milwaukee is 1st in the NL Central, while the Phillies are leading the NL East.
MILWAUKEE BREWERS VS PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES BETTING PICKThe Pick: Milwaukee Brewers Moneyline +152
This game will be played at Citizens Bank Park at 4:05 ET on Wednesday, June 5th.
HOW TO BET THE BREWERS VS PHILLIES:
- We have the Brewers winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Brewers to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Philadelphia picked up a 2-1 win over the Brewers in the most recent game of this series. The Phillies had a late rally, scoring one run in the 8th and another in the 10th. As for the Brewers, they scored their only run in the 3rd. Heading into the game, the Phillies were favored at -160 on the money line.
Cristopher Sanchez started for the Phillies and went six innings while giving up just one run and striking out three. He picked up a win in the game, while Seranthony Dominguez got the save. Jared Koenig only went 1 1/3 innings for the Brewers, giving up no runs on one hit.
Alec Bohm was the only Phillies hitter to have more than one hit, as he went 1/5 with a home run. Blake Perkins also had a two-hit game for Milwaukee.
Brewers Records & Stats
Milwaukee is on the road today, looking to pick up a win vs. the Phillies after dropping the first two games of the series. The Brewers are 36-25 overall, putting them six games ahead of the Cubs for the NL Central lead. So far, they have gone 16-8 against other teams in the NL Central.
At home, the Brewers have gone 18-10 this year, and they are 18-15 on the road. As the road underdog, the Brewers have put together a record of 13-9 this year. Their overall series record is 11-6-2, and they have won three straight series.
When it comes to betting on the Milwaukee Brewers on the run line, it’s been a profitable endeavor this season. The Brewers are 33-28 against the run line, and they’ve been particularly good on the road, going 20-13. They’ve been a better bet as the underdog, going 22-9, compared to 11-19 as the favorite. Their average run margin this season is +1.0 runs per game.
Today’s over/under line is set at 9 runs for the Milwaukee Brewers’ road game against the Philadelphia Phillies. The Brewers have a combined run average of exactly 9.0 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 34-26. When the over/under line has been set at 9 runs, the Brewers have a 2-2 record in those games. Only 6.6% of their games this season have had over/under lines set at 9 runs, with 86.9% of their games having lower lines. The under has hit in each of their last two games.
Aaron Ashby and the Brewers are on the road to take on the Phillies. Ashby is looking to bounce back from a rough outing in his first start of the season, where he took the loss against the Reds. He went 3 2/3 innings, giving up 4 runs and 2 earned runs. He struck out 6 but did give up a pair of home runs.
So far this season, the Brewers are the top home run hitting team in the league and are near the top of the league in batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging. Overall, they are 4th in the league in runs scored and have been even better at home, averaging 5.6 runs per game. Not only are they the top home run hitting team in the league, but they also have the best BABIP in the league.
William Contreras and Willy Adames have been swinging the bat well of late, with Contreras hitting .310 this season and Adames at .252. Adames has two homers in his last nine games, while Contreras has gone deep three times in that stretch. Rhys Hoskins has also been a big power threat for the Brewers, as he is 10th in the league with 10 homers.
Phillies Records & Stats
Philadelphia is hosting the Brewers today with an overall record of 43-19, good for 1st place in the NL East. The Phillies hold a seven-game lead over the Braves for the division lead. The Phillies have gone 11-5 in divisional games this year.
The Phillies have won two straight games, and they are 6-4 across their last 10 games. At home, the Phillies are 26-9 this year and have gone 17-10 on the road. So far, they have been really good in night games, going 27-10.
When the Phillies win, they tend to win by an average of 3.7 runs per game, which is the best in the majors. This has helped them to a 34-28 run line record this season. They are 19-16 against the run line at home and 15-12 on the road. They have been favored in 53 games this season and have a 29-24 run line record in those games. They are 5-4 against the run line as an underdog.
Philadelphia’s games have gone under the total in three straight contests, and the Phillies’ games have gone under the total in 83.9% of their games this season. Their games have averaged 8.6 runs per game, and their over/under record is 27-31. The over/under line for today’s game is set at 9 runs, and their games have gone under the total in three of five games with an over/under line of 9 runs this season.
Right-hander Aaron Nola gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Brewers at home. Nola has made 12 starts this year and has a record of 7-2 with a 3.03 ERA. So far, he has turned in one complete game shutout and has pitched eight quality starts. Per nine innings, Nola is averaging 8.26 strikeouts and just 2.56 walks. In his last outing, he gave up two earned runs in 6 1/3 innings of work, coming away with the win. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight starts.
Philadelphia has been one of the league’s top offenses this season, averaging 5.1 runs per game, which is 2nd in the MLB. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.5 runs per game. As a team, the Phillies are batting .255, which is 3rd in the league, and they are also near the top of the league in home runs.
Alec Bohm comes into the game with a team-leading 50 RBIs and is 3rd in the league in that category. He is also 4th on the team with a batting average of .296. However, over his last six games, he is just 5/26. Bryce Harper has been swinging a good bat of late, going 7/24 in his last six games. Harper is 6th in the league with 14 homers and is batting .270 for the season.