Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles Betting Pick & Prediction 6/2/24

At 1:35 PM ET, the Rays and Orioles face off in an AL East matchup. This one is taking place at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, and the Orioles are favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -142 compared to the Rays at +121. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs.
Tampa Bay will be starting Zack Littell, while the Orioles are sending Cole Irvin to the mound. Baltimore comes in with a record of 37-19, while the Rays are 28-31. The Orioles are on a three-game winning streak, while the Rays have won two straight. BSSUN is carrying this one on TV.
BALTIMORE ORIOLES VS TAMPA BAY RAYS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Baltimore Orioles Moneyline -142
This game will be played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards at 1:35 ET on Sunday, June 2nd.
HOW TO BET THE RAYS VS ORIOLES:
- We have the Orioles winning by a score of 6 to 5
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Rays to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Baltimore cruised to a 9-5 win over the Rays in the most recent game of this series. The Orioles had a huge 1st inning, scoring three of their nine runs. As for the Rays, they scored their first run in the 2nd and added their final four runs in the 3rd.
Kyle Bradish got the start for the Orioles, going just 2 2/3 innings while giving up five runs and striking out six. He did not factor into the decision as Jacob Webb got the win out of the bullpen. Taj Bradley had a rough outing for the Rays, giving up nine runs in just 3 1/3 innings of work.
Ryan Mountcastle and Jordan Westburg each homered for the Orioles, while Anthony Santander scored twice and drove in two runs while going 2/3. Yandy Diaz had a three RBI game at the plate for the Rays.
Rays Records & Stats
Tampa Bay is 28-31 overall, and they are 12.5 games behind the Yankees in the AL East. The Rays have dropped two straight games and are losing the series vs. the Orioles 0-2. So far, they are 9-13 in AL East matchups this year.
At home, the Rays are 17-18, and they are 11-13 on the road. Tampa Bay has dropped five straight games as the underdog, and they are 10-12 overall as the underdog this year. As the favorite, the Rays are 18-19, and they are 8-8-2 in series this year.
When the Rays are on the road, they have a run line record of 12-12, and their average run margin is -1.0. They have a run line record of 23-36 overall, and their average run margin is -0.9. As the underdog, their run line record is 12-10, and as the favorite, it is 11-26. Their average run margin in winning games is 2.3, while in losing games, it is -3.8. They have a run line losing streak of three games on the road.
When the Rays are on the road, the over/under line is set at an average of 8 runs per game. Their games have averaged 8.7 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 30-28. When the line is set at 8.5 runs, their over/under record is 8-12. So far this season, only 10.2% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs or higher.
Zack Littell will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Athletics, where he took the loss. In that May 28th start, he gave up three earned runs in seven innings of work. Littell finished with a final line of 9 hits, 1 walk, and 1 home run allowed in the outing. Before that start, he had put together three straight quality starts. Littell’s ERA for the season is 3.46, along with a record of 2-3. So far, he has made four starts on the road and has a record of 0-1 with a 3.52 ERA in those outings.
Isaac Paredes has been a bright spot for the Rays this season, as he is batting .292 and leads the team with 10 home runs and 32 RBIs. Paredes has also been on a nice stretch of games, as he is currently on a four-game hitting streak. However, the Rays will need Randy Arozarena to start hitting better, as he is batting just .160 for the season.
Overall, the Rays offense has been one of the worst in the league this season, as they are averaging just 3.9 runs per game, which is 25th in the MLB. As a team, they are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and slugging percentage. Currently, they are 20th in home runs and have a team slugging percentage of just .352.
Orioles Records & Stats
The Orioles have won three straight games, and they are 37-19 overall this season. Baltimore is 2.0 games behind the Yankees for the AL East lead, and they have an 11-3 record in the division. The Orioles have taken two straight games vs. the Rays heading into today’s matchup.
At home, the Orioles are 21-11 this season, and they are 16-8 on the road. Baltimore has won three straight games as the favorite, and they are 30-17 overall as the favorite. As the underdog, the Orioles are 7-2 this year. Looking at their overall series record, the Orioles are 12-4-2 and have won two straight series.
When the Orioles win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.6 runs per victory. That’s helped them to a 32-24 run line record this season, including an 18-14 mark at home. They’ve been favored in 47 games and have covered the run line in 25 of those contests. Their current run line win streak is at three, and they’ve covered the run line in their last three games as the favorite.
When the Orioles play at home, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. Baltimore’s games have averaged 8.8 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 28-21. When the line is set at 8.5 runs, their over/under record is 10-7. So far this season, 25% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, with 44.6% of their games having lower lines.
Cole Irvin gets the start for the Orioles today and will be looking to build off his last outing, where he didn’t give up a run. In that May 27th start vs. the Red Sox, he went 5 innings, picking up the win in the outing. Looking at his overall numbers, Irvin has made 8 starts and 10 total appearances. He has a record of 5-2, an ERA of 2.84, and opponents are batting .237 this season. Irvin has turned in three quality starts and has a BB/9 figure of 1.95 compared to 6.39 strikeouts per nine innings.
Baltimore’s offense has been one of the best in the league this season, averaging 5.1 runs per game, which is 4th in the MLB. They are also 2nd in the league in home runs and have the best isolated power in baseball. Anthony Rutschman and Gunnar Henderson have been the team’s top power threats, with both players having 10 homers. Rutschman is batting .297 this season, and Henderson comes in at .258.
Over his last eight games, Ryan Mountcastle has gone 12/29, and he is also on a three-game hitting streak. Jordan Westburg has also been hot of late, going 10/22 over his last six games. Adley Rutschman and Gunnar Henderson are also on good streaks, with five and four-game hitting streaks, respectively.