St. Louis Cardinals vs Houston Astros Betting Pick & Prediction 6/4/24

At 8:10 PM ET, the Cardinals and Astros face off in an interleague matchup. This one is being played at Minute Maid Park in Houston, and the Astros are favored on the money line (-148). The Cardinals are +127.
St. Louis will be starting Andre Pallante, while the Astros are sending Spencer Arrighetti to the mound. The Cardinals are 2nd in the NL Central, and the Astros are 3rd in the AL West. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs.
HOUSTON ASTROS VS ST. LOUIS CARDINALS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Houston Astros Moneyline -148
This game will be played at Minute Maid Park at 8:10 ET on Tuesday, June 4th.
HOW TO BET THE CARDINALS VS ASTROS:
- We have the Astros winning by a score of 5 to 4
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Cardinals to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
Houston rallied for four runs in the 8th inning in the most recent game of this Astros vs. Cardinals series. The Astros scored two runs in the 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up four in the 8th, picking up a 7-4 win. Heading into the game, the Astros were favored at -188 on the money line.
Justin Verlander got the start for the Astros, going five innings and giving up four runs. He finished with just two strikeouts and allowed three home runs. Rafael Montero got the win out of the bullpen, and Josh Hader got the save. Kyle Gibson only went 5 2/3 innings for the Cardinals, giving up three earned runs on five hits.
Nolan Gorman hit two home runs for the Cardinals, going 2/3 with two runs scored and two RBIs. Alec Burleson also went deep for St. Louis, going 1/5. Ivan Herrera had a two-hit game at the plate.
Cardinals Records & Stats
St. Louis is 28-30 overall and trails the Brewers by seven games in the NL Central. The Cardinals are 5-7 in the division heading into today’s road matchup vs. the Astros. So far, they have been slightly better on the road, going 15-18 compared to 13-12 at home.
The Cardinals are losing the series to the Astros, heading into game two down 0-1. This season, the Cardinals have an overall series record of 10-9. As the underdog, the Cardinals are 14-17 this year, compared to 14-13 as the favorite. St. Louis has gone 6-4 over their last 10 games overall.
One of the more interesting run line teams in baseball this season has been the St. Louis Cardinals. They are 28-30 overall on the run line, but they are 15-18 on the run line on the road. They have been a better run line team as the underdog, going 18-13 on the run line in those games. Their average run margin in winning games is +2.5, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.8.
St. Louis is on the road against the Astros today. Their over/under record is 25-30, and their combined run average is 8.5. Their over/under record when the line is set at 8.5 is 14-6. They have had 12 games with over/under lines set higher than 8.5, which is 20.7% of their games. They have had 26 games with over/under lines set lower than 8.5, which is 44.8% of their games.
Right-hander Andre Pallante is getting the start for the Cardinals today as he faces the Astros on the road. Pallante has made just one start this year, and he turned in a great outing, going six innings and not giving up a run. In that outing, he only gave up three hits, walked three batters, and struck out three. Pallante has made 10 appearances out of the bullpen this year and has a record of 1-1 with a 3.94 ERA. Opposing batters are hitting .250 off Pallante this year, and his WHIP is 1.56.
Heading into today’s game, the Cardinals are averaging just 3.9 runs per game, which is 26th in the league. They have been slightly better at home, averaging 4.1 runs per game. As a team, the Cardinals are batting .233, which is 16th in the league, and their on-base percentage of .306 is 13th. St. Louis has been led by Nolan Gorman, who has 13 homers and is batting .230 for the season. Gorman has been hot of late, going 11/33 in his last nine games with five homers.
Paul Goldschmidt and Alec Burleson are tied for 2nd on the team with seven homers, with Goldschmidt batting just .222 and Burleson at .271. Goldschmidt has also gone 3/9 in his last nine games. Goldschmidt and Nolan Gorman are both on three-game hitting streaks, as are Iván Herrera and Lars Nootbaar.
Astros Records & Stats
The Astros host the Cardinals today with an overall record of 27-34, and they trail the Mariners by seven games in the AL West. So far, they have gone 13-11 in AL West matchups. Houston is looking to pick up a win today, as they have dropped six of their last eight games.
At home, the Astros are 16-17 this year compared to an 11-17 mark on the road. As the favorite, Houston is 21-27 this year and 6-7 as the underdog. So far, they have an overall series record of 8-10-1 this year.
In games where the Astros have been favored, they are just 18-30 against the run line. However, they are 7-6 as underdogs. Houston’s average run margin in winning games is +4.1, while it is -3.4 in losses. The Astros are 25-36 against the run line overall this season.
When the Astros play at home, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, and their games have averaged 8.8 runs per game this season. Overall, the over/under record for Houston games is 22-36, and when the line is set at 8.5 runs, the over/under record is 5-10. Nearly half of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8.5 runs, while just under 30% have had lines set lower than 8.5 runs.
Right-hander Spencer Arrighetti gets the start for the Astros today as he faces the Cardinals at home. He has made nine starts this season and has a record of 3-5 with a 5.98 ERA. Arrighetti’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.65. In his last outing, he didn’t give up a run in six innings of work, picking up the win against the Mariners. Before that, he had given up at least two homers in three straight starts. So far, he has made one quality start this year. Per nine innings, Arrighetti is averaging 10.51 strikeouts and 4.74 walks.
Heading into today’s game, the Astros are 3rd in home runs and have the 2nd best team batting average in the league at .258. They are also the top team in the league in terms of fewest strikeouts per game. Houston’s offense is averaging 4.4 runs per game and have been even better at home, where they are 7th in the league at 4.8 runs per contest.
Yordan Alvarez and Kyle Tucker have been two of the Astros’ top power threats this season, with Alvarez’s 12 homers being 2nd on the team and Tucker’s 19 home runs leading the way. Tucker’s 40 RBIs are also the best on the team and 8th best in the MLB. Over his last seven games, Tucker has gone 11/28 with 5 homers and 8 RBIs, while Alvarez has also been hot, going 12/26 with 3 homers in that stretch.