Milwaukee Brewers vs Philadelphia Phillies Betting Pick & Prediction 6/3/24
The Phillies are the heavy favorite on the money line for Monday’s matchup vs. the Brewers, with their odds sitting at -219 compared to the Brewers at +180. This NL matchup is set for 6:40 PM ET from Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, and the forecast calls for scattered clouds and temperatures in the mid-80s.
Monday’s over/under line is sitting at 8.5 runs, and the Phillies will be looking to pick up a win vs. a Brewers club that has won five straight. Milwaukee is 36-23 this season, while the Phillies are 41-19 and are 1st in the NL East. Bryse Wilson is starting for the Brewers, and the Phillies are starting Zack Wheeler.
MILWAUKEE BREWERS VS PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES BETTING PICK
The Pick: OVER 8.5 Runs
This game will be played at Citizens Bank Park at 6:40 ET on Monday, June 3rd.
HOW TO BET THE BREWERS VS PHILLIES:
- We have the Phillies winning by a score of 6 to 5
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Brewers to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Brewers Records & Stats
Milwaukee closed out their series vs. the White Sox with a 6-3 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -346. It was a four-run 2nd inning that really turned things in their favor, and the White Sox could only score two runs, both of which came in the 4th.
Freddy Peralta put together a good start for the Brewers, going five innings and giving up just three runs on four hits. He also issued only one walk and struck out seven White Sox batters. Milwaukee’s offense was carried by Jackson Chourio, who went 2/4 with a homer and three RBIs.
Milwaukee heads into their game vs. the Phillies with a record of 36-23, putting them seven games ahead of the Cardinals in the NL Central. The Brewers have won five straight games, and they went 3-0 in their most recent series vs. the White Sox. Looking at their overall series record, the Brewers are 11-6-2 and have won three straight series.
At home, the Brewers have gone 18-10 this year and are 18-13 on the road. As the road underdog, the Brewers have put together a record of 13-7 this year. So far, they are 18-12 as the favorite and 18-11 when listed as the underdog. Heading into today’s game, the Brewers have an 8-2 record over their last 10.
When the Brewers are on the road, they have been a good bet to cover the run line, going 19-12. They have covered the run line in three straight road games and in five straight games as the underdog. Overall, they have a run line record of 32-27, with an average run margin of 1.1 runs per game.
When the Milwaukee Brewers are on the road, the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs for their games this season. Their games have averaged 9.2 runs per game, and their over/under record is 34-24 overall. When the line is set at 8.5 runs, their over/under record is 17-10. In 42.4% of their games, the over/under line has been set below 8.5 runs, while in 11.9% of their games, the line has been set higher than 8.5 runs.
Milwaukee is sending right-hander Bryse Wilson to the mound today as he faces the Phillies on the road. Wilson has made seven starts this season and has a record of 3-1 with an ERA of 3.19. This year, he has turned in two quality starts and is coming off an outing in which he gave up three earned runs in four innings of work. Wilson didn’t give up a homer in that outing, but he had given up a homer in three straight outings before that. Opponents are batting .217 off Wilson this year, and his ERA on the road is 8.55 compared to 3.59 at home.
Currently, the Brewers are the 2nd best scoring team in the league at 5.2 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.6 runs per game. Overall, the Brewers are 2nd in team batting average, hitting a combined .259. One of the reasons they have been so good offensively is that they are the top on-base percentage team in the league, and they also have the best BABIP in the league.
Willy Adames has been red hot for the Brewers, going 14/38 (.368) over his last 10 games. For the season, he is batting .260 with a team-high 9 home runs. William Contreras has also been a key power source for the Brewers, as he is 12th in the league with 8 homers and is batting .316.
Phillies Records & Stats
The Phillies will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Cardinals with a 5-4 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 10th inning before the Cardinals scored one run in the top of the 10th. Philadelphia was the -139 favorite at home going into the game.
Taijuan Walker put together a good start for the Phillies, going five innings and giving up just two earned runs, and striking out five. However, the Phillies bullpen couldnjson’t close things out, and Gregory Soto took the loss out of the bullpen. The Phillies also wasted a big game from Nick Castellanos, who went 2/5 with a run scored.
Philadelphia is 41-19 this season, putting them 1st in the NL East, where they lead the Braves by 6.5 games. The Phillies have an overall series record of 12-4-4 this season, and they took two of three from the Cardinals in their most recent series. So far, they have gone 11-5 against other teams in the NL East.
At home, the Phillies are 24-9 this season, and they have gone 17-10 on the road. This year, they have been really good in night games, going 26-9. As the favorite, the Phillies are 36-15 and 23-7 as the favorite at home. Their overall record is made up of a 26-9 mark at home and an 17-10 record on the road. So far, they have been pretty even, going 5-4 as the underdog.
When the Phillies win, they win by an average of 3.9 runs per game. In their losses, they lose by an average of 3.1 runs per game. Their run line record is 33-27, with an 18-15 mark at home and a 15-12 mark on the road. They are 28-23 against the run line as the favorite and 5-4 as the underdog.
When the Phillies play at home, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, and their games have averaged 8.8 runs per game this season. Overall, their over/under record is 27-29, and when the line is set at 8.5 runs, they are 4-7. So far this season, only 15.0% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs or higher.
Right-hander Zack Wheeler is getting the start for the Phillies today as he faces off against the Brewers. Wheeler has made 12 starts this year and has a record of 6-3 with a 2.32 ERA. So far, he has turned in nine quality starts and is coming off an outing in which he didn’t allow an earned run. In that May 28th start vs. the Giants, Wheeler went six innings, giving up just two hits and two walks while striking out nine. He finished with a no-decision in that outing. Before that, he had won two straight starts.
So far this season, the Phillies have been the best offense in the league, averaging 5.2 runs per game. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.7 runs per contest. As a team, the Phillies are batting .256, which is 4th in the league, and are also near the top of the league in on-base percentage and slugging.
Over his last eight games, Kyle Schwarber has gone 10/29 with two homers and five RBIs, while Bryce Harper has also hit two homers in that stretch, but he is just 7/32. For the season, Harper is batting .270 with a team-high 14 homers, and Schwarber is 2nd on the team with 11 homers.